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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

...
pink bateful range
  07/21/18
0%
Useless canary windowlicker locus
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Maize Big Market Half-breed
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
marvelous stead
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Diverse maniacal gaping pisswyrm
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
exhilarant giraffe scourge upon the earth
  07/21/18
jfc
Vengeful double fault
  07/21/18
90%
filthy useless brakes business firm
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
effete indigo reading party hospital
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Aphrodisiac bearded fortuitous meteor tattoo
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
impressive idiotic mad cow disease dopamine
  07/21/18
...
Soul-stirring Irate Rigpig
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Diverse maniacal gaping pisswyrm
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
vermilion yapping resort pistol
  07/21/18
45%
Maroon Field Telephone
  07/21/18
75%
Self-absorbed trust fund legend
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
Haunting Trump Supporter
  07/21/18
...
elite irradiated address coffee pot
  07/21/18
80%
vermilion yapping resort pistol
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: pink bateful range



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Useless canary windowlicker locus

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Maize Big Market Half-breed

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: marvelous stead

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Diverse maniacal gaping pisswyrm

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: exhilarant giraffe scourge upon the earth

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Vengeful double fault

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: filthy useless brakes business firm

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: effete indigo reading party hospital

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac bearded fortuitous meteor tattoo

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: impressive idiotic mad cow disease dopamine

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Soul-stirring Irate Rigpig



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Diverse maniacal gaping pisswyrm

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: vermilion yapping resort pistol

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Maroon Field Telephone

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Self-absorbed trust fund legend

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: Haunting Trump Supporter

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: elite irradiated address coffee pot



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: vermilion yapping resort pistol

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)