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Yeb!'s last, best hope

- Cruz wins Iowa - Trump wins NH - Yeb! manages to pl...
Bonkers church building
  01/22/16
(things that will never happen)
irradiated onyx useless brakes
  01/22/16
Yeb is already in a circular firing squad. The campaign and ...
irradiated onyx useless brakes
  01/22/16
Meanwhile . . . WHAT MARCO IS THINKING: My favorability ...
irradiated onyx useless brakes
  01/22/16
All of this insider shit is laughable. These consultants, po...
Smoky temple
  01/22/16
cr. These hucksters create all of this shit to justify their...
vivacious violent space
  01/29/16
Yeb! is finished because of Snakegate.
razzle kitchen
  01/22/16
...
Bonkers church building
  01/27/16
starting to think this is more like a 33% chance now based o...
Bonkers church building
  01/28/16
the ???? MITT ROMNEY thing is starting to look more possible
Bonkers church building
  03/06/16
This is basically the strategy for all the establishment can...
very tactful vibrant azn bawdyhouse
  01/28/16
I think trump wins Iowa and takes the whole thing. But if...
Bonkers church building
  01/29/16
Trump will win almost every state.
burgundy institution
  01/29/16
If he wins Iowa, I agree
Bonkers church building
  01/29/16
Will be interesting if he drops out after NH. He needs to o...
Bonkers church building
  02/03/16
HERE WE GO
Bonkers church building
  02/08/16
OK, any possible reasonable reason for YEB! not dropping out...
Bonkers church building
  02/16/16
you seem weirdly obsessed with irrelevant things. trump is g...
adventurous brass hospital
  02/16/16
well the only chance Rubio has at this point is if Kasich an...
Bonkers church building
  02/16/16
He has money and nothing else to do
lime seedy library
  02/16/16
true but he probably also hates trump and must know that sta...
Bonkers church building
  02/16/16
this - superpac money changed the game, and now there's no r...
Razzle-dazzle address
  02/16/16
...
Racy drunken trust fund puppy
  02/16/16
That's all she wrote, folks.
Bonkers church building
  02/20/16


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:25 AM
Author: Bonkers church building

- Cruz wins Iowa

- Trump wins NH

- Yeb! manages to place third in NH

-Rubio does poorly in both

-party elites freak out about cruz / trump

- some mainstream candidates drop out

- Yeb! continues to spend like crazy

I give this like a 5-10% chance

If trump wins Iowa, it's game over

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654247)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:27 AM
Author: irradiated onyx useless brakes

(things that will never happen)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654269)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:29 AM
Author: irradiated onyx useless brakes

Yeb is already in a circular firing squad. The campaign and his super pac are already pointing fingers at one another, which is pretty much a perfect indicator for a campaign in its death throes.

"BUSH BLAME GAME BEGINS: With Jeb failing, supporters, staff and donors start pointing the finger at the Super PAC's chief, Mike Murphy," by Anna Palmer and Eli Stokols: "They think his attacks on Marco Rubio are doing more harm than good. And they worry that, at the end, all he will have accomplished is the destruction of the Bush family brand. The big-money supporters fueling Jeb Bush's super PAC have found their bogeyman: Mike Murphy, a sharp-witted, Twitter-obsessed veteran GOP ad man who runs the pro-Bush super PAC Right to Rise.

"'It looks like they're blowing the whole thing up , like even if Jeb can't win, they're not going to let anyone else win either,' said a Florida Bush backer and Right to Rise donor ... 'You might as well light all of this money on fire. Most of all, they're hurting the reputation of a really great man.'" http://politi.co/1UdsDUX

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654287)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:30 AM
Author: irradiated onyx useless brakes

Meanwhile . . .

WHAT MARCO IS THINKING: My favorability and poll numbers have remained steady, despite what my media buyers tell me is more than $22 million spent attacking me this cycle -- more than any other candidate. That shows who Jeb and Ted are REALLY afraid of! Attacks on others are minimal, compared to what I've faced: Kasich and Right to Rise have spent roughly $3.5 million in New Hampshire against Trump (including the desk ad that had me in it).

My media wizards tell me Jeb's super PAC, Right to Rise, has run at least $20 million against me, and Cruz super PACs have spent at least $2 million! The negative ads started the first week of December, and continue this week. And those numbers don't include radio and digital, which my guys say is likely several million more.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654295)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:34 AM
Author: Smoky temple

All of this insider shit is laughable. These consultants, pollsters, and media "gurus" are just lining their own pockets. I can't believe candidates fall for it over and over.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654325)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 11:29 AM
Author: vivacious violent space

cr. These hucksters create all of this shit to justify their own existence. Glad Trump is helping to shine a light on their fraud lies

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29706595)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 22nd, 2016 11:34 AM
Author: razzle kitchen

Yeb! is finished because of Snakegate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29654330)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 27th, 2016 3:02 PM
Author: Bonkers church building



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29692468)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 28th, 2016 8:57 AM
Author: Bonkers church building

starting to think this is more like a 33% chance now based on recent polls

could see Cruz winning Iowa, Trump squeaking a victory in NH but Bush or Kasich doing OK

Give Bush the edge over Kasich after that since Kasich has no money or organization outside of NH

Establishment vote rushes to Bush

Brokered convention

????

MITT ROMNEY

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29697935)



Reply Favorite

Date: March 6th, 2016 1:46 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

the ???? MITT ROMNEY thing is starting to look more possible

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29994465)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 28th, 2016 9:38 AM
Author: very tactful vibrant azn bawdyhouse

This is basically the strategy for all the establishment candidates. Bush, Rubio, Kasich, Christie. Hope to place #3 in IA or NH and have some other guys drop out.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29698040)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 11:16 AM
Author: Bonkers church building

I think trump wins Iowa and takes the whole thing.

But if somehow Cruz manages to beat him, then i'm giving it a 60% chance that Yeb or Rubio or Kasich gets it through this strategy. Might be a brokered convention, but that would not end well for Trump.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29706512)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 1:43 PM
Author: burgundy institution

Trump will win almost every state.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29707463)



Reply Favorite

Date: January 29th, 2016 1:47 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

If he wins Iowa, I agree

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29707500)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 3rd, 2016 10:49 AM
Author: Bonkers church building

Will be interesting if he drops out after NH. He needs to out-perform - at least 3rd place - to have any chance.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29743387)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 8th, 2016 4:42 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

HERE WE GO

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29782077)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:48 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

OK, any possible reasonable reason for YEB! not dropping out if he doesn't finish in the top 3 in SC?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843348)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:49 PM
Author: adventurous brass hospital

you seem weirdly obsessed with irrelevant things. trump is going to be the nominee. deal with it

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843357)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

well the only chance Rubio has at this point is if Kasich and Yeb! drop out - question is, will they?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843365)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM
Author: lime seedy library

He has money and nothing else to do

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843367)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:52 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

true but he probably also hates trump and must know that staying in the race just helps trump

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843386)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:54 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle address

this - superpac money changed the game, and now there's no reason not to hang in until the money is gone, the longer you stay in, the better your chances PLUS at the end you play your cards right you get a cush fox news position

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843393)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 16th, 2016 2:50 PM
Author: Racy drunken trust fund puppy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29843370)



Reply Favorite

Date: February 20th, 2016 8:10 PM
Author: Bonkers church building

That's all she wrote, folks.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3104843&forum_id=2#29877621)