ITT: $50 prize for most accurate election prediction (gunneratttt)
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Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:22 PM Author: infuriating telephone
rules:
(1) you must predict the outcome of the seven key swing states (NC, GA, AZ, NV, WI, MI, PA) plus that popular vote via how many points the candidate you choose will win by to the first decimal (e.g. trump +1.5).
(1)(a) predictions must be made for *EACH SWING STATE* in terms of margin of victory as well as the national popular vote. see my vote for an example: https://www.xoxohth.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&mc=6&forum_id=2#48255079
(1)(b) votes must be made in a top level comment, not a reply.
(2) your final score is based on the cumulative gap between you prediction and the actual result. (e.g. predicted trump +0.3, actual result kamala +1.0 = +1.3 added to your total). correctly picking the winning candidate does not earn additional points.
(3) on the morning of 11/5 i will quote reply to all eligible votes.
(4) revising your prediction is permitted, my quote reply will be considered your final prediction.
(5) the winner will be announced when vote rolls are certified. i will post the winner and award the prize after 24 hours. during that time appeals can be made (e.g. i fucked up the math), however i will be the sole arbiter in selecting the winner.
(6) only recognizable sudos may participate. i will comment if i don't think you're are eligible, and will hear appeals, but will be the sole arbiter of deciding a poaster's eligibility.
(6)(a) i will only comment on your eligibility if you have both made a valid vote and i believe you are ineligible. if you wish to confirm whether your vote is sufficient and you are eligible, you may do so, and i will respond.
(7) i will make a prediction but am ineligible to win.
(8) in the unlikely event of a tie, the prize will be split.
(9) the prize will be in the form of an AMEX or VISA gift card delivered via email on my throwaway.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255021) |
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:25 PM Author: cream cruise ship liquid oxygen
Edited version!
NATIONAL: Harris +2.5
NC: Trump +0.2
GA: Trump +0.7
AZ: Trump +1.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +2.0
MI: Harris +3.0
PA: Harris +0.5
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255035)
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Juan Eighty
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:25 PM
Author: Juan Eighty
Edited version!
NATIONAL: Harris +2.5
NC: Trump +0.2
GA: Trump +0.7
AZ: Trump +1.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +2.0
MI: Harris +3.0
PA: Harris +0.5
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282333) |
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:26 PM Author: Trip area rigor
https://www.270towin.com/maps/W7vvm
NPV: TRUMP +2.1
NC: TRUMP +5.2
GA: TRUMP +4.2
AZ: TRUMP +5.5
NV: TRUMP +2.4
WI: TRUMP +3.2
MI: TRUMP +2.9
PA: TRUMP +4.0
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255039) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: MASE
https://www.270towin.com/maps/W7vvm
NPV: TRUMP +2.1
NC: TRUMP +5.2
GA: TRUMP +4.2
AZ: TRUMP +5.5
NV: TRUMP +2.4
WI: TRUMP +3.2
MI: TRUMP +2.9
PA: TRUMP +4.0
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282336)
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Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM Author: infuriating telephone
NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255079) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:47 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: gunneratttt
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM
Author: Trump's Fatified Margin of Victory (gunneratttt)
NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282340)
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Date: November 5th, 2024 10:45 AM Author: floppy hideous institution fanboi
Date: October 29th, 2024 4:37 PM
Author: Last day in 2024 Trump isn't POTUS elect (gunneratttt)
NATIONAL: TRUMP +2.8
NC: KAMALA +2.4
GA: TRUMP 3.4
AZ: TRUMP +7.5
NV: TRUMP +4.1
WI: TRUMP +1.8
MI: TRUMP +2.7
PA: TRUMP +3.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48285859) |
Date: October 29th, 2024 5:26 PM Author: Soul-stirring faggotry water buffalo
NATIONAL: Kamala +3
Georgia: Kamala +1
Michigan: Kamala +4
Nevada: Trump +1
North Carolina: tied
Pennsylvania: Kamala +1
Wisconsin: Kamala +2
Nebraska-2: Kamala +9
States that are closer than usual: Kansas, Alaska, Nebraska.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255285)
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: libpumo
NATIONAL: Kamala +3
Georgia: Kamala +1
Michigan: Kamala +4
Nevada: Trump +1
North Carolina: tied
Pennsylvania: Kamala +1
Wisconsin: Kamala +2
Nebraska-2: Kamala +9
States that are closer than usual: Kansas, Alaska, Nebrask
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282343) |
Date: October 29th, 2024 6:11 PM Author: floppy hideous institution fanboi
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.8
NC: TRUMP +2.6
GA: TRUMP +2.8
AZ: TRUMP +4.1
NV: TRUMP +1.9
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +0.4
PA: TRUMP +1.9
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255449) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Historical American tp [HAtp]
Date: October 29th, 2024 6:11 PM
Author: River of Blood
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.8
NC: TRUMP +2.6
GA: TRUMP +2.8
AZ: TRUMP +4.1
NV: TRUMP +1.9
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +0.4
PA: TRUMP +1.9
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282346) |
Date: October 29th, 2024 7:15 PM Author: Erotic Church Deer Antler
(1) Trump 306 EV's
Kamala 232 EV's
Trump wins NC, AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV
Popular vote: Trump +0.1
(1)(a) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.1
NC: TRUMP +1.2
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +2.8
NV: HARRIS +2.2
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.1
(1)(b)√
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48255732) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:48 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard
Date: October 29th, 2024 7:15 PM
Author: Soren "Bob" Odenkierkegaard
(1) Trump 306 EV's
Kamala 232 EV's
Trump wins NC, AZ, GA, PA, MI, and WI. Kamala retains NV
Popular vote: Trump +0.1
(1)(a) NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.1
NC: TRUMP +1.2
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +2.8
NV: HARRIS +2.2
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +2.1
(1)(b)√
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282350) |
Date: November 1st, 2024 11:27 AM Author: boyish sticky french chef
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.2
NC: KAMALA +0.2
GA: TRUMP +3.7
AZ: TRUMP +3.9
NV: TRUMP +1.4
WI: TRUMP +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.5
PA: TRUMP +0.4
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48267545) |
Date: November 1st, 2024 2:28 PM Author: sinister painfully honest corn cake coldplay fan
NATIONAL: Harris +3.0
NC: Trump +0.5
GA: Trump +0.5
AZ: Trump +1.0
NV: Trump +1.5
WI: Harris +1.0
MI: Harris +2.0
PA: Harris +1.0
This is from my heart, because I cannot write what I fear may really come to pass.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48268396) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: LathamTouchedMe
Date: November 1st, 2024 2:28 PM
Author: LathamTouchedMe
NATIONAL: Harris +3.0
NC: Trump +0.5
GA: Trump +0.5
AZ: Trump +1.0
NV: Trump +1.5
WI: Harris +1.0
MI: Harris +2.0
PA: Harris +1.0
This is from my heart, because I cannot write what I fear may really come to pass.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282352)
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:20 PM Author: godawful windowlicker
Don't want the money but:
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.5
NC: TRUMP +4.0
GA: TRUMP +1.6
AZ: TRUMP +4.9
NV: TRUMP +3.6
WI: TRUMP +0.3
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +1.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270175) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: askav
Date: November 1st, 2024 10:20 PM
Author: askav
Don't want the money but:
NATIONAL: TRUMP +0.5
NC: TRUMP +4.0
GA: TRUMP +1.6
AZ: TRUMP +4.9
NV: TRUMP +3.6
WI: TRUMP +0.3
MI: TRUMP +1.5
PA: TRUMP +1.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282354)
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Date: November 1st, 2024 10:36 PM Author: Excitant startling orchestra pit
NATIONAL: Harris +4.1
MI: Harris +2.7
GA: Harris: +1.0
PA: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.5
WI: Harris +0.2
NC: Trump +0.0
AZ: Trump +1.5
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270228)
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:49 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second
Date: November 1st, 2024 10:36 PM
Author: Many Cocks Spewing Gallons of Cum This Very Second
NATIONAL: Harris +4.1
MI: Harris +2.7
GA: Harris: +1.0
PA: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.5
WI: Harris +0.2
NC: Trump +0.0
AZ: Trump +1.5
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282356) |
Date: November 1st, 2024 10:42 PM Author: Vigorous Wagecucks
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.4
NC: TRUMP +1.5
GA: TRUMP +2.9
AZ: TRUMP +3.1
NV: TRUMP +1.8
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: TRUMP +1.80
PA: TRUMP +0.3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48270245)
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:50 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle [TSINAH]
Date: November 1st, 2024 10:42 PM
Author: Taylor Swift is not a hobby she is a lifestyle (πΊπΈ π΅π±)
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.4
NC: TRUMP +1.5
GA: TRUMP +2.9
AZ: TRUMP +3.1
NV: TRUMP +1.8
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: TRUMP +1.80
PA: TRUMP +0.3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282359) |
Date: November 4th, 2024 1:21 PM Author: orchid confused theater
National: Kam +3.0
NC Kam .1
AZ Drumpf .1
PA Kam .1
WI Kam .1
MI Kam .1
GA Kam .1
NV Kam .1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48280818) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:50 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband [EPAH]
Date: November 4th, 2024 1:21 PM
Author: Emotionally + Physically Abusive Ex-Husband
National: Kam +3.0
NC Kam .1
AZ Drumpf .1
PA Kam .1
WI Kam .1
MI Kam .1
GA Kam .1
NV Kam .1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282362) |
Date: November 4th, 2024 1:52 PM Author: ocher harsh pocket flask
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.8
NC: TRUMP +1
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +3.4
NV: TRUMP +0.5
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: KAMALA +1%
PA: TRUMP +0.3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48280920) |
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Date: November 4th, 2024 5:51 PM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Zurich is Stained
Date: November 4th, 2024 1:52 PM
Author: butt cutlets and poo poo sauce
NATIONAL: KAMALA +0.8
NC: TRUMP +1
GA: TRUMP +2.5
AZ: TRUMP +3.4
NV: TRUMP +0.5
WI: TRUMP +0.5
MI: KAMALA +1%
PA: TRUMP +0.3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282366)
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Date: November 4th, 2024 6:13 PM Author: violent chrome associate
NATIONAL: KAMALALA +1.0
NC: KAMALA +0.5
GA: TRUMP +2.3
AZ: TRUMP +4.2
NV: TRUMP +1.5
WI: KAMALA +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.2
PA: TRUMP +1.2
FINAL SCORE:
COMRADE HARRIS - 267
JONALD J TRUMP - 268
DR CORNEL MOTHERFUCKIN WEST - 3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48282459) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 4:23 AM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Cornel West
Date: November 4th, 2024 6:13 PM
Author: Cornel West
NATIONAL: KAMALALA +1.0
NC: KAMALA +0.5
GA: TRUMP +2.3
AZ: TRUMP +4.2
NV: TRUMP +1.5
WI: KAMALA +0.7
MI: KAMALA +1.2
PA: TRUMP +1.2
FINAL SCORE:
COMRADE HARRIS - 267
JONALD J TRUMP - 268
DR CORNEL MOTHERFUCKIN WEST - 3
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284591) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 5:03 AM Author: pearly free-loading garrison
NATIONAL: Harris +1.8
NC: Trump +0.9
GA: Trump +0.6
AZ: Trump +0.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +1.1
MI: Harris +0.9
PA: Trump +0.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284621) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 5:56 AM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: Drunkard
NATIONAL: Harris +1.8
NC: Trump +0.9
GA: Trump +0.6
AZ: Trump +0.5
NV: Harris +0.3
WI: Harris +1.1
MI: Harris +0.9
PA: Trump +0.1
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284673) |
Date: November 5th, 2024 7:05 AM Author: Exhilarant Affirmative Action
https://ibb.co/3pszb7d
DEMS: 317 REP: 221
NATIONAL: Harris +2.1
NC: Harris +0.3
GA: Harris +1.9
AZ: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.9
WI: Harris +1.6
MI: Harris +2.1
PA: Harris +0.8
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284797) |
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Date: November 5th, 2024 7:13 AM Author: infuriating telephone Subject: ricky
Date: November 5th, 2024 7:05 AM
Author: Vote And Die Calcified Dipshit Barn Animal Goyim
https://ibb.co/3pszb7d
DEMS: 317 REP: 221
NATIONAL: Harris +2.1
NC: Harris +0.3
GA: Harris +1.9
AZ: Harris +0.7
NV: Harris +0.9
WI: Harris +1.6
MI: Harris +2.1
PA: Harris +0.8
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48284817) |
Date: November 6th, 2024 12:08 AM Author: infuriating telephone
i went high on my predictions and i think ill even have underestimated they final results
goodnight libs. you're all gonna die.
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5620460&forum_id=2#48294545) |
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