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Nate Silver: "Odds are 50/50. Either Trump wins or he doesn't"
| sepia chad | 10/23/20 |
| avocado trip shitlib sandwich | 10/24/20 |
| Aromatic fighting dilemma patrolman | 10/24/20 |
| Stimulating aquamarine milk | 10/24/20 |
| slap-happy tank filthpig | 10/24/20 |
| bistre disgusting native main people | 10/23/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/24/20 |
| Talented Dead French Chef Depressive | 10/24/20 |
| orchid tanning salon fanboi | 10/24/20 |
| avocado trip shitlib sandwich | 10/24/20 |
| Comical factory reset button | 10/24/20 |
| apoplectic bbw karate | 10/24/20 |
| ivory thriller heaven | 10/24/20 |
| avocado trip shitlib sandwich | 10/24/20 |
| Talented Dead French Chef Depressive | 10/24/20 |
| vermilion center ceo | 10/24/20 |
| Electric friendly grandma selfie | 10/24/20 |
| Aromatic fighting dilemma patrolman | 10/24/20 |
| Frozen Theatre | 10/24/20 |
| mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour | 10/24/20 |
| Flesh Dingle Berry Idiot | 10/24/20 |
| mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour | 10/24/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/24/20 |
| Electric friendly grandma selfie | 10/26/20 |
| chocolate federal plaza | 10/24/20 |
| Stimulating aquamarine milk | 10/24/20 |
| chocolate federal plaza | 10/24/20 |
| mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour | 10/24/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/24/20 |
| bearded grizzly circlehead | 10/24/20 |
| pungent boyish dopamine | 10/24/20 |
| canary love of her life | 10/24/20 |
| Dull School Cafeteria | 10/24/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/24/20 |
| bistre disgusting native main people | 10/24/20 |
| painfully honest brass organic girlfriend | 10/24/20 |
| tantric aggressive home marketing idea | 10/24/20 |
| Talented Dead French Chef Depressive | 10/24/20 |
| carnelian wonderful useless brakes feces | 10/24/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/27/20 |
| sepia chad | 10/28/20 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 23rd, 2020 5:35 PM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41174689) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:01 AM Author: avocado trip shitlib sandwich I can't stand him anymore for obvious reasons - but if you've ever read through the comments - it's INSANE, and you really start to get a sense of what his business model actually is..... it's providing therapy for a large group of people.
Moldbug earlier on Twitter posted an interview w/ Silver today and screenshot showed color coordinated bookshelf that MM always points out about people - saying that it reveals a tendency to discard the knowledge and purpose within and repurpose it for show and decoration" ie he uses information to 'make it pretty'
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:32 AM Author: Aromatic fighting dilemma patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177836) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:59 AM Author: Stimulating aquamarine milk lol at this pseudoscience horseshit. Maybe his bookshelf is color coordinated because he’s working remotely and it’s the backdrop for all the video interviews he gives. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177955) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:02 AM Author: slap-happy tank filthpig Cr. He’s rich and probably got a stylist or designer to set up his place. They are always recommending color coordinating a bookshelf and/or organizing by subject (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177964) |
Date: October 23rd, 2020 5:36 PM Author: bistre disgusting native main people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41174693) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:25 AM Author: sepia chad https://twitter.com/natesilver538/status/1319787685758861313?s=21
One way to think about Trump's chances: if the polls move toward Trump in the closing days rather than Biden (50/50 chance) *and* there's a polling error in Trump's favor (50/50 chance) then he's 50/50 to win. That gets you to his 1 in 8 odds in our current forecast. |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:39 AM Author: Talented Dead French Chef Depressive Lmao jfc (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176663) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:41 AM Author: orchid tanning salon fanboi (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176668) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:44 AM Author: avocado trip shitlib sandwich LMFAO! Man, knew it was just a matter of time...
jfc -ty brother |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:46 AM Author: Comical factory reset button lmao at the replies (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176691) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:57 AM Author: apoplectic bbw karate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176728) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:58 AM Author: ivory thriller heaven Just do treat those probabilities as completely independent. Nate Silver has a future ahead of him in assessing default risk for mortgage backed securities. After all, foreclosures aren’t correlated! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176734) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:03 AM Author: avocado trip shitlib sandwich DEVASTATING (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176749) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:30 AM Author: Talented Dead French Chef Depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176834) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 1:32 AM Author: vermilion center ceo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176840) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:33 AM Author: Electric friendly grandma selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177841) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:59 AM Author: Aromatic fighting dilemma patrolman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176738) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:45 AM Author: Frozen Theatre Lmao (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177639) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:37 AM Author: mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour This takes 50/50 outcome theory to a NEW LEVEL. Quantum leap here guys. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177857) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:54 AM Author: Flesh Dingle Berry Idiot it's '50/50' all the way down. 50/50s nested inside of 50/50s. |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177934) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:24 AM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41178089) |
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Date: October 26th, 2020 7:13 AM Author: Electric friendly grandma selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41188648) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:42 AM Author: chocolate federal plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177878) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:52 AM Author: Stimulating aquamarine milk 50% unintentionally obtuse and 50% intentionally obtuse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177906) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:52 AM Author: chocolate federal plaza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177911) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: mildly autistic aphrodisiac parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177937) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 11:24 AM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41178092) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:56 AM Author: bearded grizzly circlehead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177933) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:26 AM Author: pungent boyish dopamine (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176619) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 12:59 AM Author: canary love of her life this guy is a fraud (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41176739) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:58 AM Author: Dull School Cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177954) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:36 AM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177612) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 9:41 AM Author: bistre disgusting native main people reminder: DBG and Upset Jew look up to this guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177630) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:04 AM Author: painfully honest brass organic girlfriend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177688) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 10:59 AM Author: tantric aggressive home marketing idea Already starting his lol just jump before the election (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41177956) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 2:48 PM Author: Talented Dead French Chef Depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41179213) |
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Date: October 24th, 2020 6:44 PM Author: carnelian wonderful useless brakes feces Nate Plastic
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Date: October 27th, 2020 3:50 PM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41198989) |
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Date: October 28th, 2020 11:19 PM Author: sepia chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=4660016&forum_id=2#41210100) |