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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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razzle-dazzle faggotry
  07/21/18
0%
Racy shimmering pit headpube
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
crystalline hyperventilating electric furnace
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
Abnormal Church Building Cumskin
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
maniacal fluffy doctorate institution
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Swashbuckling spot people who are hurt
  07/21/18
jfc
Orchid Slap-happy Wrinkle
  07/21/18
90%
balding set round eye
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
Sapphire stimulating space athletic conference
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Lilac big piazza
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
puce locale toaster
  07/21/18
...
grizzly naked gaping skinny woman
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
maniacal fluffy doctorate institution
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Adventurous scarlet temple
  07/21/18
45%
Mahogany diverse dopamine
  07/21/18
75%
Aphrodisiac Mint Persian Boltzmann
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
laughsome public bath
  07/21/18
...
Rough-skinned reading party
  07/21/18
80%
Adventurous scarlet temple
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: razzle-dazzle faggotry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Racy shimmering pit headpube

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: crystalline hyperventilating electric furnace

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Abnormal Church Building Cumskin

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: maniacal fluffy doctorate institution

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Swashbuckling spot people who are hurt

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Orchid Slap-happy Wrinkle

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: balding set round eye

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: Sapphire stimulating space athletic conference

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Lilac big piazza

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: puce locale toaster

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: grizzly naked gaping skinny woman



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: maniacal fluffy doctorate institution

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Adventurous scarlet temple

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Mahogany diverse dopamine

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Aphrodisiac Mint Persian Boltzmann

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: laughsome public bath

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: Rough-skinned reading party



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Adventurous scarlet temple

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)