Date: June 6th, 2025 2:48 PM
Author: Topaz Weed Whacker
I asked Grok to analyze the impact of russia losing 20 bombers (which is lower than even some conservative estimates)
“ Final Estimate: The destruction of 20 bombers reduces Russia’s ability to conduct near-nightly long-range bomber attacks by 30–40%, factoring in:
- ~33% loss of combat-ready bombers (20/60).
- ~35% reduction in fighting strength (Lanchester’s Square Law, adjusted for Tu-160 costs).
- ~20–38% reduction in salvo frequency and missile output, exacerbated by Tu-160’s $1–2 million per flight hour cost, which limits sortie rates under Russia’s strained economy.”
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5734265&forum_id=2#48992591)