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what is the probability that democrats retake the House in 2018 election?

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Laughsome Tantric Range Electric Furnace
  07/21/18
0%
Cerebral mildly autistic new version plaza
  07/21/18
Reply Favorite Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM Author: ...
Harsh jet principal's office dog poop
  11/07/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=1...
spruce domesticated station volcanic crater
  11/07/18
I would be shocked if they don't. 1. In the post-WWII er...
Flesh drunken box office
  07/21/18
http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&foru...
Aromatic Light Lettuce Market
  07/21/18
jfc
Razzle-dazzle hall juggernaut
  07/21/18
90%
odious iridescent half-breed
  07/21/18
them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump...
galvanic sick church building stock car
  07/21/18
They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be bet...
Lake awkward rehab
  07/21/18
65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%
Exhilarant messiness
  07/21/18
...
Crimson Parlour Depressive
  07/21/18
Correct. It's 90%+.
Flesh drunken box office
  07/21/18
You need to get a life outside xo bro
Wild Exciting Space
  07/21/18
45%
bearded concupiscible hospital mother
  07/21/18
75%
Fragrant Ungodly Whorehouse Foreskin
  07/21/18
Every single day the same thread
vivacious codepig prole
  07/21/18
...
lascivious well-lubricated sneaky criminal
  07/21/18
80%
Wild Exciting Space
  07/21/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:24 AM
Author: Laughsome Tantric Range Electric Furnace



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469544)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM
Author: Cerebral mildly autistic new version plaza

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: Harsh jet principal's office dog poop

Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:40 AM

Author: Wilbur Mercer, the supreme gentleman (Short Pride World Wide)

0%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469578)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185461)



Reply Favorite

Date: November 7th, 2018 9:35 PM
Author: spruce domesticated station volcanic crater

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=4125224&mc=11&forum_id=2

Date: November 6th, 2018 8:01 PM

Author: ...,.........,.........,....

I don't see how Republicans come back, even if the panhandle hasn't reported.

Gillum is doing too well in central florida.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#37185465)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 2:44 AM
Author: Flesh drunken box office

I would be shocked if they don't.

1. In the post-WWII era, the President's party lost an average of 28 seats in its first midterm. Democrats need just 24.

2. In all of those midterm elections, the incumbent party lost seats except in 2002 when the GOP gained seats, due to the 9/11 attacks.

3. Trump's net approval rating is -10, lower than pretty much every other post-WWII POTUS at this point in his presidency.

4. Democratic candidates have raised more money than Republicans so far.

5. Democratic base is far more energized.

6. Democratic generic ballot lead is 8-9 points. It was around 3-4 points back in June but have never been lower than that. Anything +5 means Dems win the House.



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469583)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 2:46 AM
Author: Aromatic Light Lettuce Market

http://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=2874473&forum_id=2

https://pastebin.com/CFWWAwcp

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36469584)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: Razzle-dazzle hall juggernaut

jfc

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471881)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:04 PM
Author: odious iridescent half-breed

90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471680)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:06 PM
Author: galvanic sick church building stock car

them not retaking would be devastating, only second to Trump winning.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471686)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:41 PM
Author: Lake awkward rehab

They will retake the house but paradoxically it would be better for the Democrat in 2020 if they did not.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471874)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:11 PM
Author: Exhilarant messiness

65% per PredictIt. I agree its much closer to 90%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471718)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Crimson Parlour Depressive



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471908)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:56 PM
Author: Flesh drunken box office

Correct. It's 90%+.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471926)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Wild Exciting Space

You need to get a life outside xo bro

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471984)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:42 PM
Author: bearded concupiscible hospital mother

45%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471879)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:51 PM
Author: Fragrant Ungodly Whorehouse Foreskin

75%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471911)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 4:54 PM
Author: vivacious codepig prole

Every single day the same thread

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471922)



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Date: July 21st, 2018 5:06 PM
Author: lascivious well-lubricated sneaky criminal



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471972)



Reply Favorite

Date: July 21st, 2018 5:08 PM
Author: Wild Exciting Space

80%

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4031486&forum_id=2#36471986)