OldHLSDude died; his schizo kids spent his fortune in 4 months
| talented crimson business firm | 03/29/24 | | Chestnut roommate tank | 03/29/24 | | azure locale mother | 03/29/24 | | Massive orange sanctuary | 03/29/24 | | Elite feces | 03/29/24 | | bipolar buff hairy legs | 03/29/24 | | demanding cracking tanning salon | 03/29/24 | | Massive orange sanctuary | 03/29/24 | | Lake trailer park mood | 03/29/24 | | Balding principal's office | 03/29/24 | | Underhanded gold corner | 03/29/24 | | Twinkling church building | 03/29/24 | | Fishy Motley Dilemma | 03/29/24 | | Fantasy-prone mind-boggling rehab famous landscape painting | 03/29/24 | | House-broken sooty base | 03/29/24 | | Obsidian trust fund | 03/29/24 |
Poast new message in this thread
|
Date: March 29th, 2024 7:28 PM Author: Fishy Motley Dilemma
This thread made me curious about how many 40yo poasters it would take for OldHLSDude to statistically *not* be the next poaster to die. I believe the answer is 15.
OldHLSDude is ~77. That means he's got a 4.9152% chance of kicking it in the next year
https://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/table4c6.html
A 40yo has a .3333% chance of dying in the next year
(1-.003333)^x = (1-.049152)
x = 15.0966
I think the figure is realistically less than that. The rates of substance abuse, mental illness, suicidal ideation, etc. seem far higher among poasters than the general population
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5510863&forum_id=2#47537949) |
|
|