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I’ve been all-cash since March 2019, time to admit defeat and buy in?
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 7th, 2019 12:01 PM Author: excitant bearded scourge upon the earth Or should I stick it out and wait for a retracement.
I have like 300k in 401ks invested in the market, but 700k cash just sitting in a ally account. |
Date: December 7th, 2019 12:04 PM Author: Rough-skinned national Um.....never go all in on any one strategy dumbass and (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228685) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:09 PM Author: excitant bearded scourge upon the earth Yes I realize that NOW. Question is what do I do now. When is the market going to have a dip? Any dip? I need something to save face. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228704) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:13 PM Author: Rough-skinned national JFC.
Just divserify and hodl and stop trying to play the market you fucking retaed.
This has been very very well studied. If you try to play the market you lose. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:15 PM Author: excitant bearded scourge upon the earth All of the conventional “advice” saying you can’t time the market are from brokers and advisors that just want to churn and earn advisory fees. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228729) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:30 PM Author: Hairraiser Ape wtf are you talking about. you've conflated multiple things.
churning and advisory fees are two different things. asset-based advisory fees are irrespective of how much you transact. churning is something brokers are incentivized to do as they're paid per transactions--if anything, their incentive is to increase your activity.
yes, it's possible to time the market (maybe), but you're doing the opposite of what you should be doing. markets exhibit momentum, so all things equal you should be buying into strength and selling into weakness, as counterintuitive as that sounds.
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:12 PM Author: Pink slippery kitchen https://sidoxia.files.wordpress.com/2014/05/stocks-for-the-long-run.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228717) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:21 PM Author: Misanthropic disrespectful parlor incel this will surely continue forever (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228746) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:42 PM Author: Pink slippery kitchen not sure if serious, but it basically will--see CAPM (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230024) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM Author: Hairraiser Ape CAPM doesn't prove that at all, bro (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230029) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 12:25 PM Author: impressive white lay what do you see the world being like in 10 years, and what position would you like to be in? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228771) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:01 PM Author: Multi-colored chapel french chef Hmm when suckers like the OP are ready to buy back in it's probably time to sell. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228904) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:04 PM Author: impressive white lay they offer no signal either way. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39228917) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:10 PM Author: Multi-colored chapel french chef Link?
Seems like when the masses think the stock market is going to crash any moment it continues to rise (see last 10 years).
Whenever they think the market is going to rise forever it crashes (2007 and dotcom bubble) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 7:03 PM Author: impressive white lay what makes you think "the masses" believed that. and why does OP represent "the masses"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230307) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 8:26 PM Author: Zippy plum headpube Mark, you are the only one in this thread that has any market sense. These other MF'ers are gonna get got. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230714) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 1:46 PM Author: Medicated internal respiration quadroon Marker buy ethereum with the whole stack and you'll gain at least 50% immediately (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39229052) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:35 PM Author: Hairraiser Ape *tezos (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230006) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:43 PM Author: Burgundy Cuck You should know better than to post this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230026) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:46 PM Author: bistre provocative old irish cottage library 1. Internet posters just buy VTI and give themselves pats on the back, nobody knows anything 2. Buffett has like $120 billion in cash, why doesn't he use that cash to buy VTI? Is he an IDIOT? Discuss. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:48 PM Author: Rough-skinned national Again, the option is not all cash or all stocks.
OP should have some real estate. Some cash. Some stocks. Some notes. Etc. |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:50 PM Author: Thirsty university sweet tailpipe Stocks will crash but real estate won't? Or vice versa? the idea of a diversified portfolio is a 1970's trope. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230062) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: bistre provocative old irish cottage library It's not flame, you can hedge risk without hurting alpha supposedly. IRL of course you can still get fucked because your RE investments won't be diversified, they'll all be in one georgraphic area most likely.
Souce: I majored in Econ (though my passion is Film) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: Rough-skinned national Please state your credentials (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230068) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:54 PM Author: bistre provocative old irish cottage library He is over 6`00`` (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230073) |
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Date: December 7th, 2019 5:52 PM Author: tantric carnelian circlehead gaping buy some $325 January 2020 SPY calls on the next red day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39230067) |
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Date: December 16th, 2019 9:41 PM Author: iridescent casino nibblets why 325? why not 340 bc its cheaper (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39275407) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:14 PM Author: iridescent casino nibblets (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278088) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:16 PM Author: floppy fantasy-prone preventive strike Where's Julia when we need her? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278108) |
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Date: December 17th, 2019 12:17 PM Author: Dashing Insane Kitty Hominid lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4396687&forum_id=2#39278115) |