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Odds Ossoff loses in 2026?
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:43 PM Author: trip french chef Of course it depends on the events of the next six years, but he’ll have an incumbency advantage and dramatic demographic changes in GA by then. The only disadvantage he’ll have is it won’t be a POTUS year. Is 60% a reasonable guess for re-election? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740356) |
Date: January 12th, 2021 5:43 PM Author: sooty startled filthpig locale its 50/50 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740359) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:03 PM Author: Black Exhilarant Coffee Pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741110) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:45 PM Author: cyan chest-beating partner With ballot harvesting, 0% (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740370) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:45 PM Author: Stimulating Cerise Spot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740375) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:54 PM Author: zippy messiness rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740412) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:59 PM Author: fluffy giraffe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740440) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:46 PM Author: Turquoise Histrionic Space Boistinker Depends on if there's Dem POTUS or not (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740377) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:53 PM Author: trip french chef Assume Kamala Harris wins exactly the states Biden won over Hawley in 2024 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740409) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:56 PM Author: zippy messiness rigpig Bold to assume Democrats will permit elections after General Secretary Kamala Harris assumes her role as head of the Presidium of the Supreme People's Assembly in 2023 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740424) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:56 PM Author: Adulterous sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740428) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 5:59 PM Author: fluffy giraffe There will be "people's elections" just like there were in the USSR and like there are in China. Voting is mandatory but choose wisely. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740441) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 6:01 PM Author: zippy messiness rigpig Just 1 box to check, no need to give anyone the burden of choosing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740450) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 6:04 PM Author: fluffy giraffe Occasionally they add other options for 2 reasons:
1. Gives claim to legitimacy, even if there is none; and
2. The enemies of the people reveal themselves through their choices. The results are pre-determined anyway, so you're simply offering enemies of the state to self-identify that way. They'll be dealt with in due course. And with the new technocratic fascist state they're building, they can link up their votes with their social media accounts, their online activity, and so on to determine who the greatest threats are. |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 6:32 PM Author: Coral bat-shit-crazy mental disorder Don't incumbent senators win reelection over 80% of the time? Couple that with the fact that the demographics in Georgia are trending his direction, I would like his chances. It's crazy to think that he won't even be 40 and he'll be seeking a second term as senator (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740588) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 7:31 PM Author: trip french chef Yeah but that 80% includes states like Rhode Island and Mississippi. It’s fair to assume a Democrat who won GA by a razor thin margin in an unusual year might be somewhat lower (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41740946) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:02 PM Author: Coral bat-shit-crazy mental disorder I'd still like his chances. Abrams will win the governor's race in 2022. Mail-in ballots are here to stay in Georgia. It'll be tough for Republicans to win going forward. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741102) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:06 PM Author: cyan chest-beating partner The harvesting machine is just going to get better. GOP is toast in Georgia. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741118) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:31 PM Author: lake temple newt Stacey is a shoo in for Governor in 2022. Blacks love her and will turn out in huge numbers. Kemp’s name is dirt in the GOP now so they won’t turn out for him. They need a good primary challenger. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741275) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:05 PM Author: cyan chest-beating partner He also had no capacity to do anything higher, and he will go as lib as he needs to on a moments notice. Senator for life. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741116) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:15 PM Author: Coral bat-shit-crazy mental disorder The only elected office that's "really higher" then being a senator is being the POTUS plus who knows? He's 33 right now. Who's to say he won't be a presidential candidate in twenty or thirty years?
Regardless, being a senator in a key state like Georgia for the next two decades isn't a bad gig |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 8:17 PM Author: cyan chest-beating partner He will be a perennial POTUS candidate for the rest of our lives under the fake pretense that he can be lib and also appeal to white southern voters (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41748496) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:27 PM Author: lake temple newt He will be Kamala’s VP by then and Governor Stacey Abrams will select his replacement, Lucy McBath. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741248) |
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Date: January 12th, 2021 8:50 PM Author: Overrated Mint Codepig What were the odds that a GOP incumbent POTUS would lose GA the same year he won Florida, NC, SC and Ohio? Once you've accepted that the answer is 100% you will know the answer to your own question. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41741498) |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 1:18 AM Author: milky galvanic corner GA is significantly more black, young and urban than the other 4 states you mention. Or it was a giant Democrat conspiracy that roped in Republican statewide elected officials and Republican-appointed judges but nevertheless came as close as possible to failing to take the Senate or the Presidency and lost most of the close House races. Which explanation seems more likely to you? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41743045) |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 1:24 AM Author: Overrated Mint Codepig https://imgur.com/a/E9VIdXl (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41743063) |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 1:30 AM Author: milky galvanic corner I guess I missed the part where we pick a president based on the NYT website before most of the votes have been counted. Isn't the NYT a shitlib paper run by morons that are wrong about everything? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4737804&forum_id=2Elisa#41743070) |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 1:28 AM Author: milky galvanic corner Imagine that you go back to 2014. Jeff Sessions has just won uncontested reelection with 97% of the vote and appears near-certain to spend the rest of his life as Alabama Senator.
Now a guy comes up to you and says "In 2016, Jeff will be appointed AG by President Trump. Of course, Alabama's R governor will appoint a highly qualified institutional R to replace him. But he will get primaried by Roy Moore - yes, the ten commandments judge. But it turns out that Roy is banned from the mall because he chased teenage pussy too aggressively and no one has ever mentioned this until a month before the election, so some Democrat that no one has ever heard of wins. But don't worry, after Jeff is systematically humiliated by President Trump, the Auburn football coach will win in 2020 and bring the seat back home for the R team."
You would think that guy was on some serious drugs. The point is, don't worry about predicting political shit that is six years in the future. We've got 2022 to think about if you want to obsess over stupid bullshit, and at least you can see how your bets play out on a reasonable time frame in that case. |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 1:35 AM Author: 180 frozen psychic regret 6 years of demographic change?
lol, moron. less than 1%. He's there for life. |
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Date: January 13th, 2021 8:22 AM Author: Diverse School Cafeteria It depends. Georgia may be a situation like Colorado or Virginia where they state turns blue
Or if the GOP can field some kind of moderate candidate to win back some of the burbs, maybe. Six years is long time though |
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Date: February 26th, 2026 10:31 AM Author: ,,,....,,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,.,,. more like 80%
https://polymarket.com/event/georgia-senate-election-winner |