Taiwan's fertility project a disastrous failure - link
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: January 12th, 2026 11:41 AM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
https://x.com/lymanstoneky/status/2010752966907806100
Those numbers are pretty astonishing - from 1.06 to 0.72 since freaking 2018, in spite of the government throwing money at the problem. Anyone doubting that Idiocracy is prophecy is deluding themselves - smart people everywhere are dying out.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49583047) |
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Date: January 12th, 2026 5:52 PM Author: norwood ultra
the basic problem here is that you're very dumb and have trouble understanding how incentives and constraints can reliably produce outcomes until the incentives and constraints change
historically:
1) people were motivated to have sex
2) sex and reproduction were tightly linked
3) reproduction had economic benefits
as soon as 2 and 3 go away, reproduction collapses. this pattern occurs regularly and is strong evidence that there is no instinct to reproduce
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584244) |
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Date: January 12th, 2026 6:19 PM Author: My Pickleball Career
how can you be so aggressively hostile about something that you are so obviously wrong about?
this isn't even a value-judgment that we're talking about here. we are speaking about strictly factual matters. calling him a "soulless ghoul" in response to his posts is totally incoherent. it's like calling someone a "soulless ghoul" for relaying the melting point of iron
so strange
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584307) |
Date: January 12th, 2026 11:43 AM Author: theranchman
disastrous lol.
we dont need more people. we need more competent, intelligent, pro-social people. now how do we specifically encourage pro-creation of those people...
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49583057) |
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Date: January 12th, 2026 11:45 AM
Author: ,.,,.,.,,,,,,.....................
I wouldn't be concerned if these were Somali numbers. But Taiwanese are high IQ.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49583066) |
Date: January 12th, 2026 11:45 AM Author: My Pickleball Career
the only state policy that will or could ever increase fertility is rescinding women's rights. this will always remain true regardless of how anyone feels about it
you could also heavily tax women and redistribute the money to men, but it would be way easier and more effective to just take away women's rights
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49583065) |
Date: January 12th, 2026 6:23 PM Author: Roblox
Why the fuck are we hell bent on increasing fertility? So that Jews can have more employees and consumers for their companies?
What's even wrong if Japan has like 50,000 people, US has 2 million people, and EU has another 2 million?
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584317) |
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Date: January 12th, 2026 6:31 PM Author: AZNgirl asking ICE Officer to Shoot in her Mouth
this is a great reddit comment but plz ask AI what a TFR of even 1.5 (which is considered "higher" level now ljl) does after 200 years. oh ill help you:
Using a standard demographic model (assuming a generation length of 30 years and a replacement rate of 2.1), here is how a population of 100 million collapses over time at these fertility rates.
TFR 1.5 (Current rate of Japan/Italy)
50 Years: 57 million
100 Years: 32.6 million
150 Years: 18.6 million
200 Years: 10.6 million
TFR 1.0 (Current rate of China/Thailand)
50 Years: 29 million
100 Years: 8.4 million
150 Years: 2.4 million
200 Years: 711,000
TFR 0.7 (Current rate of South Korea)
50 Years: 16 million
100 Years: 2.5 million
150 Years: 411,000
200 Years: 66,000
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584348) |
Date: January 12th, 2026 6:25 PM Author: AZNgirl asking ICE Officer to Shoot in her Mouth
the only real "fertility project" is to ban women from univ and working
or at the very least you must ban all feminazi BS, all anti-natal BS, and from early education teach bitches their sole role is to get married and maek babby
but none of this will happen in our lifetimes prob so we are all gonna go extinct except for N'Delaowaodjabatu and his bros in Chad and Sudan
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584322) |
Date: January 12th, 2026 6:26 PM Author: OYT and the Indie Reprieve ( )
"Last year, Taiwan’s Cabinet approved a new package of subsidies aimed at boosting births, including a cash allowance of 100,000 New Taiwan dollars ($3,200) per child.
However, given rising housing costs and stagnant wages, it remains unclear whether such measures will make a difference—especially as Japan and South Korea have seen limited success despite committing far more funding than Taiwan over the years to boost births."
lmao $3200. wow great effort guys. I have zero sympathy for pro-fertility sentiment but if this is the best they can do then wow lol.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584328)
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Date: January 12th, 2026 6:33 PM Author: AZNgirl asking ICE Officer to Shoot in her Mouth
LKY knew this decades ago:
Lee Kuan Yew’s views on fertility subsidies evolved from skepticism to a form of grim resignation. While Singapore has some of the world's most generous "Baby Bonuses," Lee himself eventually argued that they were largely a waste of money because the problem was cultural, not financial.
His stance can be summarized by three main points he made toward the end of his life:
### 1. The "Two Years' Salary" Experiment
In his 2013 book *One Man’s View of the World*, Lee made a provocative proposal. He said that if he were still in charge, he would offer a baby bonus equal to **two years' salary** of the average Singaporean for a limited time.
However, his goal wasn't to actually raise the birth rate. He wanted to do it to **"prove beyond any doubt"** that it would fail. He argued that such an experiment would show that low fertility has nothing to do with "economic or financial factors, such as high cost of living," but is instead driven by a fundamental change in lifestyles and mindsets that money cannot fix.
### 2. "I Have Given Up"
Lee was famously blunt about the failure of pro-natalist policies. In the same 2013 book, he wrote:
> "I cannot solve the problem, and I have given up. I have given the job to another generation of leaders. Hopefully, they or their successors will eventually find a way out."
He believed that once women became highly educated and entered the workforce with equal status to men, the "opportunity cost" of having children became so high that no government subsidy could ever truly compensate for it.
### 3. Culture Over Cash
Lee argued that the decline in birth rates was a byproduct of the very success he helped create. He noted that:
* **Lifestyles have changed:** Young people now value autonomy, travel, and career progression over traditional family structures.
* **Marginal Effect:** He stated that large monetary incentives would only ever have a "marginal effect" on the birth rate because they don't address the "educational arms race" or the stress of modern urban life.
* **The Migration Solution:** Because he believed subsidies wouldn't work, he argued that the only way for Singapore to survive was to **accept immigrants**, despite the social friction it might cause. He often pointed to Japan as a warning of what happens to a society that refuses both babies and immigrants.
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### Comparison of LKY's Eras
| Period | Policy | His Belief |
| --- | --- | --- |
| **1970s** | "Stop at Two" | Population growth is a threat to infrastructure and survival. |
| **1980s** | "Three or More" | Realized the "Stop at Two" worked too well; began targeting elite/graduates to breed. |
| **2010s** | Massive Subsidies | Believed they were ineffective "window dressing" for a deeper cultural shift. |
**Would you like me to find the specific "Baby Bonus" amounts Singapore currently offers in 2026 to see how much they have increased since Lee's death?**
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584355)
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Date: January 12th, 2026 7:05 PM Author: me mum died in the holly (TT6)
US whites are the same just not as bad.
But at least homeowners have lots of equity!
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5821071&forum_id=2#49584490) |
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