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There is 0% possibility of “AGI” ever occurring
| aqua startling trust fund | 10/18/25 |
| self-centered fortuitous meteor pistol | 10/18/25 |
| Fragrant judgmental party of the first part | 10/18/25 |
| Domesticated lavender roast beef address | 10/18/25 |
| Comical Crackhouse Private Investor | 10/18/25 |
| Insane factory reset button | 10/18/25 |
| massive temple electric furnace | 10/18/25 |
| cerebral talking rehab | 10/18/25 |
| Buck-toothed Clear Rigor | 10/18/25 |
| Thriller pit headpube | 10/18/25 |
| mint theater stage striped hyena | 10/19/25 |
| confused outnumbered lay | 10/19/25 |
| lascivious bearded laser beams potus | 11/08/25 |
| lascivious bearded laser beams potus | 04/20/26 |
| Spectacular Kitty Cat Coldplay Fan | 10/19/25 |
| Hideous Cordovan Native | 11/08/25 |
| aqua startling trust fund | 04/20/26 |
| Bull Headed Drunken Juggernaut Sanctuary | 04/20/26 |
| know-it-all rusted locale affirmative action | 04/20/26 |
| Bull Headed Drunken Juggernaut Sanctuary | 04/20/26 |
| ruby macaca water buffalo | 04/20/26 |
| lascivious bearded laser beams potus | 04/20/26 |
| lascivious bearded laser beams potus | 04/20/26 |
| aqua startling trust fund | 04/20/26 |
| lascivious bearded laser beams potus | 04/20/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: October 18th, 2025 8:11 AM Author: aqua startling trust fund AI’s greatest accomplishment will be making millions of otherwise sentient / marginally intelligent people retarded.
It’s just another fucking computer program and that’s all it will ever be. |
Date: October 18th, 2025 8:26 AM Author: self-centered fortuitous meteor pistol i remember in 90s they pretended internet wld solve all probs theyd be no traffic anymore and shit techpigs are furking faggots (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49357411) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:49 AM Author: Fragrant judgmental party of the first part Nearly 100%. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49357699) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:52 AM Author: Domesticated lavender roast beef address but it's definitely possible a future iteration will fool the masses into think it's sentient. that's already happened to some dimwits using chatgpt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49357709) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 12:30 PM Author: Comical Crackhouse Private Investor The only thing that would/could stop the eventual development of artificial intelligent minds is the breakdown and collapse of civilization
Which could totally happen |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 12:34 PM Author: Insane factory reset button I don't see how far off this shit is. It's effectively The Same AGI atm. If it had a Body and Dexterity and if robots didn't suck, it could definitely do all kinds of irl shit. It's not exactly the same as humans but humans are not all they're cracked up to be, like at all. For the most part they just believe and regurgitate The Same Things over and over again. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49357808) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 12:36 PM Author: massive temple electric furnace that's AGI though
make users insanely retarded
everyone uses AI to try not be retarded
agents do basic tasks that humans can no longer do |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:30 PM Author: cerebral talking rehab (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358822) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 10:42 PM Author: Buck-toothed Clear Rigor (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358839) |
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Date: October 18th, 2025 11:50 PM Author: Thriller pit headpube It doesn’t matter. Sentience is not even required to take over all humans jobs. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358898) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 12:32 AM Author: mint theater stage striped hyena Many humans don’t have sentience (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358939) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 12:33 AM Author: confused outnumbered lay (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358940) |
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Date: November 8th, 2025 12:32 PM Author: lascivious bearded laser beams potus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49412455) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:30 AM Author: lascivious bearded laser beams potus arguably most (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828651) |
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Date: October 19th, 2025 12:35 AM Author: Spectacular Kitty Cat Coldplay Fan possibly the funniest outcome of all of this is humanity going extint to an AI that goes defunct right after (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49358941) |
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Date: November 8th, 2025 12:27 PM Author: Hideous Cordovan Native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49412445) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 1:13 AM Author: aqua startling trust fund (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828595) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 1:31 AM Author: Bull Headed Drunken Juggernaut Sanctuary It won't be taken seriously until it can do things in the physical world. You just can't respect an "intelligence" that can't move a coffee mug across a room. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828610) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 1:40 AM Author: know-it-all rusted locale affirmative action it's a bit like the breathless overselling that went on during the mid-20th century regarding technology, space travel, et cetera.
at the time, it felt like things were moving so rapidly that SURELY our computers and rockets would soon morph into robotic butlers and flying cars a la The Jetsons!
people deadass believed that the Moon 'landing' was an obvious auguring of interplanetary space travel and 'colonization' in the near-term. even in the 80s, they were still making sci-fi movies set in 'THE YEAR 1999' where people had flying cars and lived on Mars, like this was 100% plausible futurecasting.
the AI thing will fizzle, just like all tech has. we'll get all the low-hanging fruit benefits of AI, while 'AGI' talk quietly fades away. |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:03 AM Author: Bull Headed Drunken Juggernaut Sanctuary (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828641) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:42 AM Author: ruby macaca water buffalo This is generally a reasonable criticism of technological hype but the arguments for near term AGI are more complicated than “we made a lot of progress quickly, therefore we are near the end.” The success in modeling multiple different modalities using a highly generic architecture with minimal implementation differences tells you something meaningful about intelligence. Gradient descent with transformers works in multiple different domains because it’s a tractable approximation of Solomonoff induction. Small generalizing circuits make up more of the weight space and are easier for gradient descent to stumble on. It’s basically just a dumb circuit search process that tends to find programs from data that are likely to generalize. This becomes more true the more data you train on, with more epochs and with heavier regularization and more parameters. As compute budgets increase and training techniques become more efficient, this process converges closer and closer to optimal prediction of whatever modality you are training on. Even if we run out of ideas for how to improve the training techniques, the parametric circuit search can be increasingly applied to the learning algorithms themselves. There’s really no plausible obstacle that could stop this from happening relatively soon. Manifesting intelligence is no longer contingent on brilliant insights or ideas but FLOPS and engineering (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828660) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:47 AM Author: lascivious bearded laser beams potus What definition are you using for "AGI" that current systems don't meet and you think might not even meet within the next year or so? I think autonomous operational competence might take another 1-3 years. But current systems already meet broad cognitive generality at the minimum, and arguably exceed most humans across a large fraction of intellectual tasks. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828663) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:00 AM Author: lascivious bearded laser beams potus Isn't "AGI" just supposed to be AI created thats as smart as humans? Current AI has already far surpassed the avg human, and on many tasks it has surpassed all humans. Most of the reasons for not calling it "AGI" seem to be sociological. A lot of it is definitional hedging too. If you want AGI to mean autonomous general agents that replace all human jobs or something like that then it might be a long time before we reach it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828639) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:23 AM Author: aqua startling trust fund I thought it was like when AI can autonomously improve and otherwise “run” itself and no longer needs any human inputs to exist and grow (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828648) |
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Date: April 20th, 2026 2:29 AM Author: lascivious bearded laser beams potus No that's way too strong and specific. It is supposed to just be general competence across a wide range of domains that is comparable to or superior to humans. To me it's kind of insane to say current systems haven't met that. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=5787428&forum_id=2.#49828650) |