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LOL, Nate Silver, never not DONE HERE, says 80% chance libs will take Congress

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-f...
Insanely creepy heady crotch tank
  09/19/18
This seems too low.
irradiated fuchsia ladyboy
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM Author: Mark Wohlers ...
Insanely creepy heady crotch tank
  09/19/18
LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your...
crimson pocket flask base
  09/19/18
...
Insanely creepy heady crotch tank
  09/19/18
data seems skewed right?
Wonderful blood rage
  09/19/18
...
Insanely creepy heady crotch tank
  09/19/18
What is the actual percentage?
Wonderful blood rage
  09/19/18
Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right....
territorial nursing home trump supporter
  09/19/18
(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)
Wonderful blood rage
  09/19/18
I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unles...
territorial nursing home trump supporter
  09/19/18
Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect unders...
Wonderful blood rage
  09/19/18
Explain how I have incorrect understanding?
territorial nursing home trump supporter
  09/19/18
I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is &qu...
Wonderful blood rage
  09/19/18
Lol what?
territorial nursing home trump supporter
  09/19/18
Technically, that’s completely wrong
disrespectful soggy orchestra pit
  09/19/18
Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes ...
carnelian galvanic range kitty cat
  09/19/18
Grow a beard
Cracking Brilliant People Who Are Hurt
  09/19/18
...
disrespectful soggy orchestra pit
  09/20/18
any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their...
Silver Love Of Her Life Abode
  09/19/18
180 sub thread would read again
scarlet passionate dilemma
  09/20/18
lmfao
Cocky institution
  09/20/18
"technically"
salmon 180 resort faggotry
  09/20/18
...
disrespectful soggy orchestra pit
  09/19/18
"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislatur...
carnelian galvanic range kitty cat
  09/19/18
can't believe we've come to this.
Henna Stag Film
  09/20/18
Hey! This is law bort!
salmon 180 resort faggotry
  09/20/18
Do you?
salmon 180 resort faggotry
  09/20/18
He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the s...
transparent fat ankles cuckoldry
  09/19/18
Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM Author: Dickey Simpkins ...
Insanely creepy heady crotch tank
  09/19/18
Cons will never listen to this. Also silver gave trump a...
ruddy forum place of business
  09/20/18
Cons: Not understanding how probability works
Swashbuckling home boiling water
  09/20/18
Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot
ruddy forum place of business
  09/20/18
...
Swashbuckling home boiling water
  09/20/18
...
salmon 180 resort faggotry
  09/20/18
His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting ...
salmon 180 resort faggotry
  09/20/18
Libs were going INSANE on him.
ruddy forum place of business
  09/20/18
days without jewish tricks: 0
Mind-boggling Field
  09/19/18
Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vo...
Duck-like shrine rigor
  09/20/18
What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choos...
poppy vivacious clown jewess
  09/20/18
This is probably a figment of your imagination
ruddy forum place of business
  09/20/18


Poast new message in this thread



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 AM
Author: Insanely creepy heady crotch tank

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=rrpromo

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838246)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM
Author: irradiated fuchsia ladyboy

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:14 AM
Author: Insanely creepy heady crotch tank

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:11 AM

Author: Mark Wohlers

This seems too low.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838258)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838272)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 AM
Author: crimson pocket flask base

LOL@ incorporating data going back to 1926 to calculate your "average." That shit been red since the 90s. The only way it comes out blue on "average" is of you reach back another 70 years LJL

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838262)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:15 AM
Author: Insanely creepy heady crotch tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36838274)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Wonderful blood rage

data seems skewed right?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840795)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:54 PM
Author: Insanely creepy heady crotch tank



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840739)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 12:58 PM
Author: Wonderful blood rage

What is the actual percentage?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840774)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:00 PM
Author: territorial nursing home trump supporter

Believe that says House, brother. And thats probably right.

Senate, GOP is 70% favorite.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840785)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: Wonderful blood rage

(guy who doesn't know what "Congress" means)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840790)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:01 PM
Author: territorial nursing home trump supporter

I wouldn't call it "taking congress" like OP unless they take both houses of congress.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840794)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:02 PM
Author: Wonderful blood rage

Are you suggesting we should all adopt your incorrect understanding of the word?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840803)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:03 PM
Author: territorial nursing home trump supporter

Explain how I have incorrect understanding?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840809)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: Wonderful blood rage

I'm just joking around man, but technically the House is "Congress" and the Senate is the Senate.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840815)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: territorial nursing home trump supporter

Lol what?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840819)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:05 PM
Author: disrespectful soggy orchestra pit

Technically, that’s completely wrong

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840825)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: carnelian galvanic range kitty cat

Ha ha I'm just joking around guys, but *technically* (makes shit up)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840830)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: Cracking Brilliant People Who Are Hurt

Grow a beard

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840831)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:36 AM
Author: disrespectful soggy orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846400)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:37 PM
Author: Silver Love Of Her Life Abode

any other esl foreigners out there who'd like to share their understanding of american poritics with the bort?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36841047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:53 AM
Author: scarlet passionate dilemma

180 sub thread would read again

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846930)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:35 AM
Author: Cocky institution

lmfao

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847006)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: salmon 180 resort faggotry

"technically"

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847041)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:04 PM
Author: disrespectful soggy orchestra pit



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840817)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:06 PM
Author: carnelian galvanic range kitty cat

"The United States Congress is the bicameral legislature of the Federal government of the United States. The legislature consists of two chambers: the House of Representatives and the Senate."

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Congress

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840828)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:55 AM
Author: Henna Stag Film

can't believe we've come to this.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846931)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: salmon 180 resort faggotry

Hey! This is law bort!

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847042)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:55 AM
Author: salmon 180 resort faggotry

Do you?

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847040)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM
Author: transparent fat ankles cuckoldry

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:29 PM
Author: Insanely creepy heady crotch tank

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:07 PM

Author: Dickey Simpkins

He gave Obama about an 80 chance both times to win and the same for republicans in prior midterms.

His model had trump at about 20% and given the popular vote total and thin vote margins in the tipping point states, he wasn’t unreasonable in 2016 either.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840839)

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840986)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:40 AM
Author: ruddy forum place of business

Cons will never listen to this.

Also silver gave trump a 35% chance and wrote an article two days before about how overconfident the media was.

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847021)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:43 AM
Author: Swashbuckling home boiling water

Cons: Not understanding how probability works

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847026)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:44 AM
Author: ruddy forum place of business

Lmao stats are for libfaggots faggot

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847028)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:45 AM
Author: Swashbuckling home boiling water



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847029)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:57 AM
Author: salmon 180 resort faggotry



(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847047)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:56 AM
Author: salmon 180 resort faggotry

His model had Trump at nearly 30 percent and he was getting called out hardcore for that before the election.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847045)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:59 AM
Author: ruddy forum place of business

Libs were going INSANE on him.

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847052)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 19th, 2018 1:12 PM
Author: Mind-boggling Field

days without jewish tricks: 0

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36840863)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 12:38 AM
Author: Duck-like shrine rigor

Lol at all this emphasis on an imaginary national popular vote

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846412)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 4:49 AM
Author: poppy vivacious clown jewess

What about when you adjust for the 5-10% of voters who choose not to tell their rabid shitlib pollsters that they'll be voting for pro-TRUMP candidates

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36846927)



Reply Favorite

Date: September 20th, 2018 6:41 AM
Author: ruddy forum place of business

This is probably a figment of your imagination

(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4081039&forum_id=2#36847024)