And it turns out when you're America, you can just kill the bad guys and keep killing until someone decides working with America is a better deal.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49703274)

Speak loudly and brandish a big FUCKSTICK

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49703282)

Iraqis were dancing and celebrating when saddam was captured back in 2003 iirc. The next decade didn’t go so well for them so we’ll see what unfolds

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49703397)

There are entire university departments, think tanks, media outlets, NGOs, foundations, and political parties devoted to promoting self-defeating, enervating fictions about terrorism designed to tie the hands of the West. We just have to live with it, deal with it, accommodate it, accept the barbarism. Terrorists have grievances. It's partly our fault, after all, because reasons. There are no military solutions. If we're nice to the terrorists they will actually help us stabilize the region. The tropes go on forever and they are invented by people who want the west to lose, and who would rather be wrong but appear sophisticated than be right and appear crude.

Trump wants our side to win. The winning approach to terrorism is very simple. Bomb them to smithereens. Kill them off. Decapitate the regimes. Sanction them until they have no more money for jihad. Trump gets it, because unlike so many people in politics, he doesn't care whether Harvard likes him.

Winning is going to generate a real peace dividend for America. Finally dealing with Iran -- the head of the snake -- will enable the US to step away from the Middle East. It will send a message to our adversaries that the big dog is still in charge. And very enjoyably, it will sweep aside decades of dumb elite groupthink about how we have no alternative but to cut deals with terrorists. Thank you President Trump.

https://x.com/NoahPollak/status/2027770547451408733?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704078)

SIDNER: “How do you square the no war promise with the potential of a protracted war?”

JENNINGS: “Well, first of all, the president has consistently, over the course of his entire public life, said he will NEVER permit the Iranian regime to have a nuclear weapon.”

“That’s why he took action last summer, and that’s part of the reason he took action today.”

“So I don’t see this as him starting a war. I see this as a preventative measure to prevent a war against the largest state sponsor of terror in the world.”

“My view is this is a new day for the people of Iran.”

“It’s a new day for the Middle East.”

“And it’s a new day for the world, because the most courageous commander in chief of my lifetime said, I’m not putting up with this.”

“We’ve been banging our head against a wall for 47 years, while these guys terrorized the world.”

“And I’m not going to permit it any longer.”

“So when I see these Iranian people in LA and other places celebrating, I can only imagine their emotions and the emotions of the people in Iran who now have a chance to take back their country and restore what was once a great pro-Western country.”

“That’s the end goal here. No more war, but peace and a government and a culture in Iran that can actually participate with the rest of the world, instead of terrorize it.”

“That’s what the president did, he oughta be commended for it.”

https://x.com/overton_news/status/2027933491896213562?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704082)

The post linked here tying Venezuela, Nigeria, Cuba, Mexico and Iran as a curtailment of Chinese power was interesting.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704458)

https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839714&mc=4&forum_id=2

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704469)

Ahram Online confirmed Israeli-US aircraft struck a depot site in Zanjan. IRNA, Iran’s own state news agency, reported explosions. Multiple OSINT accounts circulated footage of detonations consistent with precision-guided munitions hitting stored ordnance, the kind of secondary explosions that happen when a bomb hits a warehouse full of things that also explode.

Now pull the map back and understand what Zanjan tells you about the scale of what is happening inside Iran tonight.

Tehran. Isfahan. Qom. Karaj. Kermanshah. Tabriz. Lorestan. And now Zanjan. Eight cities across a country the size of Alaska being struck simultaneously by two air forces operating from carriers, regional bases, and stealth platforms that Iran cannot detect. This is not a targeted operation against a nuclear program. This is the systematic dismantlement of Iran’s entire military supply chain. Depots. Command nodes. Radar installations. Missile storage. Leadership compounds. The target list has expanded by hundreds of percent according to Israeli sources who described thousands of hours of intelligence preparation. Every site Iran spent decades building and dispersing across its geography to survive exactly this kind of attack is being hit in a single campaign.

Zanjan tells you the intelligence penetration is total. These are not obvious targets. A depot in a northwestern city that does not appear in any IAEA report or Congressional Research Service briefing means that American and Israeli intelligence mapped Iran’s logistics network down to the warehouse level. They know where the missiles are stored before they are loaded onto launchers. They know where the spare parts sit. They know which depots feed which launch sites and they are severing every supply artery in parallel so that what survives the first wave has nothing to reload with for the second.

Iran built its military doctrine on dispersal. Spread everything across a country of 1.6 million square kilometers so that no single strike can be decisive. Hide production in mountain tunnels. Store missiles in civilian areas. Scatter command posts across eight provinces. The entire strategy assumed the enemy would hit the obvious targets and miss the rest.

The enemy hit Zanjan. The enemy is not missing anything.

When a military campaign reaches cities that no analyst predicted, it means the target list is not a list. It is a map. And the map covers everything.

Iran did not prepare for a war this wide. Nobody told them to.

https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2027799113182679061?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704646)

Months of intelligence. Thousands of hours of surveillance and signal intercepts. One variable: the moment the Supreme Leader, the President, and senior military command gathered in a single location at the same time.

That moment was 8:15 this morning. Daylight. Every previous Israeli strike on Iran came at night. June 2025 launched in darkness. October 2024 after midnight. Iran’s entire air defense doctrine is built around the assumption that Israel attacks in the dark. Israel attacked in broad daylight because the target was not infrastructure. The target was a meeting.

Reuters confirms strikes targeted Khamenei and Pezeshkian. CNN confirms months of joint US-Israeli planning. Israeli officials confirmed the strike hit the location where Iran’s top officials were gathered. Whether Khamenei was moved before the strike or extracted after is the most consequential unknown on the planet right now. If before, someone inside Tehran’s inner circle told Jerusalem when and where the meeting would happen. If after, the strikes hit the room and he survived. Both scenarios are catastrophic for the regime.

Because Iran’s leadership now knows three things. Israel knew where they were meeting. Israel knew when they were meeting. Israel knew who would be in the room. And everything we watched over the past month, the F-22s at Ovda, the tankers at Ben Gurion, Al Udeid emptied to zero, 270 transport flights, all of it was the delivery architecture for one precision strike on one gathering.

Every future meeting of Iran’s senior leadership now carries one question: does Israel know about this one too.

This is not a military operation. This is the destruction of institutional trust inside a regime. Every general who sits with Khamenei tomorrow will wonder who told Jerusalem about today. Every IRGC commander who receives a meeting summons will calculate whether attendance is duty or a death sentence. Every secure facility in Tehran has been proven insecure.

In June 2025 Israel killed 30 generals in the opening minutes. That was brute force across dispersed targets. This was a scalpel. One meeting. One moment. Months of patience.

Iran fired missiles at six countries in retaliation. Most intercepted. One civilian dead from debris in Abu Dhabi. Saudi Arabia responded by pledging all its capabilities against Iran. The Gulf coalition that did not exist yesterday exists today because Tehran built it by attacking everyone simultaneously.

Israel traded one morning of precision strikes for the permanent destruction of Iran’s command cohesion.

That is not a battle. That is checkmate disguised as a first move.

https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2027725563251847510?s=20

They blindfolded his own officials before taking them to meet him. It was not enough.

In the final weeks of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei’s life, Iranian security protocols reached a level of paranoia without modern precedent. Senior officials who needed to meet the Supreme Leader were physically blindfolded before being transported to his location. Ali Larijani, Secretary of Iran’s Supreme National Security Council, was blindfolded before being driven to Khamenei’s hideout, then traveled onward to Oman for diplomatic meetings. This was not metaphorical. This was an intelligence service so terrified of penetration that it could not trust its own leadership with the coordinates of its head of state.

Khamenei had retreated into a private underground bunker in Tehran, his second time hiding since the twelve-day war with Israel in June 2025. The bunker sat within a complex network of interlocking tunnels. According to senior Iranian military officials, the two deepest bunkers could only be penetrated by American munitions. Khamenei was not in either of them.

The CIA had been tracking his movements for months, mapping routines and security patterns. During the twelve-day war, American agencies learned how Khamenei and the Revolutionary Guard communicated and moved under pressure. That knowledge built the surveillance networks and predictive models that followed him from compound to compound.

On June 17, 2025, Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that he knew exactly where Khamenei was hiding. He called him an easy target. He said the United States had no intention of killing him, at least not at that time. Ten days later Trump wrote that he had saved Khamenei from an ugly and humiliating death.

Eight months of warning. The President of the United States told him publicly, on a social media platform, that American intelligence had located him. Khamenei responded by going deeper underground, blindfolding his own ministers, and shrinking the circle of trust to almost nothing.

On Saturday morning the CIA determined that Khamenei would chair a high-level meeting of Iran’s political and military leadership at a secure compound in central Tehran. The intelligence offered what the New York Times described as high fidelity on his position. The original strike had been planned for nighttime. The timing was changed to morning to catch the leadership assembled in one place.

The blindfolds did not work. The bunkers did not work. Eight months of warning did not work. The most paranoid security apparatus in the Middle East could not outrun a surveillance architecture it could not see, could not understand, and could not counter.

You can blind your own people. You cannot blind the satellites.

https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2028056880946286967?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704656)

did history just change bc of one wrong move that trump seized on, or was attacking iran going to happen no matter what and this was just a good kickoff

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704669)

otoh, i assume there were other opportunities since the 12 day war to kill the ayatollah that trump / israel passed on. maybe this was first big oppy since the military buildup this week?

this isnt OBL hiding in the middle of nowhere. you'd think there were more oppys.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704676)

You are watching the largest Israeli air sortie in history. Two hundred fighter jets launched simultaneously as part of Operation Roaring Lion, striking five hundred targets across Iran. The United States ran its parallel campaign under Operation Epic Fury, deploying Tomahawk cruise missiles, HIMARS rockets, and for the first time in combat, the Precision Strike Missile, a next-generation ballistic weapon that had only entered full-rate production months earlier. CENTCOM released the footage of its first operational firing. A weapon went from production line to combat debut faster than most defense programs complete testing.

The strikes were timed with intelligence precision that borders on the surreal. According to Reuters, the operation was launched to coincide with a high-level meeting at a secure compound in central Tehran where Khamenei was present with his inner circle. The CIA had tracked his movements for months. When signals intelligence confirmed the meeting, the order was given. Israeli officials told Axios they were targeting the entire Iranian leadership, political and military, past, present and future.

Fox News reported the division of labor. Israel targeted leadership. The United States targeted military infrastructure and ballistic missile sites. This is not two countries cooperating. This is a single integrated kill chain across two sovereign command structures with shared intelligence and synchronized timing. The IDF Chief of Staff said the two militaries worked together for months with unprecedented cooperation.

The first wave was pure decapitation. CNN reported strikes on residences of Khamenei, Pezeshkian, the Armed Forces Chief of Staff, and the IRGC Commander. Iran International reported four intelligence officials killed: the head of foreign intelligence, the chief of the security branch, the director of counterterrorism, and the adviser overseeing the war portfolio with Israel. This was not a bombing campaign. This was an organizational chart converted into a target list.

Footage shows more than twenty one Tomahawk cruise missiles transiting Iranian airspace in a single sequence. A Reaper drone operated over Shiraz before twenty explosions were reported. Strikes hit Tehran, Karaj, Tabriz, Kermanshah, Bushehr, Qom, Isfahan, Chabahar, and Konarak. The geography tells you this was not a limited strike. This was a nationwide campaign from air and sea simultaneously.

Every defense ministry on Earth is downloading this footage right now. Not because it shows explosions. Because it shows what an integrated precision strike architecture looks like when the political decision is made to use it at full capacity. This was the demonstration. The question every capital is now asking is not what happened to Iran. It is what would happen to them.

https://x.com/shanaka86/status/2028068151456678289?s=20

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5839529&forum_id=2betting#49704688)