Trumpmos - do u honestly think Trump can win again in 2020?
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:27 PM Author: Flirting apoplectic principal's office antidepressant drug
they need to go full on one way or the other.
Biden would win back a bunch of midwestern states that already hate Trump over tariffs now.
Harris would win back Florida and North Carolina and probably Georgia based on black turnout.
Hillary was too wishy washy. She didn't swing a lot of midwestern women nor did she get high black turnout.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467390) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:30 PM Author: aquamarine heaven
If Biden is the nominee, a lot of POC voters and young DSA voters will stay home. The base will not be energized. His past history of being a creepy old man will haunt him with young women.
If it's somebody diverse and far-left like Harris, the voters who stayed home and helped Trump win will come out in droves.
Trump needs the Democrats to nominate a boring old white man. One like Biden, who is old and white AND has skeletons in the closet, would be perfect.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467417) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:41 PM Author: arousing karate
Uh, yes she would. Obama had huge issues early in the 08 cycle and a bunch of the black establishment Dem pols were attacking him as not actually black i.e. not a descendant of slaves, and were all talking like they were going to support Hillary. Obama was the nom because white hipsters coalesced around him in like March of 2007 and they showed up in droves to work for him and that took everyone by surprise in Iowa.
Harris, OTOH, will blow through all those southern primaries unless somehow Cory Booker sticks around. Even if Obama doesn't come out in support of her, I think he at worst stays neutral and the story is he won't endorse his own VP. I also think Biden's not running and if he does run he gets worked in NH And NV and SC knocks him out.
The more interesting question is what happens if and when both Warren and Sanders run. Does that split Bernie's voters or would Warren pick up a lot of the Hillary tacklebox full of buttplugs, etc. voters. I think Bernie's in a tough spot and it will be really interesting to see if he goes after Warren hard.
The good news for Trump is that they're all terrible on TV, terrible on the stump and he can definitely beat any of them if the economy hasn't tanked by 2020.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467501) |
Date: July 20th, 2018 5:23 PM Author: Ruby Bawdyhouse
yeah
the democratic party is a dumpster fire that will only get worse once you get your ass stuffed in the midterms
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467350) |
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Date: July 20th, 2018 5:49 PM Author: emerald locale
You wrote: the working class didn't get their taxes cut and that that is an objective fact
That is an objectively false statement. Their tax rate went down in nearly all cases.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467552)
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Date: July 20th, 2018 6:06 PM Author: Mind-boggling Silver Indian Lodge Therapy
dem turnout among base/minorities*
overall may be lower of further alienated white that cant bring themselves to vote trump just sit out altogether.
it really depends on the primary and candidate.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36467643) |
Date: July 20th, 2018 11:25 PM Author: Chocolate cuckoldry institution
I made the case for this before, but assuming the economy is strong and he does not have any REAL major fuck ups - not these media made controversies where they are outraged he didn't talk shit to Putin's face (which is a big if considering he's a complete loose cannon), Trump will sail to victory.
He's going to have a much bigger support from his base. Mainstream Republicans will be far more likely to vote for him because he'll have proven for 4 years that the lib hysterics are nonsense. He'll have passed tax reform.
His base will love him even more. They won't see that his tariffs and tax cuts aren't working, but they'll see he is TRYING to protect them - which is more than any politician has done for them in the past 30 years.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031193&forum_id=2#36469096) |
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