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5-10 years... "biglawyers" = lamplighters out of work

...
ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann
  07/18/25
God willing
odious orchid twinkling uncleanness
  07/18/25
Inshallah
ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann
  07/18/25
...
henna duck-like corner
  07/18/25
...
ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann
  07/18/25
nickel endimed
Autistic Jade Hell Mexican
  07/18/25
What happens next though? Clearly we still have lawyers ...
laughsome alcoholic clown market
  07/18/25
Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling m...
irradiated fishy skinny woman
  07/18/25
What is the bulk of your business
milky turdskin roast beef
  07/18/25
The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions...
irradiated fishy skinny woman
  07/18/25
lol 180
misunderstood beady-eyed chapel queen of the night
  07/18/25
180
milky turdskin roast beef
  07/18/25
...
blue bat-shit-crazy brunch indirect expression
  07/19/25
prole squabbles, llp
supple gaping
  07/18/25
UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologi...
Aquamarine house water buffalo
  07/18/25
...
ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann
  07/18/25
how about we just have billionaires who "lord" ove...
scarlet talking french chef
  07/18/25
Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money ...
brass rehab potus
  07/18/25
...
ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann
  07/18/25
I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impr...
diverse shrine
  07/18/25
I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capa...
Exciting stag film volcanic crater
  07/18/25
It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there&rsqu...
Titillating address
  07/18/25
Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro ...
Exciting stag film volcanic crater
  07/18/25
It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucina...
Titillating address
  07/18/25
Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex lo...
Titillating address
  07/18/25
Coping fag hello
Titillating address
  07/18/25
You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to ...
Exciting stag film volcanic crater
  07/18/25
Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to...
dashing harsh principal's office
  07/18/25
Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of s...
Titillating address
  07/19/25
Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argu...
Zippy circlehead
  07/19/25
Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law produ...
Titillating address
  07/19/25
OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants
twisted soul-stirring associate temple
  07/18/25
...
Galvanic quadroon
  07/19/25
I wish.
At-the-ready high-end orchestra pit
  07/18/25
Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. ...
180 aqua toaster hairy legs
  07/18/25


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:16 AM
Author: ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111109)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 4:23 AM
Author: odious orchid twinkling uncleanness

God willing

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111113)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann

Inshallah

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111128)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: henna duck-like corner



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49112809)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:49 PM
Author: ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113496)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 4:53 AM
Author: Autistic Jade Hell Mexican

nickel endimed

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111131)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 6:33 AM
Author: laughsome alcoholic clown market

What happens next though?

Clearly we still have lawyers and law firms, but perhaps the firm headcount drops to 10% the current headcount, and AI/software picks up the slack.

In that world, is the firm owned by just a handful of partners? Do law firms start to act like lean software companies? When does a U.S. firm IPO?

The counterpoint btw is that we just do a lot more work that was prohibitively expensive before. For example, I probably see 25+ cease and desist letters for every lawsuit, because letters cost $5-10k and lawsuits cost $100k to initiate and $5M+ to litigate through summary judgment. If cost of litigation drops [80%] people may file many more lawsuits. There could be an analogous dynamic on the corporate/business side.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111194)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:00 AM
Author: irradiated fishy skinny woman

Interesting point. Here in shitlaw, I have people calling me virtually every day because their "friend" cheated them out of $300 or something. I tell them it doesn't make financial sense to pursue that and they start crying. There's a big untapped market out there for adjudicating squabbles among proles.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111342)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:28 AM
Author: milky turdskin roast beef

What is the bulk of your business

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111384)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:43 AM
Author: irradiated fishy skinny woman

The single biggest area is rural real estate law. Evictions, construction disputes, zoning issues. Tons of lawsuits over exactly who owns some piece of land, often with a rotting mobile home sitting on it. Average client expenditure is about $3000, but that varies wildly.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111405)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:54 AM
Author: misunderstood beady-eyed chapel queen of the night

lol 180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111430)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:15 AM
Author: milky turdskin roast beef

180

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111461)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:10 AM
Author: blue bat-shit-crazy brunch indirect expression



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113902)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:19 AM
Author: supple gaping

prole squabbles, llp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111464)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:46 AM
Author: Aquamarine house water buffalo

UBI is a must and these gains in income (from LLM technologies)for the technologists or corporations replacing people with chatbots needs to be scrutinized and tracked ASAP to start determining the amount owed to the american citizenry

it's critical

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111414)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113498)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:56 PM
Author: scarlet talking french chef

how about we just have billionaires who "lord" over us and poors who you could say serve or maybe "serf" them and then anyone who doesn't go along with this gets to die

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113524)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:47 AM
Author: brass rehab potus

Don't count on a 10 year horizon. Get your retirement money as soon as you fucking can

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111417)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:50 PM
Author: ocher trip sanctuary boltzmann



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113499)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:50 AM
Author: diverse shrine

I’ve used Lexis and westlaw’s AI. Still not impressed. It helps, it certainly makes us more productive, but major reductions in headcount? Also, everyone keeps saying wait another year. But we’re a couple of years in and the capabilities (at least as applied to law) seem about the same.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111420)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 9:57 AM
Author: Exciting stag film volcanic crater

I'm not sure what sort of tools biglaw is using, but AI capabilities have skyrocketed over the past two years and there's no reason that wouldn't apply to law if it applies subjects that are at least as complex.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111435)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:33 AM
Author: Titillating address

It’s pretty crap right now and often in law there’s no objectively correct answer unlike coding or whatever. Here’s a better explanation why law is harder to master for AI than coding.

Coding is governed by strict syntax and deterministic rules. A given input in a programming language will always produce the same output if the code is correct.

• Legal analysis involves ambiguous language, conflicting authorities, policy tradeoffs, and context-sensitive reasoning—skills that require human judgment and real-world understanding.

AI has been trained on massive open-source code repositories like GitHub, with clear labels, documentation, and results. This data is abundant, consistent, and high-quality.

• Legal data is more fragmented:

• Case law is often behind paywalls.

• Court decisions may be long, inconsistent, or involve complex procedural postures.

• Outcomes are not always “correct” or universally agreed upon.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111495)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:34 AM
Author: Exciting stag film volcanic crater

Yeah I think this is horseshit cope tbh. Models like o3 pro can absolutely handle textual nuance and complex questions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111500)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 10:44 AM
Author: Titillating address

It pushes out shit legal work product riddled with hallucinations or misstatements of the law.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111526)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 11:24 AM
Author: Titillating address

Also, the law isn’t just pure logic or even complex logic, unlike coding, there’s no single correct answer to the important questions that get litigated, the legal background is often contradictory and nuanced so you can’t just train it easily.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111634)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:04 PM
Author: Titillating address

Coping fag hello

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111710)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 18th, 2025 12:10 PM
Author: Exciting stag film volcanic crater

You're just wrong about AI capabilities and AI's ability to generate responses when there isn't an objectively correct answer, there isn't much else to say. If anything law being subjective bullshit will make it easier to automate. When I deal with ai skeptics these days I mostly just wait for reality to prove them wrong.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111715)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 5:46 PM
Author: dashing harsh principal's office

Not only that but it basically only has to be good enough to replace paralegals and juniors to have an enormous impact, which it pretty much already has

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49112807)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 7:23 AM
Author: Titillating address

Why don’t you explain why I’m wrong instead of saying “I’m just wrong” with no explanation?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113912)



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Date: July 19th, 2025 7:26 AM
Author: Zippy circlehead

Just respond to chatgpt and ask it for the pro-legal AI argument to the answer it just gave you

(delete the em dash next time you retard)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113914)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 19th, 2025 2:45 PM
Author: Titillating address

Current reality supports the anti-AI argument. AI law products are pretty shit for any complex practice.

No doubt that people who rely on making money through teams of 20 paralegals filling out forms and doing rote tasks will change a lot but automating such repetitive thoughtless tasks is entirely different than writing a compelling brief based on nuanced and complex facts in an uncertain area of law.

It most likely will be similar to how word processing eliminated a lot of support positions.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49114500)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 9:58 AM
Author: twisted soul-stirring associate temple

OP also thought Excel would eliminate accountants

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111438)



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Date: July 19th, 2025 1:33 AM
Author: Galvanic quadroon



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49113713)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 10:23 AM
Author: At-the-ready high-end orchestra pit

I wish.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111468)



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Date: July 18th, 2025 12:24 PM
Author: 180 aqua toaster hairy legs

Its barely any better than a google search was 6 years ago. Add on top that people using it are dumber. All AI is going to do is maybe help the few smart people left do stuff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5751717&forum_id=2Reputation#49111741)