I think I finally understand fraud/ponzi economy where gov prints $$ (DTP)
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Date: April 9th, 2020 4:11 PM Author: emerald useless black woman voyeur Subject: part 1
wealth/value comes from human behavior (work/invention/resource extraction). money is simply a mechanism to incentivize the proper behavior. if we imagine a society identical to the one we have now - where farmers grew food, factory workers made cars, accountants did their office work, entrepreneurs built businesses, children went to school and studied the same majors - theoretically there would be no problem with this and no wealth/value was lost. however, without money, there can never be such a society, because money is the mechanism that pushes forward all of these desirable behaviors. money is completely unnecessary to the fundamental creation of value, but it's essential as the carrot/stick, the measuring scale, the reputational system that keeps humans in line and creates an orderly society for value to be made.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4503574&forum_id=2#39977742) |
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Date: April 9th, 2020 4:16 PM Author: emerald useless black woman voyeur Subject: part 2
usually when there's an economic crash, there was nothing that changed about the fundamentals of human behavior. in other words, there is nothing really going on in terms of fundamental value. nevertheless, the numbers go down, people are out of work, there is widespread suffering and social calamity. why? it's because of an artificial crisis of money: people are suddenly short of it, they need to pay back loans right away, this sets off a cascading reaction of people hoarding money and ceasing lending and hence the behavioral mechanism of society has short-circuited and broken. it's a social hysteria, in the true sense, because the gloom and doom of the worst depression could be entirely rectified if the very next day people woke up and decided to get back to work, and spend, and build, and act as if they weren't in one. but nobody can get this coordination started because the unwinding of the artifically created system of money, which their behaviors rely upon, is slow and unwieldy and inefficient in these special times of crisis.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4503574&forum_id=2#39977763) |
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Date: April 9th, 2020 4:48 PM Author: emerald useless black woman voyeur Subject: part 4
ordinarily the market determines where money should go of its own accord. but when the market needs to be intervened upon, the fed must decide. the fed wants to act sufficiently to avert the money shortage, but it wants to act minimally so as not to distort societal-wide human behavior, which again, we fundamentally want the market to be the arbiter of. among the slew of options avilable (dividing up the stimulus package and writing ordinary citizens a check, to buying up distressed debt, to bailing out large corporations), the fed has decided that buying up distressed debt and bailing out large corporations would distort societal incentives least. whereas handing out checks to ordinary citizens would be wildly popular, this would distort societal structure the most. when buying up distressed debt which might never get repaid - you at least know the borrowers had an honest intention of doing something "productive" with it. or bailing out a dysfunctional corporation - you at least know there are instiutional structures to ensure the proper spending of it. there is going to be some negative distortions of human behavior, but it will be slight. on the other hand, giving ordinary citizens carte blanche to spend $20 trillion would lead to buckwild value destruction. hence why big banks will always get Bailout$ while incel neets will never see YangBux.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4503574&forum_id=2#39977984) |
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Date: April 9th, 2020 8:36 PM Author: emerald useless black woman voyeur
let's take something concrete like eggs for example.
if the gov doesn't print money and there's a depression, fewer eggs will be produced and (i know there are other factors to consider but i'm simplifying here) the price of eggs will go up because now there are fewer eggs per dollar
let's say the gov does print $2 trillion to prevent a depression. now there is more money in circulation. but also vastly more eggs are produced, there are more than enough eggs for everyone, the price of eggs will go down as there are more eggs per dollar
i'm only talking about the effects of money-printing to avert economic crisis, obviously regular inflation has been occurring throughout history.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4503574&forum_id=2#39979597) |
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Date: April 10th, 2020 6:12 PM Author: bat shit crazy scarlet electric furnace
"if the gov doesn't print money and there's a depression, fewer eggs will be produced and (i know there are other factors to consider but i'm simplifying here) the price of eggs will go up because now there are fewer eggs per dollar"
you have this backwards hoss. depression reduces demand and usually results in deflation. not inflation
"let's say the gov does print $2 trillion to prevent a depression. now there is more money in circulation. but also vastly more eggs are produced, there are more than enough eggs for everyone, the price of eggs will go down as there are more eggs per dollar"
by this logic eggs should be practically free now since we have been printing trillions for decades now. eggs cost more now than 2000 and it cost more in 2000 than 1980. obviously it didn't go up as much luxury real estate or picasso paintings but price of literally every single widely used consumer item is more expensive now that 10 years ago
bottom line: fed prints money -> increase in wealth -> more buying power -> inflation (duh theres more money floating around) -> price increase
depression -> demand collapses -> prices deflate
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4503574&forum_id=2#39986245) |
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