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Mail-in ballot data so far not looking so hot for dems

This is actual 2026 voting data btw, not a NYT/Siena/Gallup ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Wisconsin dems look like they’re sitting this one out ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Uh oh! https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2107542656679113...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Iowa is going to be a repeat of “Selzer” in 2024...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Lmao we’re in our last few years where our dicks work ...
Grizzly dashing haunted graveyard pozpig
  10/06/26
If I have anything to say about it I am never having “...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
I’m married with kids and having a midlife crisis.
Grizzly dashing haunted graveyard pozpig
  10/06/26
Get TT6 to sort you out
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
r we talking gay sex or a discussion?
nudist mood hell
  10/07/26
...
abusive messiness
  10/06/26
left media is quoting Trump saying Republicans are gonna &qu...
ferengi
  10/06/26
We URGE you to elect an Egyptian citizen to the U.S. Senate!...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
who cares lol. Rogers might as well be a dual citizen of Isr...
ferengi
  10/06/26
🥴🥴🥴
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Great news for... Israel
nudist mood hell
  10/06/26
No one cares about this
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Thats the problem with Americans. They are too dumb to stick...
nudist mood hell
  10/06/26
But a "prediction market" correctly aggregates MUL...
Clear trailer park athletic conference
  10/06/26
Guess they haven’t updated their “algo” wi...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Polls are only accurate when it's good news for My Side!
jade passionate institution corn cake
  10/06/26
Cope harder lib
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Can’t imagine being such a fag you’re rooting fo...
High-end university alpha
  10/06/26
genocide vs. genocide with a slight, apologetic grimace
ferengi
  10/06/26
Democrats = communism. GOP has problems but nothing that ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
actually normal people all across the political spectrum fee...
ferengi
  10/06/26
What are you doing for income these days, box?
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
i'm on unemployment ($450/wk), still trying to find a job, h...
ferengi
  10/06/26
Well good luck with everything
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
ty. i have almost half a million in retirement accounts that...
ferengi
  10/06/26
Sorry about the mattress. Was it an assault by that JD Vanc...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
lol cq
ferengi
  10/06/26
The "Democrats = Communism" and "Republicans ...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
I’m not sure if anyone has told you this today but you...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
You're either deep into method acting or it's the former, an...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
*passes law in Florida u can’t be mean to me* *pass...
High-end university alpha
  10/06/26
Shhh! You're not supposed to notice!
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
the israel obsession out of nowhere is even gayer and more f...
Talking menage
  10/06/26
You're right. One has nearly bankrupted us, corrupted our de...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
cr This board is a remote little island of angry midwit w...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
*Guy who actually thinks he's smart despite all the evidence...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
My man you are losing your shit ITT, calm down it’s ju...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
You're right. Maybe I should blame the board. If only this p...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/06/26
...
vibrant pea-brained preventive strike kitchen
  10/06/26
Cr my bros and I (all 6'4+) were just talking about how 180 ...
Floppy house keepsake machete
  10/06/26
Spend less time online
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
We gotta make sure the GOP wins so they can *checks notes* o...
Stirring useless therapy
  10/11/26
bumping this for election night.
tantric big rigor
  10/06/26
You do you tough guy. It’s going to be really fun ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Just like these gems: https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thre...
tantric big rigor
  10/06/26
Non-responsive. Also gay.
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
On Election night, I will find you and FUCK YOU until you lo...
tantric big rigor
  10/07/26
You forgot to quote the clincher
Fucking Fuckface
  10/09/26
ChatGPT pay version: Is the early midterms voting data mo...
Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier
  10/06/26
Also, 2022 is a horrible comparator, because the pandemic wa...
Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier
  10/06/26
not to mention that was still when Trump was openly shitting...
slimy karate
  10/07/26
Thanks for bringing gay TDS jew Sam Altman’s perspecti...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Well, let's ask MAGA Grok then (not gonna waste my mental en...
Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier
  10/06/26
Ok, so nothing?
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
...
slimy karate
  10/07/26
Ohio early voting is underway… looking like mostly MA...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Turnout way down in Cleveland? That’s a problem! 😱ð...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
2024 was a potus year. Comparing to 2022 and/or 2018 would b...
Talking menage
  10/07/26
So the Israeli party is beating the Israeli party. csb
nudist mood hell
  10/06/26
...
MAGA's Prolapsed Anus
  10/06/26
Anyone seen a “blue wave” around? Anyone? htt...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Even prominent online libs are realizing with horror the pol...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
polls have always been bullshit dumbass
ferengi
  10/06/26
Tell it to all the overconfident libs, not me!
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
in 2024 i started reading the methodology sections and they ...
ferengi
  10/06/26
...
MAGA's Prolapsed Anus
  10/07/26
unskew
Emerald Cuckoldry Fortuitous Meteor
  10/06/26
Read thread title
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
Miami turnout down about 30% https://x.com/toneroushyus/s...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/06/26
This disinformation might hit harder if any libs were still ...
Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line
  10/07/26
DITHINFORMATION
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/07/26
If you have another word for Benny Johnson (besides pedo) fe...
Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line
  10/07/26
Looking like Obama won’t be able to save that 5’...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/07/26
Dem party whose highest priority is appeasing the Jewish sup...
Outnumbered codepig
  10/11/26
Dems probably should have tried to register more voters in b...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/07/26
uh oh spaghetti o
vibrant pea-brained preventive strike kitchen
  10/07/26
Really though this is because of the 3MM+ deportations Trump...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/07/26
Oh no the voter registration numbers!! That’s the ...
Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line
  10/07/26
...
ferengi
  10/08/26
Talarico has apparently been in a looney bin for the last we...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/08/26
Maybe if dems hire more illegals to work the campaigns they ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/08/26
This one is really bad libs. Make sure your buttplugs are in...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/08/26
Dems got one OK day of early voting turnout and then it tank...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/08/26
Dems are giving up on Ohio. I don’t like Vivek but it ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
You need to bump this thread about 400 more times if you wan...
territorial idiotic lodge
  10/09/26
Thanks for the bump.
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
Paul LePage, among others, is a lock to flip a blue house se...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
Ohio is a real shithole that deserves nothing but the worst,...
Fucking Fuckface
  10/09/26
Dem turnout fell off a cliff today https://x.com/justr_02...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
That’s a Trump +44% county homie
territorial idiotic lodge
  10/09/26
Is Cuyahoga Trump +44? https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
What will Georgia libs do now that they can’t cheat as...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
Georgians voting is cheating?
territorial idiotic lodge
  10/09/26
Did Fani Willis tell you to think that?
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
Gosh I hope the DNC wasn’t counting on any pickups in ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
wow this election data guy site sounds accurate. hey by the ...
Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line
  10/11/26
ruh roh https://x.com/macfarlanenews/status/2108660019029...
territorial idiotic lodge
  10/09/26
I concede dems will probably overperform in Virginia from al...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
Terrible news for Democrats https://x.com/randyheyyyy/sta...
territorial idiotic lodge
  10/09/26
Tommy pls respond
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/09/26
(retard)
Emerald Cuckoldry Fortuitous Meteor
  10/11/26
No real Republican is voting for that scamjeet
violet comical toaster
  10/11/26
The democrat hedging and fear is breaking containment https:...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
Game over for Mohamed Muslim Brotherhood el-Sayed https:/...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
Pro-Cornyn GOP whale donor in Houston finally grows a pair a...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
Does noted Smart Chick The Box tp still think Florida is in ...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
Veddy bad generic ballot trend for dems. https://x.com/ban...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
Libs is it “good” for your “blue wave&rdqu...
vengeful saffron garrison
  10/13/26
...
queensbridge benzo
  11/03/26


Poast new message in this thread



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:10 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

This is actual 2026 voting data btw, not a NYT/Siena/Gallup wishcast or some bullshit a “Kalshi” pajeet dreamed up on orders from USAID

https://x.com/taftermath2020/status/2107505880665387489?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174210)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 1:21 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Wisconsin dems look like they’re sitting this one out

https://x.com/jrrosswrites/status/2107475203534250310?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174232)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:00 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Uh oh!

https://x.com/bennyjohnson/status/2107542656679113097?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174556)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:02 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Iowa is going to be a repeat of “Selzer” in 2024, even perennial lib flack “Ryan Grim” sees it coming

https://x.com/ryangrim/status/2107498792723636365?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174563)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:04 PM
Author: Grizzly dashing haunted graveyard pozpig

Lmao we’re in our last few years where our dicks work and this is what you incels care about?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174567)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:20 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

If I have anything to say about it I am never having “sex” again, lmao at wasting resources on rancid 2026 slimepits under any circumstances

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174599)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:50 PM
Author: Grizzly dashing haunted graveyard pozpig

I’m married with kids and having a midlife crisis.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174662)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:03 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Get TT6 to sort you out

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174691)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:11 AM
Author: nudist mood hell

r we talking gay sex or a discussion?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176042)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:39 PM
Author: abusive messiness



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174644)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: ferengi

left media is quoting Trump saying Republicans are gonna "cheat like hell like [Democrats] do" at the midterm convention and urging people to vote in person

https://youtu.be/JHBRMyx_xHs?t=10

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174603)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:27 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

We URGE you to elect an Egyptian citizen to the U.S. Senate!

https://x.com/leadingreport/status/2107508695257034941?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174615)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:30 PM
Author: ferengi

who cares lol. Rogers might as well be a dual citizen of Israel. i'm an independent, not a Dem, and El-Sayed is clearly the better candidate

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174619)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:32 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

🥴🥴🥴

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174625)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: nudist mood hell

Great news for... Israel

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174605)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:28 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

No one cares about this

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174616)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:07 PM
Author: nudist mood hell

Thats the problem with Americans. They are too dumb to stick to a topic.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174698)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:23 PM
Author: Clear trailer park athletic conference

But a "prediction market" correctly aggregates MULTIPLE relevant polls.....!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174606)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:31 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Guess they haven’t updated their “algo” with this one yet

https://x.com/iapolls2022/status/2107165960671252897?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174621)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:35 PM
Author: jade passionate institution corn cake

Polls are only accurate when it's good news for My Side!



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174637)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:37 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Cope harder lib

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174641)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:38 PM
Author: High-end university alpha

Can’t imagine being such a fag you’re rooting for one side of Israelis over the other

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174643)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:41 PM
Author: ferengi

genocide vs. genocide with a slight, apologetic grimace

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174645)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:41 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Democrats = communism.

GOP has problems but nothing that comes close to the absolute destruction of America democommies are openly guaranteeing.

That’s all there is to it. Your “Israel” obesession is somewhere between boring and retarded at this point, and no one is listening to you.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174646)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: ferengi

actually normal people all across the political spectrum feel this way, you're the weird one

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174647)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:42 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

What are you doing for income these days, box?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174648)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:46 PM
Author: ferengi

i'm on unemployment ($450/wk), still trying to find a job, have a few prospects in the works rn. probably gonna take a pay cut compared to my last job; i'm applying to anything over $150k whereas i was in the 180s before. but now that i'm cooking 90% of my meals instead of ordering 90% on the delivery apps, i'm pretty confident $150k will be fine.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174652)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:49 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Well good luck with everything

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174655)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: ferengi

ty. i have almost half a million in retirement accounts that i can withdraw from at massive penalty if i don't find anything in the next few months and run out of money. my 12yo mattress just got fucked and i just had an unexpected $900 expense buying a new one so that day may come sooner than i thought

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174663)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Sorry about the mattress. Was it an assault by that JD Vance character?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174671)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: ferengi

lol cq

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174693)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:53 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

The "Democrats = Communism" and "Republicans = Freedom's Last Stand" shit makes me think you're a caricature. I know it's a faux pas to ask, but is this IRL or just schtick?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174666)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:12 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

I’m not sure if anyone has told you this today but you are extremely dumb.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174705)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:14 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

You're either deep into method acting or it's the former, and since you don't strike me in any way as talented or insightful, it looks like we've got an answer

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174708)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:50 PM
Author: High-end university alpha

*passes law in Florida u can’t be mean to me*

*passes senate vote not to investigate deaths of Americans at hands of israelis*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174661)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Shhh! You're not supposed to notice!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174672)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:54 PM
Author: Talking menage

the israel obsession out of nowhere is even gayer and more forced than the Ukraine shit. At least with Ukraine they’re fucking up Russia even if it is a retarded waste of money and human life that we should never gotten involved with.

Iran stuff you see libs openly rooting against America and for our enemies.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174669)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:56 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

You're right. One has nearly bankrupted us, corrupted our democracy, destroyed our social cohesion, and made us into global villains. The other was dumb enough to give up their nukes and rely on promises of protection

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174674)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:13 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

cr

This board is a remote little island of angry midwit weirdos now, very little correspondence to IRL. Big difference from say 2016 when we were plugged tf in to what was coming.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174707)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:20 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

*Guy who actually thinks he's smart despite all the evidence to the contrary and just doesn't understand why more people can't see it*

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174717)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:21 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

My man you are losing your shit ITT, calm down it’s just online

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174718)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

You're right. Maybe I should blame the board. If only this place weren't filled with midwits, I could get the appreciation I deserve!

Go on, show me again how it's done

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174724)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:02 PM
Author: vibrant pea-brained preventive strike kitchen



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174690)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:10 PM
Author: Floppy house keepsake machete

Cr my bros and I (all 6'4+) were just talking about how 180 Israel is but also how it's nbd and pales in comparison to the real issues facing everyday hardworking folks

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175233)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 11:11 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Spend less time online

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175236)



Reply

Date: October 11th, 2026 10:38 PM
Author: Stirring useless therapy

We gotta make sure the GOP wins so they can *checks notes* open government equity ownership of industry and redistribute wealth via “dividends.”

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50184930)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 4:51 PM
Author: tantric big rigor

bumping this for election night.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174664)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:07 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

You do you tough guy.

It’s going to be really fun watching your confidence wither and die over the next 3 weeks as reality sets in YET AGAIN for shitlibs around the world.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174697)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: tantric big rigor

Just like these gems:

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125881&mc=7&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4127585&mc=5&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125516&mc=4&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4135075&mc=21&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4118321&mc=7&forum_id=2#37120002

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4007938&mc=10&forum_id=2

https://xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125721&mc=5&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174723)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:32 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Non-responsive. Also gay.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174729)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:15 AM
Author: tantric big rigor

On Election night, I will find you and FUCK YOU until you love me.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176052)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

You forgot to quote the clincher

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180918)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier

ChatGPT pay version:

Is the early midterms voting data more favorable to Democrats or Republicans?

So far, the early-voting data show higher Democratic participation relative to recent baselines, although the data are still sparse and heavily weighted toward mail voting. The clearest evidence is Virginia: as of the latest detailed analysis, voters with a Democratic-primary history were outnumbering those with a Republican-primary history by about 18 points statewide, versus only about an 8-point Democratic advantage at the same stage in 2024. In two competitive Republican-held House districts, the change was especially large: VA-1 went from roughly R+3 at this point in 2024 to D+15 now, and VA-2 from about D+2 to D+18.

There are similar patterns in mail-ballot requests. Registered Democrats account for 67% of requests in Iowa (54% at the comparable point in 2024), 66% in Pennsylvania (62% in 2024), 57% in Maine (53%), and 42% in North Carolina (36%). One important qualification is that, except for Iowa, those Democratic shares are actually lower than they were at the comparable point in the 2022 midterm.

The reason I would not translate those figures directly into an election forecast is that mail voting is structurally much more Democratic than Election Day voting, and Republicans have tended to cast a larger portion of their votes later. VoteHub specifically warns that the meaningful comparison is not simply D versus R ballots today, but whether each party is turning out voters faster than its historical pattern—and whether it is reaching lower-propensity voters rather than merely banking votes from people who would certainly vote anyway.

That said, the relative-to-baseline numbers are the interesting part, particularly Virginia. The difference between D+18 now and D+8 at the comparable point in 2024 is harder to dismiss merely as Democrats preferring early voting, because that preference existed in 2024 too. The same is true of the sizable shifts in VA-1 and VA-2. That is evidence of a Democratic turnout/enthusiasm advantage at this stage of voting, rather than evidence about how the ballots themselves were cast.

It's also consistent with the broader environment: recent national polling has shown Democrats ahead on congressional preference, while contemporary election analysis has identified Democratic enthusiasm as one of the important features of the 2026 electorate.

Bottom line as of October 6: the early-vote evidence currently shows stronger Democratic participation relative to recent comparable periods, with Virginia providing the strongest signal. But we're still roughly four weeks from Election Day, many states have barely begun in-person voting, and Republican turnout historically arrives later. So these numbers are considerably more useful as an enthusiasm indicator than as a proxy for the eventual vote.

The next thing I'd watch is whether that Virginia D-overperformance persists once several hundred thousand more in-person votes come in, and whether the same pattern emerges in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia, and the competitive House districts. That will tell us substantially more than today's national aggregate.

I can keep an eye on the early-vote data and let you know when the picture materially changes.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174692)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:08 PM
Author: Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier

Also, 2022 is a horrible comparator, because the pandemic was still going on then, which Democrats took much more seriously than Republicans and so voted by mail much more.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174699)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:25 PM
Author: slimy karate

not to mention that was still when Trump was openly shitting on mail-in voting

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176702)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:10 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Thanks for bringing gay TDS jew Sam Altman’s perspective ITT. Anything from your brain?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174701)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:14 PM
Author: Soul-stirring Mauve Location Sound Barrier

Well, let's ask MAGA Grok then (not gonna waste my mental energy on this, plus we are both biased)

Is the early midterms voting data more favorable to Democrats or Republicans?

Thought for 10s

Early voting data for the 2026 midterms currently looks more favorable to Democrats, mainly as a sign of higher Democratic participation so far—not as a count of actual votes.

As of October 6, the University of Florida Election Lab reports about 1.6 million early votes nationwide (roughly 1.3 million returned mail ballots and 304,000 in-person). In the states that report party registration, the split among those who have already voted is about 58% Democratic, 26% Republican, and 16% unaffiliated or minor-party. That is a large Democratic edge, but it covers only part of the country and a small share of the expected total vote.

CNN’s October 1 analysis of ballot requests and early returns (compiled with the AP and Catalist) found the same pattern in several competitive states, and a larger Democratic share than at the same point in 2024:

Iowa: Democrats about 67% of ballot requests, up from 54%

Pennsylvania: 66%, up from 62%

Maine: 57%, up from 53%

North Carolina: 42%, up from 36%

In Virginia, which does not register by party, localities that backed Harris by more than 20 points in 2024 were at 78% of their early-voting pace from the same point in 2024, versus 61% in localities Trump won by more than 20. Using primary participation as a proxy, Democratic primary voters were also leading among early voters in competitive House districts (roughly 15–18 points in VA-1 and VA-2). North Carolina data posted the same day showed early/absentee ballots so far about 45% Democratic, 17% Republican, and 38% unaffiliated, with voters 65 and older making up about 61%.

These numbers line up with stronger Democratic primary turnout this year and with polling that has generally shown Democrats more motivated. An NBC poll in September also found Democrats shifting somewhat toward early in-person voting and away from mail relative to 2024, while Republican plans (mostly Election Day) were little changed.

Important limits:

Party registration is not the same as how someone votes. Ballots are not counted until Election Day.

Early and especially mail voters have skewed Democratic in recent cycles; Republicans have tended to vote later, often on Election Day. CNN notes that, except in Iowa, Democratic shares of requests in those states were higher at this point in 2022 than they are now.

Volume is still small relative to the roughly 57 million pre-Election Day votes in 2022. Most in-person early voting ramps up later in October.

The early electorate is heavily older (about 65% age 65+ in states reporting age).

So the early data favor Democrats on turnout and enthusiasm relative to 2024, but they do not yet show who will win, and the gap can narrow as in-person early voting and Election Day voting increase. Election Day is November 3.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174709)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:16 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Ok, so nothing?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174711)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:26 PM
Author: slimy karate



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176703)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:25 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Ohio early voting is underway… looking like mostly MAGA boomers, DSA zoomer freaks nowhere in sight.

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107532100110868984?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174725)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:41 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Turnout way down in Cleveland? That’s a problem! 😱😱😱

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107593912088952951?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174791)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 6:05 AM
Author: Talking menage

2024 was a potus year. Comparing to 2022 and/or 2018 would be more relevant

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175559)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: nudist mood hell

So the Israeli party is beating the Israeli party.

csb

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174740)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:48 PM
Author: MAGA's Prolapsed Anus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174805)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 6:58 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Anyone seen a “blue wave” around? Anyone?

https://x.com/redeaglepatriot/status/2107599417473904908?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174828)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:01 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Even prominent online libs are realizing with horror the polls have been bullshit all year. This entire month is going to be fucking hilarious.

https://x.com/mattzeitlin/status/2107565824294760730?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174943)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:02 PM
Author: ferengi

polls have always been bullshit dumbass

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174946)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:11 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Tell it to all the overconfident libs, not me!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174954)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:16 PM
Author: ferengi

in 2024 i started reading the methodology sections and they admit to manipulating the numbers sooo much. really easy to under- or over-count groups to get the results close to what they want. especially if it's a "Likely Voters" total - they have the most absurd formulas that they present as corresponding to voter likelihood.

e.g. https://pbs.twimg.com/media/GY75NycWEAACyhq?format=jpg&name=medium ... they probably work backwards from desired results to arrive at these convoluted formulas

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174962)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 7:33 AM
Author: MAGA's Prolapsed Anus



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175627)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:07 PM
Author: Emerald Cuckoldry Fortuitous Meteor

unskew

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174950)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:11 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Read thread title

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174955)



Reply

Date: October 6th, 2026 8:29 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Miami turnout down about 30%

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107619670165532805?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50174978)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:23 AM
Author: Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line

This disinformation might hit harder if any libs were still on twitter

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175769)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:30 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

DITHINFORMATION

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175788)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 11:29 AM
Author: Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line

If you have another word for Benny Johnson (besides pedo) feel free to offer it up

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176092)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 9:32 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Looking like Obama won’t be able to save that 5’2” terrorist manlet in Michigan

https://x.com/petebray/status/2107681915088318939?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50175803)



Reply

Date: October 11th, 2026 5:54 PM
Author: Outnumbered codepig

Dem party whose highest priority is appeasing the Jewish supremacist billionaire donor are letting him rot. They’d rather loose than support a candidate who dares to criticize beautiful innocent sweet little Israel.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50184400)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 2:55 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Dems probably should have tried to register more voters in battleground states and districts over the last two years.

https://x.com/devorydarkins/status/2107851253556433144?s=46

Too late now!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176650)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 2:59 PM
Author: vibrant pea-brained preventive strike kitchen

uh oh spaghetti o

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176659)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 3:01 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Really though this is because of the 3MM+ deportations Trump has accomplished so far plus his mail fraud crackdown. (Both of which are still heavily ongoing as we speak.)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176663)



Reply

Date: October 7th, 2026 4:07 PM
Author: Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line

Oh no the voter registration numbers!!

That’s the same as turning out to vote for the candidate, right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50176770)



Reply

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:52 PM
Author: ferengi



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50178838)



Reply

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:51 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Talarico has apparently been in a looney bin for the last week-plus. Still a “lean D” race libs?

https://x.com/seanfeucht/status/2108259964095512907?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50178834)



Reply

Date: October 8th, 2026 3:53 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Maybe if dems hire more illegals to work the campaigns they can stop their current slide before it gets really bad.

https://x.com/insiderwire/status/2108035262966325448?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50178842)



Reply

Date: October 8th, 2026 5:43 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

This one is really bad libs. Make sure your buttplugs are in and adjusted and comfy before clicking.

https://x.com/ppollingnumbers/status/2108266972895146236?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50179026)



Reply

Date: October 8th, 2026 5:45 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Dems got one OK day of early voting turnout and then it tanked, while GOP EV turnout has remained consistent.

https://x.com/earlyvotedata/status/2108308393970786647?s=46

Trend is going to stay like this and all the key races will be Joever by Halloween. Election Day in-person voting will just be GOP kicking libs while they’re down.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50179030)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:04 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Dems are giving up on Ohio. I don’t like Vivek but it will still be 180 to see the lib wailing when he’s sworn in

https://x.com/smith_cade9/status/2108364469973770485?s=46

https://x.com/e_dataguy/status/2107945309615559008?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180911)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: territorial idiotic lodge

You need to bump this thread about 400 more times if you want Dems to lose

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180915)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:06 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Thanks for the bump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180917)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:05 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Paul LePage, among others, is a lock to flip a blue house seat.

https://x.com/opensourcezone/status/2108652740914106819?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180916)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:08 PM
Author: Fucking Fuckface

Ohio is a real shithole that deserves nothing but the worst, so I'm happy almost no matter what happens there

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180921)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:17 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Dem turnout fell off a cliff today

https://x.com/justr_02/status/2108342347469664388?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180944)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:46 PM
Author: territorial idiotic lodge

That’s a Trump +44% county homie

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181004)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:50 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Is Cuyahoga Trump +44?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2107950002555215989?s=46

Or how about Franklin?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2108575501317030290?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181014)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:09 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

What will Georgia libs do now that they can’t cheat as much? Other than scream and bitch and attempt assassinations that is.

https://x.com/rncvoteprotect/status/2108642028833886697?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180924)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:47 PM
Author: territorial idiotic lodge

Georgians voting is cheating?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181007)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Did Fani Willis tell you to think that?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181010)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:24 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Gosh I hope the DNC wasn’t counting on any pickups in Indiana

https://x.com/e_dataguy/status/2108583263166185842?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180960)



Reply

Date: October 11th, 2026 11:59 PM
Author: Sick trip volcanic crater personal credit line

wow this election data guy site sounds accurate. hey by the way how are they projecting the elections to end up?

https://www.electiondataguy.com/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50185027)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:44 PM
Author: territorial idiotic lodge

ruh roh

https://x.com/macfarlanenews/status/2108660019029819617?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50180999)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:46 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

I concede dems will probably overperform in Virginia from all the seething unemployed feds, plus I assume CIA Abby’s voter fraud machine runs pretty tight.

GOP blue-to-red House flips elsewhere will balance it out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181005)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:48 PM
Author: territorial idiotic lodge

Terrible news for Democrats

https://x.com/randyheyyyy/status/2108650513340174765?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181011)



Reply

Date: October 9th, 2026 5:52 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Tommy pls respond

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50181018)



Reply

Date: October 11th, 2026 6:56 PM
Author: Emerald Cuckoldry Fortuitous Meteor

(retard)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50184569)



Reply

Date: October 11th, 2026 10:41 PM
Author: violet comical toaster

No real Republican is voting for that scamjeet

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50184934)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:30 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

The democrat hedging and fear is breaking containment https://x.com/kalshipolitics/status/2110022015767707951

https://x.com/markdharris/status/2109969583973044547

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187738)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:42 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Game over for Mohamed Muslim Brotherhood el-Sayed

https://x.com/sirerottweiler/status/2109918729127752003?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187767)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:44 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Pro-Cornyn GOP whale donor in Houston finally grows a pair and endorses Paxton. Voters can’t lie to themselves about what’s at stake anymore.

https://x.com/deskofmattcone/status/2110022764321181792

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187771)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:53 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Does noted Smart Chick The Box tp still think Florida is in play?😂

https://x.com/jakesnake4321/status/2110004392745476535

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187796)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 11:59 AM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Veddy bad generic ballot trend for dems.

https://x.com/bananarep405/status/2109995129226592480

What you’re seeing is their “retaking the House” pipe dream going up in smoke.

https://x.com/patrickruffini/status/2109829114249007187

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187808)



Reply

Date: October 13th, 2026 12:19 PM
Author: vengeful saffron garrison

Libs is it “good” for your “blue wave” that more white republicans are voting in ATLANTA than black democrats?

https://x.com/toneroushyus/status/2110023720760922509?s=46

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50187851)



Reply

Date: November 3rd, 2026 10:26 PM
Author: queensbridge benzo



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5910227&forum_id=2.#50228853)