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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
razzle therapy
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
Chocolate big gunner stain
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
razzle therapy
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
Fiercely-loyal Overrated Macaca
  09/19/18
...
razzle therapy
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
pink mewling kitchen turdskin
  09/19/18
...
razzle therapy
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
pink mewling kitchen turdskin
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
godawful skinny woman
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
pink mewling kitchen turdskin
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
godawful skinny woman
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
pink mewling kitchen turdskin
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
godawful skinny woman
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
pink mewling kitchen turdskin
  09/19/18
Lol what?
godawful skinny woman
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
exhilarant french chef newt
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
Lemon Degenerate International Law Enforcement Agency
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Insanely creepy adventurous space sweet tailpipe
  09/19/18
...
exhilarant french chef newt
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
razzmatazz nubile pervert
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
Bateful lettuce love of her life
  09/20/18
lmfao
Naked Locus Boistinker
  09/20/18
"technically"
Blathering olive menage
  09/20/18
...
exhilarant french chef newt
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
Lemon Degenerate International Law Enforcement Agency
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Marvelous fighting marketing idea station
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
Blathering olive menage
  09/20/18
Do you?
Blathering olive menage
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
Spruce giraffe foreskin
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
razzle therapy
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Embarrassed to the bone chapel incel
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond
  09/20/18
...
Embarrassed to the bone chapel incel
  09/20/18
...
Blathering olive menage
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
Blathering olive menage
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Talented Keepsake Machete
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
deep khaki knife rigpig
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
180 garnet queen of the night temple
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: razzle therapy

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: Chocolate big gunner stain

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: razzle therapy

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: Fiercely-loyal Overrated Macaca

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: razzle therapy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: pink mewling kitchen turdskin

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: razzle therapy



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: pink mewling kitchen turdskin

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: godawful skinny woman

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: pink mewling kitchen turdskin

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: godawful skinny woman

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: pink mewling kitchen turdskin

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: godawful skinny woman

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: pink mewling kitchen turdskin

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: godawful skinny woman

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: exhilarant french chef newt

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Lemon Degenerate International Law Enforcement Agency

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Insanely creepy adventurous space sweet tailpipe

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: exhilarant french chef newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: razzmatazz nubile pervert

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: Bateful lettuce love of her life

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: Naked Locus Boistinker

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Blathering olive menage

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: exhilarant french chef newt



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Lemon Degenerate International Law Enforcement Agency

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Marvelous fighting marketing idea station

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Blathering olive menage

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: Blathering olive menage

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: Spruce giraffe foreskin

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: razzle therapy

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone chapel incel

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Embarrassed to the bone chapel incel



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: Blathering olive menage



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: Blathering olive menage

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Talented Keepsake Machete

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: deep khaki knife rigpig

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: 180 garnet queen of the night temple

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: Electric bisexual bawdyhouse generalized bond

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)