The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
|
 |
 
|
Cons you really gonna run Vance against Newsom? lmao
Poast new message in this thread
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:01 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455754) |
 |
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:03 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film you mean the guy who intentionally set half of los angeles on fire and flaps his arms like an autistic retard and was married to dtjs fuckbuddy? yea go with the but he's tall and white angle. that will work. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455759) |
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:30 AM Author: cobalt bateful candlestick maker pit Newsom is not going to be the nominee, it’s going to be AOC or - outside shot - Zohran. Small chance Newsom will be running mate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455807) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:35 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown Mamdani isn’t eligible
Newsom doesn’t even have any competition |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 1:22 AM Author: magenta thirsty ticket booth Cruz v Mamdani 28, the Constitutional crisis no one wants (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458423) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 8:09 PM Author: violet theater tank There's zero chance they'll nominate a Latina from the Bronx. It's going to be a white guy, probably Newsom or Kelly. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49457854) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 1:22 AM Author: magenta thirsty ticket booth Cr AOC couldn't even win a statewide race in New York (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458424) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:41 AM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe It'll make for a fun matchup. Both are pretty quick witted and articulate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455833) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:42 AM Author: Glittery turdskin digit ratio I'll bite even though I know it's pointless and it's a brain damaged nutter constantly posting this question.
Latest polymarket has Newsom and Vance at parity, though I don't put much stock in polymarket these days, it's shown itself increasingly prone to lowest common denominator thinking so it's more influenced by day to day media soundbites than it should be. But it does have value in showing that there's a solid 40+% base for Vance and a solid 40+% base for Newsom, albeit one that is true for any GOP/DEM matchup.
For all Newsom's charms, don't underestimate that those same charms are repellant to others. Newsom can easily become the John Kerry deux II. Tall, patrician, good hair, beloved of the establishment, and very quickly swiftboated. All Vance has to do, really, is to run endless ads showing Newsom partying at the French Laundry while California was under a heavy COVID lockdown. And there is no shortage of material on California that can be used to undermine Newsom in the rest of the country.
Vance is also ruthlessly excellent on the debate stage. The actual outcome of the election is still another close election in a polarized country but I'd still give Vance the edge over Newsom, who is not a folksy Bill Clinton charmer who can win over the working and lower middle classes, but someone who'd be strongly distrusted by these demographics as another out of touch coastal elite. Worth noting that Biden could sell himself as a folksy working man from Scranton. Something Newsom never can do. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:45 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown lol at “parity”
https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-wins-2028-us-presidential-election?tid=1763999124680
also Vance can’t win with a brown wife and kids. that’s why he’s been poll testing the Erika thing |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:47 AM Author: talented overrated legend coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455849) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:08 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film you are an actual idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455923) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:21 AM Author: Glittery turdskin digit ratio Last week on Halperin we were shown a Polymarket clip that had Vance at 41% versus Newsom at 40%, though I can't find it but there is also this: https://polymarket.com/event/presidential-election-winner-2028?tid=1764001099091 with a bigger lead over Newsom. But it does show you the dangers of predicting too early.
Those of us who have been around a few decades know too well the rise and fall of potential frontrunners. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:43 PM Author: sexy electric heaven clown Vance is higher in the head to head market since JD doesn’t have any competition for the nomination but in the Rep v Dem market Newsom is ahead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456454) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 4:20 PM Author: Glittery turdskin digit ratio Generic Dem v Rep matchup is irrelevant. Once living people are being matched, it's different. Vance and Newsom are effectively lockstep when directly head to head. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49457100) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:38 PM Author: slimy lascivious death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458132) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:33 AM Author: Stubborn Medicated Chad Anything on betting sites around 60-40 is a toss-up. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456025) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:35 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film is your toilet a mix of 60% piss and 40% cum from your asshole or the other way around? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456031) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:00 AM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe I don't think Vance has to be perfect to have greater appeal to the working class than Newsom. Vance is a middle america white guy from humble beginnings, marine corp vet and republican. I don't think him having an indian wife and children with brownish skin is going to get people to say OK well I'll just vote for the anti-2nd amendment, pro-abortion, pro-trans, pro-reparations and affirmative action coastal elite who allowed his state to burn both literally and figuratively. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455895) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:10 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown No but it will get many truck driver types to say fuck this shit neither of these candidates represent my interests im not voting this year (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455925) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:17 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film describe these "truck driver types" you're such an expert on (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455956) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:19 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown Why do you change your moniker constantly? Is it because you don’t want people to know you’re the nullo spammer? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455962) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:20 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film better question is why do you do it? why do you change your pumo all the fucking time? and why did you blank your posts (not poasts) for so many years? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455971) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:23 PM Author: useless splenetic piazza Truck drivers ARE Indians. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458207) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 12:19 AM Author: Mint Rehab Gay Wizard fucking dimwit truck drivers are 100% not democrats they are really trumpmos rather than conservatives, but vance has that locked up newsom? others above are correctly framing him. pure repulsive douchebag to trucker types |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:24 AM Author: Glittery turdskin digit ratio The haters and racists and antisemites on xoxohth really overestimate how much people care about Vance having an Indian wife.
It's comparable to the eugenics of the 1920s having hysterias because someone married an Irish Catholic or god forbid, an Italian.
|
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:32 AM Author: sexy electric heaven clown Reminder that Jeb was the heir apparent at one point then as soon as his opponents went live with his Mexican wife and kid he was finished. people remember Trump taunting him in the primary and think that’s what did him in but his polling went from first to worst before that
https://www.as-coa.org/articles/poll-update-republican-race-june-2015 |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: sapphire swollen stag film no one even knew he had a mexican midget wife you fucking idiot. Jeb! was done because of his cringe campaign and because Trump shat in mouth very forcefully (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456037) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:56 AM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe I don't think anyone cared about Jeb's mexican wife. He was just weak and low energy especially compared to Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456102) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:45 PM Author: sexy electric heaven clown and yet he was LEADING until his family was outted as brown (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456275) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:47 PM Author: sapphire swollen stag film you're an idiot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456285) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:03 PM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe Honestly, I think it's the left that overstates the extent to which republicans and people on the right are racist and/or xenophobic. People, especially young people, just want a government that works for their interests. A government that does something about the rising cost of living and offers a path to home ownership and the type of financial stability that will allow them to get married and start families.
Opposition to immigration (legal and illegal) is more about protecting jobs for americans than racial preservation IMO. Gen Z are overeducated, underemployed, indebted and hopeless. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:18 PM Author: Vigorous Pocket Flask cr. vance might not be ideal for the based fuentes crowd but few candidates will ever be. trump wasnt.
meanwhile gavins soundbites from being governor of ca during the woke era will sink him in every swing state. it boggles my mind he remains rhe front runner. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:21 PM Author: sapphire swollen stag film like 0.01% of the electorate even knows who the fuck "Fuentes" is. more people know who Daisy Fuentes is than this dipshit. you very online types don't realize how different your lives are than the rest of the world. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456196) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:26 PM Author: Vigorous Pocket Flask RC fail? im saying theyre politically irrelevant. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456218) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:36 PM Author: sapphire swollen stag film poor rc implies i read it at all. no one reads your word vomit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456247) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:39 PM Author: Vigorous Pocket Flask so you just responded but didnt read it? lol dont be maf at me cause you can't read. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456253) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:41 PM Author: sapphire swollen stag film yea that's right. won't not can't (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456264) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:39 PM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe Will bump this post in 3 years. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456255) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:43 PM Author: Duck-like brindle bawdyhouse Ooooooh sick burn faggot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456270) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:00 PM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe I think the Nick Fuentes faction is going to be more influential than you think. He's pivoted to a broader "America First" ideology and honed in on the zionists/israel influence which has increasingly mainstream appeal. I think he's strategically limiting "white nationalism" and overtly racist comments in his streams. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456315) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 4:16 PM Author: Vigorous Pocket Flask of course his influence is massive and growing, but if we're talking about newscom versus vance they're either going to vote vance or abstain. and it's inconceivable that libs would nominate someone more appealing to them than the GOP.
i think fuentes is an alex jones type figure where him and his acolytes will influence the political zeitgeist but no one is going to be seeking their endorsement. they'll push the fringes of the overton window but it's gonna be a long time before a candidate completely aligned with groyper values is viable. |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 1:25 AM Author: magenta thirsty ticket booth What's crazy is MTG is incredibly groyper adjacent but Nick won't say anything nice about her because she failed the purity test. Better is the enemy of good enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458426) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 11:12 AM Author: massive lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49455937) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:29 PM Author: stirring filthy home foreskin Cr. There is so much dirt on Newsom and endless footage of hellscape skid row and Tenderloin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456224) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:29 PM Author: Thriller property indirect expression I stopped reading at "polymarket" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456227) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:29 PM Author: doobsian range This country is f'd. All I see is kooks aiming for the Presidency. Not one seems decent. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456226) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 12:29 PM Author: Thriller property indirect expression It's gonna be Pritzger, not Newsom. Even Newsom seems to want Pritzger in the WH (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456228) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:20 PM Author: razzle-dazzle new version state This isn't the age before TV and mass media, where the public will vote for a fat fuck (e.g., Taft). Even if he loses weight, Pritzker will still look like a fat fuck. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456367) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:24 PM Author: Thriller property indirect expression We've already seen the public reaction to Pritzger. There's no need to speculate about how people will see him at any size (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456385) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:40 PM Author: razzle-dazzle new version state Ohhhh Pritzger? I thought we were talking about the the Governor of Illinois. Similar name (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456444) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 12:20 AM Author: Mint Rehab Gay Wizard fight the rich! except our fat fuck nominee |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 1:54 PM Author: Heady set messiness unmarried women are going to go so hard for newsom it's gonna be insane. unless vance distances himself hard from israel newsom is taking it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49456505) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 4:18 PM Author: Vigorous Pocket Flask unmarried women voted for kamala 2:1 over trump. what makes you think newsom will capture an even greater slice of this pie? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49457095) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 5:34 PM Author: Heady set messiness because he's handsome, tall, and white (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49457358) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:04 PM Author: Snowy pontificating main people sweet tailpipe Asians only account for 9% of female voters. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458019) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 8:08 PM Author: useless splenetic piazza Are Dems going to push Newsome through or are they actually going to have a primary like was back in 2008? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49457848) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 8:40 PM Author: Learning disabled nubile parlor quadroon Newsom literally locked everyone in their homes and then went to the French Laundry with donors.
He closed public school in California for 2+ years and sent his kids to in-person private school.
I don't see how those aren't auto-losing issues when people campaign against him. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 8:58 PM Author: violet theater tank You really think people are going to care about the "French Laundry" in 2028? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458015) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:56 PM Author: Learning disabled nubile parlor quadroon I think its a tough sell if you're product is a guy who locked people in their homes for 2 years for something he clearly didn't believe was serious, and trying to give that same person more power. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458160) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:04 PM Author: territorial incel A lib gleefully described murdering the children of republicans and was just elected AG of Virginia.
Libs are fully mask off satanic now and will accept anything as long as the demon is anti orange man. |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:51 PM Author: sapphire swollen stag film he also intentionally set half of Los Angeles on fire then did a photo op of him standing in front of the burning carnage. That’s like Nero level shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458152) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 1:26 AM Author: magenta thirsty ticket booth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458427) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 9:40 PM Author: Autistic hominid national newsom is a really weak candidate and will not even be the dem nominee in 2028 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458134) |
|
Date: November 24th, 2025 10:08 PM Author: grizzly aphrodisiac background story Unless Trump turns around his POTUSY Vance will have a rough time in 2028.
But it’s a fools errand to try to predict outcomes this far out. World is far too variable to have any meaningful insight in 2025 on outcomes 3 years down the road. |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 12:31 AM Author: marvelous ruby kitty cat Maybe but I can promise you this. Neither JD Vance nor Gavin Newsome will be president after Donald Trump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458385) |
|
Date: November 25th, 2025 1:10 AM Author: grizzly aphrodisiac background story We’ll see what unfolds! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5801745&forum_id=2betting#49458418) |