The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/10/15 |
| contagious french set | 12/12/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/02/17 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 01/06/16 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 01/06/16 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 06/05/16 |
| maize aromatic ticket booth giraffe | 03/26/16 |
| Laughsome ruby private investor sandwich | 01/02/17 |
| Bonkers Splenetic Gas Station | 10/25/18 |
| Khaki queen of the night | 12/10/15 |
| Motley walnut windowlicker forum | 12/10/15 |
| House-broken Purple Newt French Chef | 12/10/15 |
| aphrodisiac obsidian theater | 12/10/15 |
| Stimulating brindle macaca | 12/15/15 |
| elite impertinent party of the first part | 12/10/15 |
| diverse lodge | 12/10/15 |
| cerebral mewling death wish school cafeteria | 12/10/15 |
| cyan bearded box office | 12/11/15 |
| Navy regret | 12/12/15 |
| cocky maniacal locus | 12/16/15 |
| Bateful sapphire den | 01/04/16 |
| Rusted bipolar church quadroon | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/11/15 |
| Irradiated indian lodge | 12/11/15 |
| Citrine kitchen | 12/11/15 |
| cyan bearded box office | 12/11/15 |
| talented drab mad-dog skullcap | 12/12/15 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 01/25/16 |
| slap-happy massive school electric furnace | 11/10/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/12/15 |
| Wine address | 12/12/15 |
| Very tactful idiotic ladyboy area | 12/12/15 |
| flesh home | 12/12/15 |
| aquamarine talking reading party | 12/15/15 |
| Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse | 12/21/15 |
| Turquoise misunderstood black woman | 12/12/15 |
| pale pozpig senate | 12/12/15 |
| fear-inspiring irate bawdyhouse | 12/12/15 |
| ivory trailer park | 12/12/15 |
| offensive hairless parlor background story | 12/12/15 |
| Razzle outnumbered pit toilet seat | 12/12/15 |
| diverse lodge | 12/15/15 |
| diverse lodge | 12/16/15 |
| Hyperventilating glittery chad | 12/15/15 |
| Concupiscible site | 12/15/15 |
| frisky greedy brunch | 12/15/15 |
| Shimmering office potus | 12/15/15 |
| Bull headed institution faggotry | 12/15/15 |
| Cobalt hairraiser antidepressant drug | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 12/15/15 |
| slippery sex offender rehab | 01/05/16 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 01/25/16 |
| mauve vivacious theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Razzmatazz market cuckoldry | 05/18/16 |
| 180 university | 08/12/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 11/09/16 |
| Thriller Bossy Nursing Home | 11/09/16 |
| Dun Crackhouse | 10/22/20 |
| vigorous legal warrant candlestick maker | 12/15/15 |
| Nudist Theater Stage | 12/16/15 |
| demanding roommate stage | 12/16/15 |
| provocative painfully honest pistol mother | 12/16/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/16/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/17/15 |
| Flirting Hospital | 12/18/15 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 01/06/16 |
| Vibrant Unhinged Halford | 12/18/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/21/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/21/15 |
| Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse | 12/21/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/30/15 |
| Odious public bath | 12/30/15 |
| Odious public bath | 01/04/16 |
| Bateful sapphire den | 01/04/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/05/16 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 01/25/16 |
| Flirting Hospital | 01/05/16 |
| magical casino multi-billionaire | 01/05/16 |
| Opaque Location Degenerate | 01/05/16 |
| chocolate plaza | 01/05/16 |
| Unholy hell legend | 01/05/16 |
| chocolate plaza | 01/05/16 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 01/06/16 |
| chocolate plaza | 01/06/16 |
| Unholy hell legend | 01/05/16 |
| 180 university | 01/06/16 |
| Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse | 01/07/16 |
| Odious public bath | 01/08/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 01/08/16 |
| Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse | 01/08/16 |
| Flirting Hospital | 01/09/16 |
| Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse | 01/10/16 |
| Odious public bath | 01/18/16 |
| Odious public bath | 01/19/16 |
| Flirting Hospital | 01/21/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/25/16 |
| arousing abode | 01/25/16 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 01/25/16 |
| arousing abode | 02/09/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 09/06/16 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 11/05/18 |
| Soul-stirring adulterous circlehead principal's office | 01/29/16 |
| Odious public bath | 02/01/16 |
| Marvelous white business firm | 02/01/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 02/01/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 02/07/16 |
| magical casino multi-billionaire | 02/09/16 |
| jade hairy legs | 02/09/16 |
| Odious public bath | 02/20/16 |
| Insanely Creepy Curious Center Rigor | 02/20/16 |
| Razzmatazz market cuckoldry | 02/24/16 |
| Honey-headed Big Sanctuary Persian | 02/24/16 |
| Zippy dashing step-uncle's house personal credit line | 02/27/16 |
| Hyperventilating glittery chad | 03/09/16 |
| Adventurous Chapel Rigpig | 03/15/16 |
| House-broken Purple Newt French Chef | 03/15/16 |
| Concupiscible site | 03/16/16 |
| Frozen Titillating Point | 02/24/16 |
| mustard stirring yarmulke coldplay fan | 02/24/16 |
| Concupiscible site | 07/21/16 |
| galvanic carmine hall | 02/24/16 |
| House-broken Purple Newt French Chef | 02/27/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/02/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/04/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/09/16 |
| magical casino multi-billionaire | 03/09/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/15/16 |
| Razzmatazz market cuckoldry | 03/15/16 |
| Charismatic lilac space | 03/15/16 |
| clear comical dilemma stock car | 03/15/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/16/16 |
| diverse lodge | 03/16/16 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 03/23/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/23/16 |
| fear-inspiring irate bawdyhouse | 03/26/16 |
| submissive internet-worthy nowag | 03/26/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/26/16 |
| slippery sex offender rehab | 03/28/16 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 03/28/16 |
| Motley walnut windowlicker forum | 03/28/16 |
| 180 university | 08/12/16 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 11/05/18 |
| Odious public bath | 03/28/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/29/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 03/29/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 03/29/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/29/16 |
| Odious public bath | 03/29/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/01/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/04/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 04/15/16 |
| buck-toothed marketing idea stag film | 04/15/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/19/16 |
| floppy godawful cumskin | 04/20/16 |
| gay internal respiration | 04/20/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/24/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/25/16 |
| Odious public bath | 04/26/16 |
| Disturbing charcoal mexican state | 04/26/16 |
| Histrionic skinny woman | 04/30/16 |
| Electric crystalline dragon whorehouse | 05/01/16 |
| Electric crystalline dragon whorehouse | 11/07/16 |
| Odious public bath | 05/02/16 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 05/02/16 |
| Odious public bath | 05/03/16 |
| Green Disrespectful Indirect Expression Volcanic Crater | 05/03/16 |
| avocado pea-brained menage | 05/03/16 |
| Odious public bath | 05/04/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 05/04/16 |
| Odious public bath | 05/05/16 |
| ivory trailer park | 05/05/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 05/05/16 |
| mustard stirring yarmulke coldplay fan | 05/05/16 |
| Wine address | 05/18/16 |
| Odious public bath | 05/18/16 |
| Razzmatazz market cuckoldry | 05/18/16 |
| Wine address | 05/18/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 05/29/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 06/20/16 |
| Odious public bath | 06/29/16 |
| Odious public bath | 07/14/16 |
| lascivious fortuitous meteor | 07/15/16 |
| 180 university | 07/15/16 |
| Odious public bath | 07/17/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 07/17/16 |
| Odious public bath | 07/21/16 |
| Odious public bath | 07/22/16 |
| Boyish range | 07/22/16 |
| Sinister Jet National | 07/23/16 |
| Odious public bath | 07/24/16 |
| Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot | 07/25/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 07/25/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 07/27/16 |
| Odious public bath | 08/05/16 |
| Odious public bath | 08/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 08/12/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 08/12/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 08/12/16 |
| sable tanning salon turdskin | 08/12/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 08/30/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 08/30/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 09/06/16 |
| Odious public bath | 09/13/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 09/14/16 |
| Turquoise misunderstood black woman | 09/14/16 |
| Shivering gaping | 09/15/16 |
| smoky fiercely-loyal locale | 09/15/16 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 09/15/16 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 09/15/16 |
| azure stain | 09/15/16 |
| Ebony shrine water buffalo | 09/19/16 |
| Ebony shrine water buffalo | 09/19/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 09/27/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 09/24/16 |
| Odious public bath | 09/27/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 09/27/16 |
| diverse lodge | 09/27/16 |
| wonderful judgmental lettuce parlour | 10/08/16 |
| duck-like indigo temple sound barrier | 07/29/24 |
| Dead Cuck | 09/28/16 |
| Turquoise misunderstood black woman | 09/28/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 09/28/16 |
| gay internal respiration | 09/28/16 |
| buck-toothed marketing idea stag film | 09/28/16 |
| Hateful emerald main people | 10/08/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 10/09/16 |
| Flickering appetizing church building place of business | 10/09/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 10/09/16 |
| Sienna spot weed whacker | 10/09/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 10/10/16 |
| Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot | 10/30/16 |
| 180 university | 11/01/16 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 11/01/16 |
| passionate sickened resort | 11/02/16 |
| Shimmering office potus | 11/02/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 11/07/16 |
| Pink exhilarant stead elastic band | 11/08/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 11/08/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/08/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 11/08/16 |
| cracking sooty orchestra pit roast beef | 11/08/16 |
| trip therapy mad cow disease | 11/08/16 |
| Marvelous white business firm | 11/08/16 |
| Ebony shrine water buffalo | 11/08/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/08/16 |
| Spectacular property round eye | 11/09/16 |
| Shivering gaping | 11/09/16 |
| Beady-eyed beta factory reset button | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 11/09/16 |
| Spectacular property round eye | 11/09/16 |
| Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot | 11/09/16 |
| ivory trailer park | 11/09/16 |
| racy stage | 12/03/16 |
| slap-happy massive school electric furnace | 12/07/16 |
| mauve vivacious theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Grizzly impressive corner gunner | 10/11/24 |
| Supple Masturbator Native | 11/09/16 |
| mind-boggling fishy station | 11/09/16 |
| Exciting nofapping national security agency | 11/09/16 |
| peach heady piazza jap | 11/09/16 |
| racy stage | 11/09/16 |
| 180 university | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| Wine address | 11/09/16 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 11/09/16 |
| fat ankles base | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| Dark organic girlfriend philosopher-king | 11/09/16 |
| cordovan garrison | 11/09/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/09/16 |
| aphrodisiac obsidian theater | 11/09/16 |
| Vibrant Unhinged Halford | 11/10/16 |
| arousing abode | 11/10/16 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 11/10/16 |
| maroon field | 11/10/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/10/16 |
| Dead Cuck | 11/10/16 |
| Insanely Creepy Curious Center Rigor | 11/10/16 |
| Ebony shrine water buffalo | 11/14/16 |
| Brilliant Library International Law Enforcement Agency | 11/14/16 |
| territorial nibblets | 12/04/16 |
| mauve vivacious theatre | 12/17/16 |
| Grizzly impressive corner gunner | 10/11/24 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/25/16 |
| prole | 12/03/16 |
| Sienna spot weed whacker | 12/04/16 |
| 12/07/16 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 12/07/16 |
| prole | 12/07/16 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/02/17 |
| awkward | 01/02/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/02/17 |
| awkward | 01/02/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 03/03/20 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 01/02/17 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 01/16/17 |
| awkward | 01/20/17 |
| Odious public bath | 01/20/17 |
| awkward | 01/23/17 |
| Hateful emerald main people | 01/23/17 |
| awkward | 01/23/17 |
| wild | 01/23/17 |
| Hateful emerald main people | 01/23/17 |
| awkward | 01/23/17 |
| awkward | 01/25/17 |
| awkward | 01/26/17 |
| awkward | 02/06/17 |
| awkward | 02/13/17 |
| awkward | 02/27/17 |
| awkward | 05/03/17 |
| Odious public bath | 05/03/17 |
| awkward | 09/21/17 |
| House-broken Purple Newt French Chef | 01/23/17 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 02/27/17 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 03/22/17 |
| Odious public bath | 04/17/17 |
| Odious public bath | 05/08/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 06/20/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 08/10/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 10/15/17 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 10/15/17 |
| faggot firefighter | 10/15/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/06/17 |
| low-t cream haunted graveyard patrolman | 11/06/17 |
| Embarrassed to the bone amber | 11/08/17 |
| vermilion swollen depressive | 11/08/17 |
| Zombie-like hominid | 11/13/17 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 12/18/17 |
| Snowy excitant striped hyena | 12/18/17 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 12/18/17 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 01/30/18 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 06/01/18 |
| Odious public bath | 07/18/18 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 07/19/18 |
| azure stain | 09/20/18 |
| Odious public bath | 09/25/18 |
| Motley walnut windowlicker forum | 10/06/18 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 10/06/18 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 10/25/18 |
| smoky fiercely-loyal locale | 10/25/18 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 11/05/18 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 11/05/18 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 11/05/18 |
| Blathering hissy fit jewess | 11/05/18 |
| Odious public bath | 01/08/19 |
| plum messiness sweet tailpipe | 02/23/19 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 03/13/19 |
| Ultramarine abusive house | 06/24/19 |
| topaz pocket flask goal in life | 06/24/19 |
| Odious public bath | 11/18/19 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 02/12/20 |
| Odious public bath | 02/12/20 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 03/24/20 |
| brethren | 03/24/20 |
| lascivious fortuitous meteor | 04/04/20 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 04/26/20 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 05/13/20 |
| lascivious fortuitous meteor | 06/05/20 |
| Poppy Foreskin | 06/05/20 |
| lascivious fortuitous meteor | 09/09/20 |
| Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder | 09/09/20 |
| Khaki queen of the night | 09/09/20 |
| umber psychic | 09/12/20 |
| chartreuse kitty | 09/24/20 |
| topaz pocket flask goal in life | 10/09/20 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 10/10/20 |
| Ocher | 10/22/20 |
| racy stage | 10/22/20 |
| Dun Crackhouse | 10/22/20 |
| Dun Crackhouse | 10/22/20 |
| onyx liquid oxygen shitlib | 03/23/22 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 10/27/20 |
| red travel guidebook lay | 10/27/20 |
| topaz pocket flask goal in life | 10/30/20 |
| Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven | 11/03/20 |
| Odious public bath | 03/22/22 |
| Rough-skinned azn goyim | 03/23/22 |
| gaming laptop | 03/23/22 |
| lemon people who are hurt karate | 03/23/22 |
| Odious public bath | 07/25/22 |
| Khaki queen of the night | 07/25/22 |
| Odious public bath | 10/23/22 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 11/16/22 |
| Multi-colored partner athletic conference | 04/25/23 |
| Wine address | 04/25/23 |
| chartreuse kitty | 04/29/23 |
| duck-like indigo temple sound barrier | 05/28/23 |
| Odious public bath | 02/22/24 |
| chartreuse kitty | 02/23/24 |
| Odious public bath | 05/23/24 |
| Odious public bath | 08/26/24 |
| chartreuse kitty | 09/13/24 |
| Khaki queen of the night | 09/13/24 |
| chartreuse kitty | 10/18/24 |
| Grizzly impressive corner gunner | 10/11/24 |
| Odious public bath | 11/06/24 |
| ivory trailer park | 03/04/25 |
| ivory trailer park | 03/04/25 |
| azure stain | 03/04/25 |
| Grizzly impressive corner gunner | 03/04/25 |
| scourge upon the earth | 03/04/25 |
| really tough guy | 03/05/25 |
| Odious public bath | 03/07/25 |
| jet-lagged | 03/07/25 |
| Odious public bath | 03/08/25 |
| thirsty boltzmann | 03/08/25 |
| Odious public bath | 03/08/25 |
| House-broken Purple Newt French Chef | 02/18/26 |
| Odious public bath | 05/15/26 |
| Claret Disgusting Toaster | 05/17/26 |
| coalition of rabbis | 08/11/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: contagious french set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: maize aromatic ticket booth giraffe 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: Laughsome ruby private investor sandwich (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Bonkers Splenetic Gas Station "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Khaki queen of the night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: Motley walnut windowlicker forum 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: House-broken Purple Newt French Chef 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: aphrodisiac obsidian theater Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: Stimulating brindle macaca (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: elite impertinent party of the first part FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: diverse lodge Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: cerebral mewling death wish school cafeteria Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: cyan bearded box office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: Navy regret Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: cocky maniacal locus Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: Bateful sapphire den Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Rusted bipolar church quadroon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:05 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29359811) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:07 PM Author: Irradiated indian lodge (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29359818) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:10 PM Author: Citrine kitchen 180 million (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29359849) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: cyan bearded box office November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29359926) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: talented drab mad-dog skullcap (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364617) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:40 PM Author: Ultramarine abusive house Don't edit loser (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677834) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:52 AM Author: slap-happy massive school electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31866880) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:09 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364607) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:11 PM Author: Wine address (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364621) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Very tactful idiotic ladyboy area lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364630) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:47 PM Author: flesh home March 9
THE ANTHROPOPHAGUS HAS QUITTED HIS DEN
March 10
THE CORSICAN OGRE HAS LANDED AT CAPE JUAN
March 11
THE TIGER HAS ARRIVED AT CAP
March 12
THE MONSTER SLEPT AT GRENOBLE
March 13
THE TYRANT HAS PASSED THOUGH LYONS
March 14
THE USURPER IS DIRECTING HIS STEPS TOWARDS DIJON
March 18
BONAPARTE IS ONLY SIXTY LEAGUES FROM THE CAPITAL
He has been fortunate enough to escape his pursuers
March 19
BONAPARTE IS ADVANCING WITH RAPID STEPS, BUT HE WILL NEVER ENTER PARIS
March 20
NAPOLEON WILL, TOMORROW, BE UNDER OUR RAMPARTS
March 21
THE EMPEROR IS AT FONTAINEBLEAU
March 22
HIS IMPERIAL AND ROYAL MAJESTY arrived yesterday evening at the Tuileries, amid the joyful acclamation of his devoted and faithful subjects |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: aquamarine talking reading party (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: Turquoise misunderstood black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364847) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: pale pozpig senate lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: fear-inspiring irate bawdyhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364887) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: ivory trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364890) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: offensive hairless parlor background story Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: Razzle outnumbered pit toilet seat Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: diverse lodge OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: diverse lodge And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: Hyperventilating glittery chad 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: Concupiscible site fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: frisky greedy brunch I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Shimmering office potus 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: Bull headed institution faggotry February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Cobalt hairraiser antidepressant drug You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: slippery sex offender rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: Ultramarine abusive house Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: mauve vivacious theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32165246) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:11 AM Author: Razzmatazz market cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30504262) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: 180 university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Thriller Bossy Nursing Home Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Dun Crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: vigorous legal warrant candlestick maker This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Nudist Theater Stage 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: demanding roommate stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: provocative painfully honest pistol mother Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: Odious public bath Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: Odious public bath Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Flirting Hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: Vibrant Unhinged Halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: Odious public bath Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: Odious public bath "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Odious public bath "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: Odious public bath One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: Odious public bath This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: Bateful sapphire den flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: Ultramarine abusive house Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Flirting Hospital From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: magical casino multi-billionaire 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Opaque Location Degenerate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: chocolate plaza An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: Unholy hell legend 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: chocolate plaza I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: chocolate plaza Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: Unholy hell legend No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: 180 university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: Odious public bath “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Flirting Hospital http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Deranged Iridescent Selfie Meetinghouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: Odious public bath Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Flirting Hospital looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677719) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: arousing abode 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677863) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: Ultramarine abusive house You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29677913) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: arousing abode No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29791782) |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31345881) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37162047) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: Soul-stirring adulterous circlehead principal's office (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29708433) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29727124) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: Marvelous white business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29727197) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29732588) |
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Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29771453) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: magical casino multi-billionaire (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29791735) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: jade hairy legs (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29791763) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29877406) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: Insanely Creepy Curious Center Rigor OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29877434) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Razzmatazz market cuckoldry PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29903568) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: Honey-headed Big Sanctuary Persian The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29903615) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Zippy dashing step-uncle's house personal credit line (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29931652) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: Hyperventilating glittery chad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30015868) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Adventurous Chapel Rigpig (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30066562) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: House-broken Purple Newt French Chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30066681) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: Concupiscible site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30070592) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: Frozen Titillating Point hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: mustard stirring yarmulke coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29904083) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: Concupiscible site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30987707) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: galvanic carmine hall (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29904074) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: House-broken Purple Newt French Chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29931637) |
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Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29960115) |
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Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#29976826) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30015799) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: magical casino multi-billionaire yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30015891) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30065629) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Razzmatazz market cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30065970) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Charismatic lilac space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30066291) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: clear comical dilemma stock car truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30066549) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: Odious public bath It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: diverse lodge March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30070601) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30119676) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30119337) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: fear-inspiring irate bawdyhouse http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30140474) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: submissive internet-worthy nowag Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30140513) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30144174) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: slippery sex offender rehab jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30151942) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30151965) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: Motley walnut windowlicker forum (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30151975) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: 180 university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: Odious public bath "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: Odious public bath "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: Dead Cuck lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30160689) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: Dead Cuck "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: Odious public bath http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: Odious public bath "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: Dead Cuck interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: buck-toothed marketing idea stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30307876) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: floppy godawful cumskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30310760) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: gay internal respiration I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30310807) |
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Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30335375) |
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Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30346848) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30353572) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: Disturbing charcoal mexican state (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30353587) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: Histrionic skinny woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: Electric crystalline dragon whorehouse Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: Electric crystalline dragon whorehouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: Odious public bath The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: Green Disrespectful Indirect Expression Volcanic Crater holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: avocado pea-brained menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: Odious public bath Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: ivory trailer park Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: mustard stirring yarmulke coldplay fan Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Wine address This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Razzmatazz market cuckoldry In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: Wine address cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: Odious public bath Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: lascivious fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: 180 university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: Boyish range (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Sinister Jet National Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: Dead Cuck amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: sable tanning salon turdskin LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: Odious public bath Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: Dead Cuck ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: Turquoise misunderstood black woman Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Shivering gaping September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: smoky fiercely-loyal locale September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: azure stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: Ebony shrine water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Ebony shrine water buffalo The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: Odious public bath http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: diverse lodge This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: wonderful judgmental lettuce parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: duck-like indigo temple sound barrier (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: Dead Cuck http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Turquoise misunderstood black woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: gay internal respiration This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: buck-toothed marketing idea stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: Hateful emerald main people (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Flickering appetizing church building place of business Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Sienna spot weed whacker half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: Dead Cuck nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: 180 university Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: passionate sickened resort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Shimmering office potus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: Dead Cuck prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Pink exhilarant stead elastic band You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Dead Cuck true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: Dead Cuck ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: cracking sooty orchestra pit roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: trip therapy mad cow disease Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: Marvelous white business firm (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: Ebony shrine water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Spectacular property round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Shivering gaping (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: Beady-eyed beta factory reset button (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Spectacular property round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Gold swashbuckling ratface idiot it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: ivory trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: racy stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: slap-happy massive school electric furnace (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: mauve vivacious theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Grizzly impressive corner gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Supple Masturbator Native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: mind-boggling fishy station Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: Exciting nofapping national security agency (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: peach heady piazza jap 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: racy stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: 180 university (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: Wine address this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: fat ankles base (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Dark organic girlfriend philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: cordovan garrison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: aphrodisiac obsidian theater you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: Vibrant Unhinged Halford (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: arousing abode Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: maroon field (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Dead Cuck ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: Insanely Creepy Curious Center Rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: Ebony shrine water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: Brilliant Library International Law Enforcement Agency They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: territorial nibblets Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: mauve vivacious theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Grizzly impressive corner gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Sienna spot weed whacker GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: prole (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: awkward October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: awkward ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: awkward http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: Hateful emerald main people TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: awkward It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: wild I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: Hateful emerald main people it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: awkward The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: awkward https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: House-broken Purple Newt French Chef this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: Odious public bath https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: low-t cream haunted graveyard patrolman credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: Embarrassed to the bone amber (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: vermilion swollen depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: Zombie-like hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Snowy excitant striped hyena Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: Odious public bath https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: azure stain (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: Odious public bath The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: Motley walnut windowlicker forum It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: smoky fiercely-loyal locale Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: Ultramarine abusive house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: Blathering hissy fit jewess (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: Odious public bath What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: plum messiness sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: Ultramarine abusive house There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: topaz pocket flask goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: brethren (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: lascivious fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: lascivious fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: Poppy Foreskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: lascivious fortuitous meteor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: Fragrant metal cruise ship mental disorder (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Khaki queen of the night Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: umber psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: chartreuse kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: topaz pocket flask goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: Ocher (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: racy stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: Dun Crackhouse (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: Dun Crackhouse https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: onyx liquid oxygen shitlib (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: red travel guidebook lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: topaz pocket flask goal in life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: Orchid razzle-dazzle heaven (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Rough-skinned azn goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: lemon people who are hurt karate 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Khaki queen of the night A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: Multi-colored partner athletic conference https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: Wine address why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: chartreuse kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: duck-like indigo temple sound barrier FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: chartreuse kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: Odious public bath https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: chartreuse kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Khaki queen of the night One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: chartreuse kitty (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Grizzly impressive corner gunner (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: ivory trailer park 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: ivory trailer park https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: azure stain Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Grizzly impressive corner gunner The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: scourge upon the earth He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: Odious public bath (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: jet-lagged 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: Odious public bath "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: thirsty boltzmann Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: Odious public bath Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: House-broken Purple Newt French Chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#49679495) |
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Date: May 15th, 2026 12:08 PM Author: Odious public bath ABC News has now taken all FiveThirtyEight articles completely offline. They now redirect to abcnews dot com/politics. A needless erasure of thousands of pages of knowledge. https://x.com/baseballot/status/2055309076209492208 |
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Date: May 17th, 2026 11:01 AM Author: Claret Disgusting Toaster i sense that there is a bit of a movement to shame ABC into providing access again.
https://www.nytimes.com/2026/05/16/business/media/fivethirtyeight-abc-removed.html |
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Date: August 11th, 2026 2:24 AM Author: coalition of rabbis Weird how 99% of the internet disappeared one day (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2锞兾告触锟界锟絇HPSESSID=962c303388ae8b5678383d002493727e#50060136) |