The most prestigious law school admissions discussion board in the world.
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The Next Twelve Months of Nate Silver's 538.com Headlines:
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/10/15 |
| obsidian pontificating preventive strike station | 12/12/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/02/17 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 01/06/16 |
| smoky partner den | 01/06/16 |
| smoky partner den | 06/05/16 |
| Offensive market | 03/26/16 |
| stubborn selfie | 01/02/17 |
| Greedy blathering puppy | 10/25/18 |
| Carnelian halford set | 12/10/15 |
| slate thriller principal's office half-breed | 12/10/15 |
| arousing really tough guy | 12/10/15 |
| Sable Racy Reading Party | 12/10/15 |
| startled hunting ground immigrant | 12/15/15 |
| Ocher Multi-billionaire | 12/10/15 |
| exciting international law enforcement agency national | 12/10/15 |
| motley sooty university mental disorder | 12/10/15 |
| Fuchsia Boltzmann | 12/11/15 |
| free-loading personal credit line | 12/12/15 |
| bisexual home | 12/16/15 |
| embarrassed to the bone parlor | 01/04/16 |
| Jade trip plaza headpube | 11/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/11/15 |
| swashbuckling institution wagecucks | 12/11/15 |
| mind-boggling startling box office hairy legs | 12/11/15 |
| Fuchsia Boltzmann | 12/11/15 |
| marvelous bespoke range | 12/12/15 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 01/25/16 |
| beta laughsome fortuitous meteor theatre | 11/10/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/12/15 |
| talented cowardly lettuce cuck | 12/12/15 |
| godawful theater giraffe | 12/12/15 |
| unholy ebony nursing home | 12/12/15 |
| mentally impaired police squad | 12/15/15 |
| Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker | 12/21/15 |
| razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza | 12/12/15 |
| Rebellious business firm | 12/12/15 |
| fragrant sandwich trump supporter | 12/12/15 |
| Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site | 12/12/15 |
| appetizing whorehouse private investor | 12/12/15 |
| irradiated bonkers telephone | 12/12/15 |
| exciting international law enforcement agency national | 12/15/15 |
| exciting international law enforcement agency national | 12/16/15 |
| french field juggernaut | 12/15/15 |
| vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter | 12/15/15 |
| haunting odious azn | 12/15/15 |
| Adventurous step-uncle's house | 12/15/15 |
| salmon abode | 12/15/15 |
| Violent 180 Gaping Property | 12/15/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 12/15/15 |
| supple cumskin dog poop | 01/05/16 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 01/25/16 |
| Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman | 12/17/16 |
| Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple | 05/18/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 08/12/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| submissive comical death wish | 11/09/16 |
| Misanthropic school | 11/09/16 |
| mint base dragon | 10/22/20 |
| Ungodly party of the first part double fault | 12/15/15 |
| Anal twinkling uncleanness place of business | 12/16/15 |
| exhilarant area windowlicker | 12/16/15 |
| Hairless Brilliant Center Travel Guidebook | 12/16/15 |
| buff stead | 12/16/15 |
| buff stead | 12/17/15 |
| Sinister Messiness Senate | 12/18/15 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 01/06/16 |
| aromatic affirmative action | 12/18/15 |
| buff stead | 12/21/15 |
| buff stead | 12/21/15 |
| Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker | 12/21/15 |
| buff stead | 12/30/15 |
| buff stead | 12/30/15 |
| buff stead | 01/04/16 |
| embarrassed to the bone parlor | 01/04/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/05/16 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 01/25/16 |
| Sinister Messiness Senate | 01/05/16 |
| frum boistinker stage | 01/05/16 |
| Boyish outnumbered scourge upon the earth | 01/05/16 |
| maize soggy incel haunted graveyard | 01/05/16 |
| cerebral chapel | 01/05/16 |
| maize soggy incel haunted graveyard | 01/05/16 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 01/06/16 |
| maize soggy incel haunted graveyard | 01/06/16 |
| cerebral chapel | 01/05/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 01/06/16 |
| Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker | 01/07/16 |
| buff stead | 01/08/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 01/08/16 |
| Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker | 01/08/16 |
| Sinister Messiness Senate | 01/09/16 |
| Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker | 01/10/16 |
| buff stead | 01/18/16 |
| buff stead | 01/19/16 |
| Sinister Messiness Senate | 01/21/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/25/16 |
| Electric toilet seat corner | 01/25/16 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 01/25/16 |
| Electric toilet seat corner | 02/09/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 09/06/16 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 11/05/18 |
| filthy abnormal heaven coffee pot | 01/29/16 |
| buff stead | 02/01/16 |
| slimy federal sneaky criminal | 02/01/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 02/01/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 02/07/16 |
| frum boistinker stage | 02/09/16 |
| Pale stock car | 02/09/16 |
| buff stead | 02/20/16 |
| up-to-no-good dull degenerate goyim | 02/20/16 |
| Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple | 02/24/16 |
| multi-colored cerise roommate | 02/24/16 |
| Bat Shit Crazy Parlour | 02/27/16 |
| french field juggernaut | 03/09/16 |
| Iridescent garrison new version | 03/15/16 |
| arousing really tough guy | 03/15/16 |
| vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter | 03/16/16 |
| Geriatric concupiscible lodge becky | 02/24/16 |
| Lascivious internet-worthy ladyboy | 02/24/16 |
| vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter | 07/21/16 |
| spectacular primrose deer antler depressive | 02/24/16 |
| arousing really tough guy | 02/27/16 |
| buff stead | 03/02/16 |
| buff stead | 03/04/16 |
| buff stead | 03/09/16 |
| frum boistinker stage | 03/09/16 |
| buff stead | 03/15/16 |
| Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple | 03/15/16 |
| Bateful stag film | 03/15/16 |
| Cobalt dashing genital piercing | 03/15/16 |
| buff stead | 03/16/16 |
| exciting international law enforcement agency national | 03/16/16 |
| submissive comical death wish | 03/23/16 |
| buff stead | 03/23/16 |
| fragrant sandwich trump supporter | 03/26/16 |
| charismatic filthpig stain | 03/26/16 |
| buff stead | 03/26/16 |
| supple cumskin dog poop | 03/28/16 |
| submissive comical death wish | 03/28/16 |
| slate thriller principal's office half-breed | 03/28/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 08/12/16 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 11/05/18 |
| buff stead | 03/28/16 |
| buff stead | 03/29/16 |
| aqua locus | 03/29/16 |
| aqua locus | 03/29/16 |
| buff stead | 03/29/16 |
| buff stead | 03/29/16 |
| buff stead | 04/01/16 |
| buff stead | 04/04/16 |
| aqua locus | 04/15/16 |
| Pearly rehab gaming laptop | 04/15/16 |
| buff stead | 04/19/16 |
| aphrodisiac crusty meetinghouse community account | 04/20/16 |
| effete stage | 04/20/16 |
| buff stead | 04/24/16 |
| buff stead | 04/25/16 |
| buff stead | 04/26/16 |
| infuriating kitchen | 04/26/16 |
| sticky costumed generalized bond church building | 04/30/16 |
| histrionic deranged masturbator church | 05/01/16 |
| histrionic deranged masturbator church | 11/07/16 |
| buff stead | 05/02/16 |
| submissive comical death wish | 05/02/16 |
| buff stead | 05/03/16 |
| chestnut duck-like pistol yarmulke | 05/03/16 |
| chartreuse athletic conference | 05/03/16 |
| buff stead | 05/04/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 05/04/16 |
| buff stead | 05/05/16 |
| Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site | 05/05/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 05/05/16 |
| Lascivious internet-worthy ladyboy | 05/05/16 |
| talented cowardly lettuce cuck | 05/18/16 |
| buff stead | 05/18/16 |
| Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple | 05/18/16 |
| talented cowardly lettuce cuck | 05/18/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 05/29/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 06/20/16 |
| buff stead | 06/29/16 |
| buff stead | 07/14/16 |
| Bull headed location | 07/15/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 07/15/16 |
| buff stead | 07/17/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 07/17/16 |
| buff stead | 07/21/16 |
| buff stead | 07/22/16 |
| hairraiser menage | 07/22/16 |
| Silver Diverse Indirect Expression Lay | 07/23/16 |
| buff stead | 07/24/16 |
| Translucent gaped tank blood rage | 07/25/16 |
| aqua locus | 07/25/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 07/27/16 |
| buff stead | 08/05/16 |
| buff stead | 08/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 08/12/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 08/12/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 08/12/16 |
| Azure corn cake | 08/12/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 08/30/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 08/30/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 09/06/16 |
| buff stead | 09/13/16 |
| aqua locus | 09/14/16 |
| razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza | 09/14/16 |
| Peach state wrinkle | 09/15/16 |
| contagious disgusting potus sanctuary | 09/15/16 |
| smoky partner den | 09/15/16 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 09/15/16 |
| mahogany patrolman keepsake machete | 09/15/16 |
| big roast beef | 09/19/16 |
| big roast beef | 09/19/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 09/27/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 09/24/16 |
| buff stead | 09/27/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 09/27/16 |
| exciting international law enforcement agency national | 09/27/16 |
| disturbing crimson gas station mad cow disease | 10/08/16 |
| vibrant library water buffalo | 07/29/24 |
| aqua locus | 09/28/16 |
| razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza | 09/28/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 09/28/16 |
| effete stage | 09/28/16 |
| Pearly rehab gaming laptop | 09/28/16 |
| jet-lagged dilemma | 10/08/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 10/09/16 |
| razzle gay wizard | 10/09/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 10/09/16 |
| Turquoise at-the-ready forum | 10/09/16 |
| aqua locus | 10/10/16 |
| Translucent gaped tank blood rage | 10/30/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 11/01/16 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 11/01/16 |
| Glittery gay resort mediation | 11/02/16 |
| Adventurous step-uncle's house | 11/02/16 |
| aqua locus | 11/07/16 |
| Cruel-hearted Bawdyhouse | 11/08/16 |
| aqua locus | 11/08/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/08/16 |
| aqua locus | 11/08/16 |
| Heady Striped Hyena Native | 11/08/16 |
| metal passionate ape | 11/08/16 |
| slimy federal sneaky criminal | 11/08/16 |
| big roast beef | 11/08/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/08/16 |
| Aquamarine spot faggotry | 11/09/16 |
| Peach state wrinkle | 11/09/16 |
| ruddy curious elastic band theater stage | 11/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 11/09/16 |
| Aquamarine spot faggotry | 11/09/16 |
| Translucent gaped tank blood rage | 11/09/16 |
| Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site | 11/09/16 |
| shivering rose son of senegal house | 12/03/16 |
| beta laughsome fortuitous meteor theatre | 12/07/16 |
| Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman | 12/17/16 |
| Judgmental gold love of her life | 10/11/24 |
| Lake persian psychic | 11/09/16 |
| Stimulating Casino | 11/09/16 |
| vengeful cream crackhouse old irish cottage | 11/09/16 |
| flesh liquid oxygen point | 11/09/16 |
| shivering rose son of senegal house | 11/09/16 |
| fantasy-prone boiling water | 11/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| talented cowardly lettuce cuck | 11/09/16 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 11/09/16 |
| Razzmatazz maroon shrine digit ratio | 11/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| floppy dark orchestra pit | 11/09/16 |
| Drunken claret trailer park | 11/09/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/09/16 |
| Sable Racy Reading Party | 11/09/16 |
| aromatic affirmative action | 11/10/16 |
| Electric toilet seat corner | 11/10/16 |
| smoky partner den | 11/10/16 |
| Stirring Flirting Locale Goal In Life | 11/10/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/10/16 |
| aqua locus | 11/10/16 |
| up-to-no-good dull degenerate goyim | 11/10/16 |
| big roast beef | 11/14/16 |
| orchid wonderful address fanboi | 11/14/16 |
| topaz titillating pocket flask | 12/04/16 |
| Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman | 12/17/16 |
| Judgmental gold love of her life | 10/11/24 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/25/16 |
| Abusive round eye | 12/03/16 |
| Turquoise at-the-ready forum | 12/04/16 |
| Spruce violent brethren office | 12/07/16 |
| smoky partner den | 12/07/16 |
| Abusive round eye | 12/07/16 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/02/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/02/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/02/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/02/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 03/03/20 |
| smoky partner den | 01/02/17 |
| submissive comical death wish | 01/16/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/20/17 |
| buff stead | 01/20/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/23/17 |
| jet-lagged dilemma | 01/23/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/23/17 |
| lemon vigorous knife | 01/23/17 |
| jet-lagged dilemma | 01/23/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/23/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/25/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 01/26/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 02/06/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 02/13/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 02/27/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 05/03/17 |
| buff stead | 05/03/17 |
| Galvanic brunch idea he suggested | 09/21/17 |
| arousing really tough guy | 01/23/17 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 02/27/17 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 03/22/17 |
| buff stead | 04/17/17 |
| buff stead | 05/08/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 06/20/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 08/10/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 10/15/17 |
| submissive comical death wish | 10/15/17 |
| Hyperventilating sweet tailpipe | 10/15/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/06/17 |
| blue kitty cat hall | 11/06/17 |
| brass erotic chad space | 11/08/17 |
| excitant sexy coldplay fan | 11/08/17 |
| lavender soul-stirring hospital | 11/13/17 |
| submissive comical death wish | 12/18/17 |
| Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef | 12/18/17 |
| submissive comical death wish | 12/18/17 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 01/30/18 |
| smoky partner den | 06/01/18 |
| buff stead | 07/18/18 |
| submissive comical death wish | 07/19/18 |
| mahogany patrolman keepsake machete | 09/20/18 |
| buff stead | 09/25/18 |
| slate thriller principal's office half-breed | 10/06/18 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 10/06/18 |
| smoky partner den | 10/25/18 |
| contagious disgusting potus sanctuary | 10/25/18 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 11/05/18 |
| smoky partner den | 11/05/18 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 11/05/18 |
| smoky partner den | 11/05/18 |
| buff stead | 01/08/19 |
| tanning salon ratface | 02/23/19 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 03/13/19 |
| emerald hell legal warrant | 06/24/19 |
| Citrine School Cafeteria | 06/24/19 |
| buff stead | 11/18/19 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 02/12/20 |
| buff stead | 02/12/20 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 03/24/20 |
| Naked Cruise Ship | 03/24/20 |
| Bull headed location | 04/04/20 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 04/26/20 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 05/13/20 |
| Bull headed location | 06/05/20 |
| aggressive pit | 06/05/20 |
| Bull headed location | 09/09/20 |
| amethyst cuckoldry | 09/09/20 |
| Carnelian halford set | 09/09/20 |
| fiercely-loyal yapping fat ankles | 09/12/20 |
| chest-beating hominid | 09/24/20 |
| Citrine School Cafeteria | 10/09/20 |
| submissive comical death wish | 10/10/20 |
| coiffed hateful associate | 10/22/20 |
| shivering rose son of senegal house | 10/22/20 |
| mint base dragon | 10/22/20 |
| mint base dragon | 10/22/20 |
| High-end Queen Of The Night | 03/23/22 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 10/27/20 |
| Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king | 10/27/20 |
| Citrine School Cafeteria | 10/30/20 |
| submissive comical death wish | 11/03/20 |
| buff stead | 03/22/22 |
| Tan legend | 03/23/22 |
| chrome therapy | 03/23/22 |
| big-titted | 03/23/22 |
| buff stead | 07/25/22 |
| Carnelian halford set | 07/25/22 |
| buff stead | 10/23/22 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 11/16/22 |
| White Beady-eyed Turdskin | 04/25/23 |
| talented cowardly lettuce cuck | 04/25/23 |
| chest-beating hominid | 04/29/23 |
| vibrant library water buffalo | 05/28/23 |
| buff stead | 02/22/24 |
| chest-beating hominid | 02/23/24 |
| buff stead | 05/23/24 |
| buff stead | 08/26/24 |
| chest-beating hominid | 09/13/24 |
| Carnelian halford set | 09/13/24 |
| chest-beating hominid | 10/18/24 |
| Judgmental gold love of her life | 10/11/24 |
| buff stead | 11/06/24 |
| Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site | 03/04/25 |
| Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site | 03/04/25 |
| mahogany patrolman keepsake machete | 03/04/25 |
| Judgmental gold love of her life | 03/04/25 |
| transparent arrogant | 03/04/25 |
| Shimmering feces | 03/05/25 |
| buff stead | 03/07/25 |
| electric furnace | 03/07/25 |
| buff stead | 03/08/25 |
| Ceo | 03/08/25 |
| buff stead | 03/08/25 |
| goy orbison | 02/18/26 |
Poast new message in this thread
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:48 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin December 12, 2015: "Anticipating Trump's Black Swan" December 18, 2015: "As Voters Flee Carson, Is Trump Harmed Most?" December 30, 2015: "The Fickle Iowa Voter and the Biggest Trump Problem" January 8, 2016: "Cruz's Rise Harms Trump Most" January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" January 22, 2016: "Trump's Independent Bid Would Fare Worse Than His Republican One" January 29, 2016: "The Herding Effect and Trump's Polling Problem" February 2, 2016: "Trump's Landslide in Iowa, But a Narrow Delegate Victory" February 4, 2016: "The House Effects Lifting Trump's Numbers in New Hampshire" February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why." February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?" February 11, 2016: "Rubio's Exit May Be Trump's Death Blow" February 17, 2016: "Clinton the Greatest Threat to Trump's Nomination" February 26, 2016: "Religious Conservatives and the Trump Dilemma" February 28, 2016: "Three Wins in Three Elections? Not So Fast" March 17, 2016: "The Brokered Convention, or Why Trump's Chances Look Worse Than Ever" March 30, 2016: "Glacial Pace of Delegates Slows Lumbering Trump" April 7, 2016: "A Closer Look at the Fractured Republican Party" April 27, 2016: "Even If Trump Wins, What Will Independents Think?" May 7, 2016: "The Coming Clinton Cascade" May 19, 2016: "Here's What the Brokered Convention That Defies Trump Looks Like" June 11, 2016: "Behind the Numbers: Delegate Math and the Convention" July 21, 2016: "Eight Takeaways from Trump's Convention Speech--Closer to Hitler than Reagan" August 1, 2016: "Clinton Stronger Than Ever as Trump's Popularity Appears Fleeting" August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story" September 18, 2016: "Behind the Presidential Debate: A Good Night for Clinton" September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise" October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" October 29, 2016: "Clarity from House Effects and Clinton's Decided Silent Majority" November 9, 2016: "It'll Take Months to Sort Out How Trump Won" November 22, 2016: "Trump's Reelection Chances Look Dicey January 20, 2017: 404 Hosting Error |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: obsidian pontificating preventive strike station (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364653) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32284620) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:43 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29532817) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:46 AM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29532846) |
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Date: June 5th, 2016 5:46 PM Author: smoky partner den another bump (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30631018) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:16 PM Author: Offensive market 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30144195) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:00 PM Author: stubborn selfie (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32284612) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:11 AM Author: Greedy blathering puppy "October 8, 2016: "O'Malley Clobbers Cuban as Trump's Mistakes Rise"? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37090197) |
Date: December 10th, 2015 4:49 PM Author: Carnelian halford set (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351706) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:52 PM Author: slate thriller principal's office half-breed 1800000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351728) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: arousing really tough guy 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351742) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:54 PM Author: Sable Racy Reading Party Fantastic work ITT (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351744) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:08 PM Author: startled hunting ground immigrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384172) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:55 PM Author: Ocher Multi-billionaire FUCK | THIS | KIKE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351749) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 4:56 PM Author: exciting international law enforcement agency national Poasting in a historic thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29351753) |
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Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: motley sooty university mental disorder Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Not saying that Trump cant win but you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:21 PM Author: Fuchsia Boltzmann (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29359932) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:17 PM Author: free-loading personal credit line Nate Silver's 08 and 12 predictions were accurate and based almost entirely on polling data. his prediction that trump will lose is obviously not based on polling data (which is highly favorable for Trump), but an assumption that someone like Trump can't win. we shouldn't put much value in the non-quantitative political analysis of a poll aggregator. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364985) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: bisexual home Is he propagandizing or believing what he wishes? Hard to imagine such a shift from such a quantitative guy. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29392387) |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:31 PM Author: embarrassed to the bone parlor Date: December 10th, 2015 5:30 PM Author: TannerBoyle
Yes Nate Silver totally got 08 and 12 wrong too.
Trump cant win and you guys are setting yourselves up for another UNSKEWING
(http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2#29351956) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: Jade trip plaza headpube (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31854764) |
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Date: December 11th, 2015 7:20 PM Author: Fuchsia Boltzmann November 9th 2016: s.e.g.a. sucking cock at Port Authority for bus fare (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29359926) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:06 PM Author: mentally impaired police squad (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384155) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:26 PM Author: Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29429271) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:51 PM Author: razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364847) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:55 PM Author: Rebellious business firm lol, 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364873) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:58 PM Author: fragrant sandwich trump supporter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364887) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 3:59 PM Author: appetizing whorehouse private investor Well done. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364896) |
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Date: December 12th, 2015 4:08 PM Author: irradiated bonkers telephone Fully nude right now, happened to absent-mindedly stroke myself to a FULL CHUB while reading. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29364933) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:14 PM Author: exciting international law enforcement agency national OP missed today's ... "Are we in a Trump boom or a Trump bubble?" (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29383835) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 12:20 PM Author: exciting international law enforcement agency national And today's: "The fifth Republican debate ended in a nine-way draw." |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:21 PM Author: french field juggernaut 190 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29383898) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:32 PM Author: vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter fuck u for making me laugh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29383961) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 2:58 PM Author: haunting odious azn I used to work with a fat, ugly gay man, who was the first person ever to tell me about Nate Silver. I asked him what made this Nate Silver so good, and the homosexual slob said it was that Silver had never been wrong or some shit like that. I said Well that's a pretty good track record. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384107) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:10 PM Author: Adventurous step-uncle's house 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384183) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:12 PM Author: salmon abode February 8, 2016: "Trump Will Place Fourth in New Hampshire. Here's Why."
February 10, 2016: "Why Were the Projections So Wrong in New Hampshire?"
180 |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:13 PM Author: Violent 180 Gaping Property You shitcons have been through this with Nate Silver twice before and he has pwned you both times. You guys never learn (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384207) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:15 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin Trump odds, August 2015: Silver: 2% Miller: 0% Enten: -10% http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/podcast-totally-subjective-presidential-odds-early-august-edition/ |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/the-most-shocking-result-in-world-cup-history/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384231) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:17 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin http://fivethirtyeight.com/datalab/what-we-got-wrong-in-our-2015-uk-general-election-model/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384237) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:19 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-polls-were-skewed-toward-democrats/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384254) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:20 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-to-make-of-kentuckys-polling-failure/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384262) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: supple cumskin dog poop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29525662) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:43 PM Author: emerald hell legal warrant Can't wait to bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29677869) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32165246) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31172544) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:06 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/2016-election-results-coverage/?#livepress-update-23617209 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31846270) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31846325) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:36 AM Author: Misanthropic school Final Election Update: There’s A Wide Range Of Outcomes, And Most Of Them Come Up Clinton
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/final-election-update-theres-a-wide-range-of-outcomes-and-most-of-them-come-up-clinton/ |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: mint base dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41167037) |
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Date: December 15th, 2015 3:16 PM Author: Ungodly party of the first part double fault This is an all time GOAT on XO. This is amazing. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29384232) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:34 PM Author: Anal twinkling uncleanness place of business 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29392396) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:37 PM Author: exhilarant area windowlicker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29392414) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 2:39 PM Author: Hairless Brilliant Center Travel Guidebook Incredible (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29392427) |
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Date: December 16th, 2015 11:48 PM Author: buff stead Trump Boom or Trump Bubble? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-boom-or-trump-bubble/ |
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Date: December 17th, 2015 9:22 AM Author: buff stead Iowa's Women Could Be Trump’s Undoing http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/iowas-women-could-be-donald-trumps-undoing/ |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:03 PM Author: Sinister Messiness Senate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29411300) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29532836) |
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Date: December 18th, 2015 10:09 PM Author: aromatic affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29411342) |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:06 PM Author: buff stead Lindsey Graham Tries To Stop Trump The Only Way He Can — By Quitting http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/lindsey-graham-tries-to-stop-trump-the-only-way-he-can-by-quitting/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 7:47 PM Author: buff stead "Trump has some weird chinks in his armor" http://www.wnyc.org/story/nate-silvers-crystal-ball-tells-all-2016/ |
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Date: December 21st, 2015 8:21 PM Author: Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker 1 fuckin' 80 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29429241) |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: buff stead "micah: Let me channel our vacationing editor-in-chief Nate Silver: What if Trump finishes second or third in Iowa, same in New Hampshire and South Carolina. He chugs along for a while with 15-20 percent of the vote. Or, maybe he quits the race after New Hampshire. Won’t the fact that we spent much of 2015 hyperventilating about Trump seem silly in retrospect?" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-meaning-of-donald-trump/ |
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Date: December 30th, 2015 2:44 PM Author: buff stead One of the biggest errors I think I made in 2015 was concentrating too much on who would win the Republican nomination and not so much on who would drive the conversation.1 You can see that clearly with Donald Trump (who I still don’t think will win the Republican nomination). Not only did I dismiss Trump’s candidacy on many occasions (here, here, here and here, for example), I was sometimes eager to do so in order to confirm my original belief that he wouldn’t win.
But winning the race and affecting the race are different things. Trump may lose in Iowa, collapse in New Hampshire and disappear from the national stage. If that — or something like it — happens, much of the sound and fury surrounding Trump in 2015 will seem silly in retrospect. But regardless of where Trump ends up once voting starts, he has certainly been the dominant voice in the Republican nomination race so far. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-harry-enten-got-wrong-in-2015/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:22 PM Author: buff stead This phenomenon may not hold in 2016. Cruz could collapse in Iowa. Christie could fall apart in New Hampshire. And maybe Trump will outperform his polling in both contests. But the gap between their current state and national polls suggests the opposite is more likely. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/to-win-in-iowa-or-new-hampshire-it-may-be-better-to-poll-worse-nationally/ |
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Date: January 4th, 2016 2:27 PM Author: embarrassed to the bone parlor flawless OP. uninflated 180. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29519032) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 12:09 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin ty for all the updates itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29525598) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:45 PM Author: emerald hell legal warrant Cr. It made a great thread an all time thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29677890) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:08 PM Author: Sinister Messiness Senate From Silver's Twitter:
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Eauthor
That Trump is underperforming in IA and NH relative to national polls is a big deal and a bad sign for him. |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:11 PM Author: frum boistinker stage 1800000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29531444) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: Boyish outnumbered scourge upon the earth (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29531475) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:14 PM Author: maize soggy incel haunted graveyard An historic poast (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29531481) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:16 PM Author: cerebral chapel 180 trillion (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29531500) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:17 PM Author: maize soggy incel haunted graveyard I saw this on the Internet and thought of you guys
http://imgur.com/Fn3p3R6 |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:45 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29532843) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 4:37 PM Author: maize soggy incel haunted graveyard Bump to make sure my friends saw this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29535993) |
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Date: January 5th, 2016 11:22 PM Author: cerebral chapel No bias there right? What a shitbird. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29531557) |
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Date: January 6th, 2016 2:44 AM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29532829) |
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Date: January 7th, 2016 10:51 PM Author: Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29546163) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 4:56 PM Author: buff stead “HOW TRUMP WON” blares the headline on this week’s Time magazine cover in 80-point Duplicate Ionic. “Now he just needs the votes,” whispers the small subheadline underneath.
Oh, just that little detail? Trump actually needs people to vote for him? I’ve been encountering a lot of this lately: Coverage implying that Trump’s lead atop the Republican polls (which he’s held since mid-July) is a watershed event, perhaps even tantamount to his having won an election.
These headlines, needless to say, are presumptuous. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 5:05 PM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef 180 if not copy paste (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29551314) |
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Date: January 8th, 2016 11:26 PM Author: Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29554010) |
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Date: January 9th, 2016 8:16 PM Author: Sinister Messiness Senate http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/three-theories-of-donald-trumps-rise/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29559692) |
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Date: January 10th, 2016 5:22 PM Author: Burgundy Indian Lodge Weed Whacker (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29566112) |
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Date: January 18th, 2016 10:15 AM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-really-unpopular-with-general-election-voters/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29622950) |
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Date: January 19th, 2016 5:30 PM Author: buff stead Donald Trump is Sarah Palin 2.0 http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/sarah-palin-endorses-donald-trump-for-president/ |
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Date: January 21st, 2016 5:51 PM Author: Sinister Messiness Senate looks like even silver has conceded on trump winning the nomination
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/one-big-reason-to-be-less-skeptical-of-trump/
In a nomination race like the Republican one, you could draw up a list of reasons to be skeptical of any candidate’s chances. Here are some reasons to be skeptical about Ted Cruz’s position in Iowa, for example. Here’s why Marco Rubio’s strategy looks increasingly precarious. There are also good reasons to be skeptical about Donald Trump’s chances of winning the Republican nomination:
His polling in Iowa isn’t great, and he’s probably still the underdog there. There’s reason to doubt the strength of his ground game, in Iowa and other states. Trump’s favorable ratings and second-choice numbers are generally inferior to Cruz’s and Rubio’s, meaning that other candidates might benefit more as the field winnows.1 But the reason I’ve been especially skeptical about Trump for most of the election cycle isn’t listed above. Nor is it because I expected Trump to spontaneously combust in national polls. Instead, I was skeptical because I assumed that influential Republicans would do almost anything they could to prevent him from being nominated.
I’m in the midst of working on a long review of the book “The Party Decides,” so we’ll save some of the detail for that forthcoming article. But the textbook on Trump is that he’d be a failure along virtually every dimension that party elites normally consider when choosing a nominee: electability (Trump is extremely unpopular with general election voters); ideological reliability (like Sarah Palin, Trump’s a “maverick”); having traditional qualifications for the job; and so forth. Even if the GOP is mostly in disarray, my assumption was that it would muster whatever strength it had to try to stop Trump.
But so far, the party isn’t doing much to stop Trump. Instead, it’s making such an effort against Cruz. Consider:
The governor of Iowa, Terry Branstad, said he wanted Cruz defeated. Bob Dole warned of “cataclysmic” losses if Cruz was the nominee, and said Trump would fare better. Mitch McConnell and other Republicans senators have been decidedly unhelpful to Cruz when discussing his constitutional eligibility to be president. An anti-Cruz PAC has formed, with plans to run advertisements in Iowa. (By contrast, no PAC advertising has run against Trump so far in January.) You can find lots of other examples like these. It’s the type of coordinated, multifront action that seems right out of the “The Party Decides.” If, like me, you expected something like this to happen to Trump instead of Cruz, you have to revisit your assumptions. Thus, I’m now much less skeptical of Trump’s chances of becoming the nominee.
Can we take this a step farther, in fact? Can we say that the party has decided … for Trump?
I’ve seen some headlines to that effect, but they’re premature and possibly wrong. So far, the GOP’s actions are conspicuously anti-Cruz more than they are pro-Trump. For example, although former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin just endorsed Trump, no current Republican governors or members of Congress have.
Instead, it may be that Republicans think of Cruz as the more immediate threat, and then plan to turn around and attack Trump later. But that’s a high-degree-of-difficulty caper to pull off. For one thing, Trump, who’s in a much better position in the polls than Cruz in states after Iowa, could rack up several wins in a row if he takes the Hawkeye State.
Just as important, there are few signs that Republicans have much of a strategy for whom to back apart from Trump. Four “establishment lane” candidates — Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, John Kasich and Rubio — are tightly packed in New Hampshire polls. That could potentially change before New Hampshire votes because of tactical voting.2 And whichever of these candidates perform worst in the early states will probably drop out.
But Republican party elites seem indifferent among these four candidates, when in my view some are more capable than others of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz:
Rubio would seem to have the best shot. He’s easily the most conservative of the four, has the best favorability ratings and can make perhaps the best electability argument. His ground game may not be very good, but he has a decent amount of cash on hand. Bush and Christie probably rank next, in some order. It’s hard to imagine Republican voters coming all the way around to the patrician Bush after flirting with bad-boy Trump for so long — especially when Bush’s favorability numbers with Republican voters are in the tank. But remember that those dalliances with Trump are hypothetical, only contemplated in polls and not yet actuated with votes. Perhaps the Republican electorate that shows up to vote is more like the 2012 version, which supported Mitt Romney. It’s a long shot, but if it happens, Bush will have plenty of money and organization to extend the race. If the GOP electorate is in an angrier mood, then Christie’s personality overlaps the most with Trump’s. He’s a good debater, and his favorability ratings are on the upswing, although still just middling. But Christie entered the race with a lot of baggage that will receive more scrutiny if he surges in the polls. He also doesn’t have much of an organization beyond New Hampshire. Kasich’s outlook seems the worst of the four, combining Bush’s lack of appeal to conservatives with Christie’s lack of organization beyond New Hampshire. The one qualification to this is that Kasich has a more conservative track record than he lets on.3 So if I were ranking the four establishment candidates’ chances of eventually defeating Trump and Cruz, I’d put Rubio first and Kasich last. But if I were ranking them in terms of who seems to have the most momentum right now, the order would be just the opposite. Kasich has gained 3 or 4 percentage points in New Hampshire polls over the past month, while Rubio has declined slightly in New Hampshire and national polls, and his once-steady flow of endorsements has turned into a trickle.
These differences might seem pretty minor — there’s room for near-daily momentum shifts before New Hampshire votes. Obviously, it’s also possible that Republicans’ efforts to stop Cruz in Iowa will backfire.
Things are lining up better for Trump than I would have imagined, however. It’s not his continued presence in the race that surprises me so much as the lack of a concerted effort to stop him. |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:26 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29677719) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:42 PM Author: Electric toilet seat corner 180000000000000000000000000000000000000 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29677863) |
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Date: January 25th, 2016 5:48 PM Author: emerald hell legal warrant You're a democratic, remember? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29677913) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:02 PM Author: Electric toilet seat corner No way! 100% TRUMPMO (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29791782) |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef (2-time shitbama voter) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31345881) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37162047) |
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Date: January 29th, 2016 4:25 PM Author: filthy abnormal heaven coffee pot (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29708433) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:04 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29727124) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 11:21 AM Author: slimy federal sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29727197) |
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Date: February 1st, 2016 9:47 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29732588) |
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Date: February 7th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29771453) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 8:59 PM Author: frum boistinker stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29791735) |
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Date: February 9th, 2016 9:00 PM Author: Pale stock car (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29791763) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:55 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29877406) |
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Date: February 20th, 2016 7:57 PM Author: up-to-no-good dull degenerate goyim OK man, can you tell us how you did this? (Not how you predicted it, but how you wrote it so brilliantly.) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29877434) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:06 AM Author: Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple PORT | AUTHORITY | BUSFARE (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29903568) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:14 AM Author: multi-colored cerise roommate The OP is XO at its peak brilliance. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29903615) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:57 PM Author: Bat Shit Crazy Parlour (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29931652) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:52 AM Author: french field juggernaut (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30015868) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: Iridescent garrison new version (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30066562) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:55 PM Author: arousing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30066681) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:52 AM Author: vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30070592) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 8:18 AM Author: Geriatric concupiscible lodge becky hosting error... LOL
this is better than any snl sketch in the last 5 to 10 years. |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:18 AM Author: Lascivious internet-worthy ladyboy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29904083) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:42 AM Author: vivacious sex offender faggot firefighter (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30987707) |
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Date: February 24th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: spectacular primrose deer antler depressive (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29904074) |
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Date: February 27th, 2016 6:54 PM Author: arousing really tough guy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29931637) |
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Date: March 2nd, 2016 9:43 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29960115) |
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Date: March 4th, 2016 1:38 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#29976826) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:44 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30015799) |
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Date: March 9th, 2016 12:55 AM Author: frum boistinker stage yeah anyone who wants to win money on predictit markets should just consult this turtle shell oracle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30015891) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 8:46 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30065629) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:05 PM Author: Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30065970) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:23 PM Author: Bateful stag film (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30066291) |
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Date: March 15th, 2016 9:43 PM Author: Cobalt dashing genital piercing truly 180 thread (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30066549) |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:48 AM Author: buff stead It's Still Not Clear Donald Trump Will Get a Majority of Delegates http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-still-not-clear-that-donald-trump-will-get-a-majority-of-delegates/ |
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Date: March 16th, 2016 11:54 AM Author: exciting international law enforcement agency national March is very accurate. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30070601) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 10:49 AM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30119676) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2016 9:30 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30119337) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:24 AM Author: fragrant sandwich trump supporter http://imgur.com/ZVbDMXh (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30140474) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 11:30 AM Author: charismatic filthpig stain Lol,holy Fuck (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30140513) |
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Date: March 26th, 2016 10:14 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30144174) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: supple cumskin dog poop jesus. . . (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30151942) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:20 AM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30151965) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 10:23 AM Author: slate thriller principal's office half-breed (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30151975) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:04 PM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31172540) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:20 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37162050) |
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Date: March 28th, 2016 9:47 AM Author: buff stead "What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like" "Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-will-have-a-hard-time-turning-blue-states-red-in-november/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:26 PM Author: buff stead "Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-is-no-ronald-reagan/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 2:32 PM Author: aqua locus lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30160689) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 4:59 PM Author: aqua locus "One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women"
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-sexism-women-2016-election/ |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 5:14 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30161654) |
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Date: March 29th, 2016 8:54 PM Author: buff stead http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/714977961099862016 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30163086) |
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Date: April 1st, 2016 2:54 PM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/its-probably-first-ballot-or-bust-for-donald-trump-at-the-gop-convention/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30183235) |
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Date: April 4th, 2016 7:13 PM Author: buff stead "Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/wisconsin-could-be-trouble-for-trump/ |
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:16 AM Author: aqua locus interestingly the Karl Rove WSJ opinion headlines are almost as desperate:
http://topics.wsj.com/person/R/karl-rove/5686
Articles by Karl Rove
Vanity Will Be The Donald’s Undoing April 13, 2016 06:04 p.m.
Trump thinks he is so rich, famous and athletic that he can skip a real campaign.
The Not-Trump GOP Rises April 6, 2016 07:16 p.m.
The delegate math is getting hard, and New York may not be the lifeline Trump needs.
An Ugly General Election Takes Shape March 30, 2016 07:12 p.m.
Hillary’s super PAC readies an anti-Trump onslaught. She will be a ripe target too.
Don’t Coddle Donald Trump March 23, 2016 07:22 p.m.
A nominee needs a majority. Abraham Lincoln played by that rule—so can the New York businessman.
How Trump Can Raise His Game March 16, 2016 07:03 p.m.
A few bits of advice for The Donald: study up, change your tone and focus on Hillary.
The Polls Trump Hasn’t Won March 9, 2016 06:32 p.m.
He says that he will beat Hillary, yet guess who is the only GOP contender trailing her.
A Big Push for Flawed Front-Runners March 2, 2016 06:39 p.m.
Bernie could cause trouble for Hillary at the convention. And Trump is no ‘unifier.’
The Donald Doesn’t Have a Lock—Yet February 24, 2016 07:22 p.m.
There is still time for a non-Trump majority to coalesce around a single candidate. James Taranto: ‘I Love the Poorly Educated!’
Trump Didn’t Oppose the Iraq War February 17, 2016 06:33 p.m.
There’s no record of his clear opposition before March 2003, despite his claims
GOP Infighters Need to Focus on Trump February 10, 2016 06:48 p.m.
The four mainstream candidates are only wasting time if they go after each other.
How Trump Blew an Easy Win February 3, 2016 06:33 p.m.
He acted like the traditional rules didn’t apply. This race could go to the convention.
Trump Ducks an Iowa Opportunity January 27, 2016 06:56 p.m.
The Donald’s refusal to debate could blow his lead. How can he take on Hillary?
Hillary’s Stumbling Cakewalk January 20, 2016 07:31 p.m.
Nothing’s working, so now Clinton has come up with a four-step Beat Bernie strategy.
The GOP’s Chase for Undecided Iowans January 13, 2016 06:55 p.m.
At this point in 2012, Rick Santorum—who won the caucuses—sat sadly at 6% support.
My Crystal-Ball Score—Plus 2016 Predictions January 6, 2016 06:57 p.m.
Clinton Is Already Vowing to Overreach December 16, 2015 06:06 p.m.
Remember her pledge in 2007 to ‘rein in the presidency’? Neither does she.
Trump Is the Democrats’ Dream Nominee December 9, 2015 06:48 p.m.
He could win the primaries but would get creamed in the presidential election.
The GOP Needs Presidential Coattails December 2, 2015 06:53 p.m.
A weak ticket could hurt the party in purple states—and lose the Senate.
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Date: April 15th, 2016 10:47 AM Author: Pearly rehab gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30279158) |
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Date: April 19th, 2016 9:44 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30307876) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:03 AM Author: aphrodisiac crusty meetinghouse community account (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30310760) |
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Date: April 20th, 2016 11:13 AM Author: effete stage I love this thread. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30310807) |
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Date: April 24th, 2016 1:07 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30335375) |
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Date: April 25th, 2016 10:37 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30346848) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:29 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30353572) |
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Date: April 26th, 2016 9:31 PM Author: infuriating kitchen (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30353587) |
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Date: April 30th, 2016 2:23 PM Author: sticky costumed generalized bond church building (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30378951) |
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Date: May 1st, 2016 6:05 PM Author: histrionic deranged masturbator church Subject: A List of a Year of the Actual 538 Headlines JUN 16, 2015
Why Donald Trump Isn’t A Real Candidate, In One Chart
JUL 16, 2015
Two Good Reasons Not To Take The Donald Trump ‘Surge’ Seriously
JUL 29, 2015
Donald Trump Is The Nickelback Of GOP Candidates
AUG 7, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win A War Against Fox News
AUG 7, 2015
Did The Debate Hurt Or Help Trump? Watch His Favorability Numbers.
AUG 11, 2015
Donald Trump Is Winning The Polls — And Losing The Nomination
AUG 14, 2015
Candidates In Donald Trump’s Position Have A Terrible Track Record
AUG 31, 2015
A Ben Carson Surge May Test Trump
SEP 2, 2015
Keep Calm And Ignore The 2016 ‘Game Changers’
SEP 8, 2015
If Donald Trump Can Win The Nomination, Ben Carson Could Too
SEP 17, 2015
We’re Bullish On Fiorina And (Still) Bearish On Trump After The Debate
SEP 24, 2015
Was The Second Debate The Beginning Of The End For Donald Trump?
OCT 20, 2015
Donald Trump Is Doomed And/Or Invincible
OCT 26, 2015
Can Ben Carson Really Take Out Donald Trump?
NOV 4, 2015
The GOP’s Primary Rules Might Doom Carson, Cruz And Trump
NOV 23, 2015
Dear Media, Stop Freaking Out About Donald Trump’s Polls
DEC 1, 2015
The Future Of Polling May Depend On Donald Trump’s Fate
DEC 2, 2015
Big Phony And Loser Nate Silver Can’t Even See Donald Trump Is A Winner! What A Joke!
DEC 4, 2015
Donald Trump Won’t Win Just Because More Voters Are Paying Attention
DEC 15, 2015
Trump Boom Or Trump Bubble?
DEC 17, 2015
Iowa’s Women Could Be Donald Trump’s Undoing
JAN 18, 2016
Donald Trump Is Really Unpopular With General Election Voters
JAN 19, 2016
Beware A GOP Calendar Front-Loaded With States Friendly To Trump And Cruz
JAN 19, 2016
Donald Trump Is Sarah Palin 2.0
JAN 21, 2016
One Big Reason To Be Less Skeptical Of Trump
JAN 26, 2016
Does Donald Trump Need To Win Iowa?
JAN 27, 2016
Sorry, Bloomberg: Trump Is Already A Third-Party Candidate
JAN 31, 2016
Donald Trump’s Support In Iowa Is Narrow But Deep
FEB 2, 2016
Donald Trump Comes Out Of Iowa Looking Like Pat Buchanan
FEB 3, 2016
Why Iowa Changed Rubio’s And Trump’s Nomination Odds So Much
FEB 4, 2016
Trump Still Leads In New Hampshire, But The Ride Could Be Wild
FEB 5, 2016
Donald Trump Is Losing Ground On Google
FEB 9, 2016
Donald Trump Will Probably Win New Hampshire
FEB 10, 2016
John Kasich Is The Anti-Trump
FEB 17, 2016
Does Donald Trump Have A Ceiling?
FEB 18, 2016
The Pope Is Way More Popular Than Donald Trump
FEB 21, 2016
Trump Optimists And Trump Skeptics Are About To Go To War
FEB 22, 2016
Trump’s South Carolina Win Shows Evangelicals Aren’t Necessarily Voting On Their Faith
FEB 23, 2016
Nevada May Show Trump Can Win Even With Low Turnout
FEB 24, 2016
Nevada Was Great For Donald Trump, Bad For Ted Cruz
FEB 24, 2016
Republicans’ Last-Ditch Hope To Stop Donald Trump
FEB 26, 2016
Marco Rubio Finally Steps Up As The Anti-Trump
MAR 1, 2016
Super Tuesday Could Be Historic For Trump
MAR 2, 2016
Can Republicans Still Take The Nomination Away From Trump?
MAR 2, 2016
Donald Trump Is Just Barely On Track To Win The GOP Nomination
MAR 3, 2016
Republican Voters Kind Of Hate All Their Choices
MAR 4, 2016
Kasich May Have Cut Off Rubio’s Path To The Nomination
MAR 7, 2016
Donald Trump Would Be Easy To Stop Under Democratic Rules
MAR 7, 2016
Bloomberg Might Have Produced President Trump
MAR 8, 2016
Could Michigan Change The Course Of The GOP Race?
MAR 10, 2016
Ted Cruz Might Still Be Able To Stop Donald Trump
MAR 11, 2016
Don’t Sleep On Illinois And Missouri — They Could Help Make Trump Unstoppable
MAR 15, 2016
Trump Attack Ads Are Finally Popping Up, But They Might Be Too Late
MAR 16, 2016
It’s Still Not Clear That Donald Trump Will Get A Majority Of Delegates
MAR 16, 2016
Trump Voters’ Aversion To Foreign-Sounding Names Cost Him Delegates
MAR 21, 2016
Will Trump Clinch The GOP Nomination Before The Convention?
MAR 22, 2016
The Most Important States On Trump’s Path To 1,237 Delegates
MAR 23, 2016
Why Donald Trump?
MAR 23, 2016
How Far Jeb Bush Is Going To Stop Trump
MAR 25, 2016
Trump Will Have A Hard Time Turning Blue States Red In November
MAR 25, 2016
What A Two-Front War To Deny Trump The Nomination Could Look Like
MAR 29, 2016
Donald Trump Is No Ronald Reagan
MAR 29, 2016
One Weird Trick To Lose The 2016 Election: Alienate Women
MAR 30, 2016
How Trump Hacked The Media
MAR 31, 2016
Wisconsin Could Be Trouble For Trump
APR 1, 2016
It’s Probably First Ballot Or Bust For Donald Trump At The GOP Convention
APR 5, 2016
The GOP’s Wacky Delegate Rules Are Helping Trump
APR 7, 2016
Trump’s New Magic Number Is 40 Percent Of The Vote
APR 8, 2016
Trump’s Support Would Be Easier To Explain With Better Polling
APR 11, 2016
Trump Is The Weakest GOP Front-Runner In The Modern Era
APR 11, 2016
Trump Made A Mistake By Overlooking Colorado
APR 11, 2016
Elections Podcast: Is Trump Blowing It?
APR 14, 2016
Trump’s Right That The GOP Primary Is Unfair — It Favors Him
APR 18, 2016
New York City’s Jewish Vote Might Win Cruz Or Kasich Key Delegates
APR 23, 2016
Trump’s ‘System Is Rigged’ Argument Is Working
APR 25, 2016
Trump Is Probably Going To Run Over Cruz And Kasich In The Northeast
APR 25, 2016
Will The Kasich-Cruz Alliance Work?
APR 27, 2016
It’s Trump’s Nomination To Lose* |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:27 PM Author: histrionic deranged masturbator church (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31825048) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 7:16 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30392947) |
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Date: May 2nd, 2016 8:17 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30393360) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:26 PM Author: buff stead The Mythology Of Trump’s ‘Working Class’ Support http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-mythology-of-trumps-working-class-support/ |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 3:35 PM Author: chestnut duck-like pistol yarmulke holy shit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30398720) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2016 9:15 PM Author: chartreuse athletic conference (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30402170) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:04 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30405223) |
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Date: May 4th, 2016 9:33 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30405346) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 9:23 AM Author: buff stead Candidates who beat pundits' expectations in the primaries haven't done particularly well in the general election. https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/728211438427381760 |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:02 AM Author: Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site Lol every response is "how about Obama?" What a hack (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30412976) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 10:40 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin LOL 12 years in this place and I think I found my magnum opus, fml (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30412844) |
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Date: May 5th, 2016 11:05 AM Author: Lascivious internet-worthy ladyboy Yeah bro. You should mic drop and walk the fuck away. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30412994) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: talented cowardly lettuce cuck This should be preserved for posterity in a library somewhere. I wish Nate Silver could see this. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30504267) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:03 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30504223) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:13 AM Author: Insecure narrow-minded circlehead temple In no way will your answer affect my conviction that this is an all-time great first ballot HOF poast, I'm just curious: How long did it take you to put this masterstroke together? (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30504268) |
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Date: May 18th, 2016 10:14 AM Author: talented cowardly lettuce cuck cr. We need to get the entire story of his creative process down for future scholars to learn from. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30504274) |
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Date: May 29th, 2016 4:16 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin lol I find something new in this thread every time I read it. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30583536) |
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Date: June 20th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30746085) |
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Date: June 29th, 2016 1:03 PM Author: buff stead Hillary Clinton has a nearly 80 percent chance of winning the White House in November, FiveThirtyEight polling guru Nate Silver predicted Wednesday.
FiveThirtyEight projected Clinton has a 79 percent chance of winning the general election against Donald Trump, who has just a 20 percent chance of succeeding President Barack Obama in the Oval Office. “Here’s how to think about it: We’re kind of at halftime of the election right now, and she’s taking a seven-point, maybe a 10-point lead into halftime,” Silver told ABC’s George Stephanopoulos on “Good Morning America.” “There’s a lot of football left to be played, but she’s ahead in almost every poll, every swing state, every national poll.”
Indeed, a Ballotpedia survey of seven swing states released Wednesday shows the presumptive Democratic presidential nominee sweeping Trump in Iowa, Michigan, Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia by margins ranging from 4 to 17 percentage points.
Silver, who correctly forecast 49 out of 50 states in 2008 and every state in 2012, noted that both camps “have a lot of room to grow,” but no candidate has blown a lead as large as Clinton’s advantage over Trump in nearly 30 years, when former Massachusetts Gov. Michael Dukakis lost to George H.W. Bush despite maintaining a large lead coming out of the spring and summer.
“It’s been a crazy year, politically,” Silver said, adding that more states, particularly red states, are in play in 2016 than in previous elections. “For example, Arizona looks like a toss-up. Maybe Georgia. Maybe Missouri, North Carolina again.”
“Likewise,” Silver continued, “if Trump gains ground on Clinton then maybe a state like Maine — used to be a swing state, not so recently” — could be in play, too.
Silver also defended his August forecast that gave the billionaire businessman a 2 percent chance to win the GOP nomination.
“That wasn’t based on looking at polls. Trump was always ahead in the polls, and one big lesson of his campaign is don’t try and out-think the polls and try and out-think the American public,” Silver said. “And Trump has never really been ahead of Clinton in the general election campaign. He did a great job of appealing to the 40 percent of the GOP he had to win the election, the primary — a lot different than winning 51 percent of 100 percent.”
http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/nate-silver-who-will-be-president-prediction-224931 |
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Date: July 14th, 2016 10:24 AM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-when-to-freak-out-about-shocking-new-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30924907) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:16 AM Author: Bull headed location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30933127) |
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Date: July 15th, 2016 2:47 AM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30933205) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:12 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30956384) |
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Date: July 17th, 2016 10:13 PM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30956397) |
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Date: July 21st, 2016 9:33 AM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trumps-convention-is-flirting-with-disaster/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30987656) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:38 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30999290) |
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Date: July 22nd, 2016 10:39 AM Author: hairraiser menage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#30999301) |
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Date: July 23rd, 2016 2:41 AM Author: Silver Diverse Indirect Expression Lay Wow jesua (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31006876) |
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Date: July 24th, 2016 10:48 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31020363) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 11:00 AM Author: Translucent gaped tank blood rage Nate Silver actually would find this hilarious, too. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31022942) |
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Date: July 25th, 2016 12:00 PM Author: aqua locus amazing how accurate this is (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31023351) |
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Date: July 27th, 2016 2:30 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin Wish I could profit off this gift. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31043518) |
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Date: August 5th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31113817) |
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Date: August 9th, 2016 8:10 PM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/ Let’s not bury the lead: Clinton is polling really well right now, and if you held an election today, she’d probably win in a landslide, possibly including states such as Georgia and Arizona along with most or all of the traditional swing states. |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:03 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin THEN: "August 17, 2016: "Clinton Machine Gears Up For Largest Electoral Landslide Since 1984" NOW: August 12, 2016: "What A Clinton Landslide Would Look Like" "That would work out to 471 electoral votes, to 67 for Trump, which would be fairly typical for a win of that magnitude. Dwight D. Eisenhower won 457 electoral votes when beating Adlai Stevenson by 15 points in 1956, for example. And Franklin D. Roosevelt won 472 electoral votes in 1932, in an 18-point win against Herbert Hoover. Clinton would be a ways short of Ronald Reagan’s 525 electoral votes in 1984, however." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/ |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:06 PM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef holy shit did u edit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31172565) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:07 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin I never edit brother unless I am deleting a person's poasts. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31172569) |
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Date: August 12th, 2016 9:14 PM Author: Azure corn cake LOL if true. I believe you, bro. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31172627) |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 12:45 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin THEN: August 30, 2016: "Trump's Rise in the Polls Is False. Here's Why." NOW: August 30, 2016: "So, not clear that Trump is improving, so much as Clinton is declining. People maybe jumped the gun in declaring her convention bounce over." http://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/770653615916810240 |
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Date: August 30th, 2016 1:26 PM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef 180 i want 2 believe |
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Date: September 6th, 2016 10:12 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef lol (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31345879) |
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Date: September 13th, 2016 5:33 PM Author: buff stead Polls Show Trump's Momentum Has Stalled http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/polls-show-trumps-momentum-has-stalled-for-now/ |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:41 AM Author: aqua locus ho lee fuk this is getting good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31404088) |
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Date: September 14th, 2016 9:43 AM Author: razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza Wow. Nailed July, August and early September (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31404101) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: Peach state wrinkle September 15, 2016
"How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote"
RUH ROH LIBS |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:34 PM Author: contagious disgusting potus sanctuary September 6, 2016: "Numbers, Numbers, Numbers: They Don't Tell the Whole Story"
Compare OP's headline to this actual Salon headline today:
Poll panic is here! Yes, Trump is closing, but here’s why it’s meaningless
http://www.salon.com/2016/09/15/its-already-happening-yes-trump-is-closing-in-on-the-polls-but-heres-why-thats-meaningless/ |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:38 PM Author: smoky partner den god this is good (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31413930) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:40 PM Author: amethyst cuckoldry XO never not on point (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31413938) |
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Date: September 15th, 2016 1:41 PM Author: mahogany patrolman keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31413954) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:18 PM Author: big roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31443744) |
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Date: September 19th, 2016 1:22 PM Author: big roast beef The AutoAdmit account should tweet this at nate silver. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31443779) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef let's not cross the swords (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31503555) |
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Date: September 24th, 2016 5:16 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31482152) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:22 AM Author: buff stead http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clinton-won-the-debate-which-means-shes-likely-to-gain-in-the-polls/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31503552) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31503554) |
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Date: September 27th, 2016 7:23 AM Author: exciting international law enforcement agency national This is arguably the greatest, most prescient poast in XO history. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31503556) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:43 PM Author: disturbing crimson gas station mad cow disease (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31592208) |
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Date: July 29th, 2024 7:46 PM Author: vibrant library water buffalo (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#47906632) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:54 AM Author: aqua locus http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-could-the-polls-be-missing/
vs
September 30, 2016: "Why Are Polls Bucking the Media's Conventional Wisdom" |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 9:58 AM Author: razzle-dazzle pea-brained piazza (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31511665) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 10:00 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31511673) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 11:28 AM Author: effete stage This shit is turning out to be so accurate that I'm starting to suspect OP is a time traveling alien. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31512070) |
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Date: September 28th, 2016 2:16 PM Author: Pearly rehab gaming laptop (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31513385) |
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Date: October 8th, 2016 8:41 PM Author: jet-lagged dilemma (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31592192) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef hey, this weekend wasnt in the script (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31594952) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:29 AM Author: razzle gay wizard Trump's mistakes rise was probably a headline somewhere (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31594953) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef doesnt fit. a revelation of something he said 11 years ago isn't a mistake it's an october surprise (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31594954) |
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Date: October 9th, 2016 9:32 AM Author: Turquoise at-the-ready forum half the coverage treats it as if he said it just yesterday (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31594956) |
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Date: October 10th, 2016 10:56 AM Author: aqua locus nate silver simultaneously claiming that all "insta polls are garbage" while citing this poll as a good news for HILLARY:
It’s not clear that voters judge debates in the same way, however. A CNN poll of debate watchers found that even though most voters thought Trump exceeded expectations, 57 percent of them nevertheless declared Clinton the winner, compared with 34 percent for Trump. A YouGov poll of debate watchers showed a much closer outcome, but with Clinton also winning, 47 percent to 42 percent.
These instant-reaction polls actually do have a correlation with post-debate horse-race polls: The candidate who wins the former usually gains in the latter. Perhaps Clinton’s win was modest enough that this will be an exception, especially given that the sentiments of pundits and television commentators (which sometimes matter as much as the debate itself) were all over the map
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-second-debate-probably-didnt-help-trump-and-he-needed-help/
meanwhile:
Big Surprise: Trump Won Instant Junk Polls About Who Won The Debate
As Harry said, the instant online opt-in junk polls — call them troll polls, faux polls, clickers, or your favorite term for them — should be ignored as indicators of who really won. And after Trump touted his win in these junk polls after the first debate, and was widely ridiculed for it, he didn’t cite the junk polls that showed Pence beating Kaine in the vice-presidential debate. Nonetheless, Trump supporters appear to still be flooding these things. Trump’s getting 77 percent in a Heavy.com junk poll asking who won tonight’s debate, an identical 77 percent in Fox 5 San Diego’s and 90 percent in Drudge Report’s.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/live-blog/second-presidential-debate-election-2016/
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Date: October 30th, 2016 10:02 PM Author: Translucent gaped tank blood rage close enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31763265) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 12:35 AM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water Almost there (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31772625) |
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Date: November 1st, 2016 4:55 PM Author: amethyst cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31777531) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 8:24 AM Author: Glittery gay resort mediation (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31782180) |
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Date: November 2nd, 2016 6:59 PM Author: Adventurous step-uncle's house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31786832) |
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Date: November 7th, 2016 3:23 PM Author: aqua locus prob the last time we can bump this (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31825019) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: Cruel-hearted Bawdyhouse You say that but..... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31833310) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:56 AM Author: aqua locus true, the shitlibs can bump all they like (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31833315) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 7:59 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin ty for your sympathy bump. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31839758) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:53 PM Author: aqua locus ho lee fuk (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31844114) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:04 PM Author: Heady Striped Hyena Native (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31842891) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:05 PM Author: metal passionate ape Tbf, he was the one that was the most bullish on Trump
LJL at Sam Wang who called 99% for Hillary |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:33 PM Author: slimy federal sneaky criminal (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31843660) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 10:59 PM Author: big roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31844292) |
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Date: November 8th, 2016 11:10 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31844674) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:07 AM Author: Aquamarine spot faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31846281) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:08 AM Author: Peach state wrinkle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31846326) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 12:12 AM Author: ruddy curious elastic band theater stage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31846448) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:22 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848552) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:25 AM Author: amethyst cuckoldry GOAT POTUS THREAD. ALL TIME HALL OF FAME (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848608) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:28 AM Author: Aquamarine spot faggotry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848693) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:30 AM Author: Translucent gaped tank blood rage it really deserves national attention (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848755) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:31 AM Author: Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848775) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 2:00 AM Author: shivering rose son of senegal house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32044462) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: beta laughsome fortuitous meteor theatre (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32076291) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32165256) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Judgmental gold love of her life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48187313) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:29 AM Author: Lake persian psychic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31848725) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 1:54 AM Author: Stimulating Casino Historic. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31849301) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:03 AM Author: vengeful cream crackhouse old irish cottage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31849447) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 2:07 AM Author: flesh liquid oxygen point 180
The anti-Rudolph. |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 3:37 AM Author: shivering rose son of senegal house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31851790) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 5:12 AM Author: fantasy-prone boiling water (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31852918) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31854576) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:03 AM Author: talented cowardly lettuce cuck this cannot be bumped enough. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31854584) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:52 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31855383) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 9:59 AM Author: Razzmatazz maroon shrine digit ratio (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31855482) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:51 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31863076) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: floppy dark orchestra pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31863082) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 6:52 PM Author: Drunken claret trailer park (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31863093) |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:08 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin November 9, 2016: "We’ll have more to say about the polling in the coming days. But to a first approximation, people are probably giving the polls a little bit too much blame." http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-difference-2-percentage-points-makes/ |
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Date: November 9th, 2016 7:26 PM Author: Sable Racy Reading Party you're fucking nostradamus (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31863503) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:58 AM Author: aromatic affirmative action (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31866924) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:37 AM Author: Electric toilet seat corner Here we go... (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31868448) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 1:48 AM Author: smoky partner den bumped (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31866864) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 2:08 AM Author: Stirring Flirting Locale Goal In Life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31867005) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:13 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin sorry I got it wrong, this is CNN, November 10, 2016: "'The polls clearly got it wrong': The autopsy will take months" http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/10/media/election-day-polls/index.html |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:15 AM Author: aqua locus ROFL (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31868235) |
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Date: November 10th, 2016 9:49 AM Author: up-to-no-good dull degenerate goyim (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31868543) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:42 PM Author: big roast beef (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31907692) |
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Date: November 14th, 2016 4:43 PM Author: orchid wonderful address fanboi They're all heads attached to the same (((monster))) (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31907697) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:17 PM Author: topaz titillating pocket flask Extraordinary prescience itt (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32055646) |
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Date: December 17th, 2016 1:23 PM Author: Cracking Public Bath Skinny Woman (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32165261) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:48 PM Author: Judgmental gold love of her life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48187317) |
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Date: November 25th, 2016 12:22 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#31989410) |
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Date: December 3rd, 2016 1:51 AM Author: Abusive round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32044435) |
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Date: December 4th, 2016 6:15 PM Author: Turquoise at-the-ready forum GEPETTO'S CHECKMARK! (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32055631) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:40 AM Author: Spruce violent brethren office https://i.sli.mg/nElXDz.jpg (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32076268) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:45 AM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32076292) |
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Date: December 7th, 2016 8:56 AM Author: Abusive round eye (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32076345) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 7:58 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32284600) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:02 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested October 16, 2016: "Are Early Votes for Trump a Predictor? Not As Much As You May Think" http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-read-too-much-into-early-voting/
OCT 27, 2016 AT 11:29 AM
Don’t Read Too Much Into Early Voting |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:03 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin ty, this & your "turning points" are PEAK XO. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32284631) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested ITT we speculate who created Donald Trump
also a classic |
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Date: March 3rd, 2020 9:23 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39686962) |
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Date: January 2nd, 2017 8:06 PM Author: smoky partner den truly magnificent (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32284649) |
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Date: January 16th, 2017 10:57 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32389095) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:01 AM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-real-story-of-2016/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32412323) |
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Date: January 20th, 2017 12:24 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32416346) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:43 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-electoral-college-blind-spot/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/it-wasnt-clintons-election-to-lose/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-invisible-undecided-voter/ |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: jet-lagged dilemma TBF this is mostly 538 gloating about how they were one of the only outlets to give Trump a reasonable chance of winning and how most were ignoring these factors (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32441222) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:46 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested It's a well deserved gloat. They did a very good job on the general election after getting their teeth kicked in during the primary. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32441238) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:49 PM Author: lemon vigorous knife I'm not sure I agree that they should be gloating given that they were pretty confident and ended up being wrong, but I do agree that they were better than pretty much any other similar source out there for the last week or so of the election. The cynic in me says that they probably just said 70% because they figured it was no-lose since they're either right or least wrong (as they ended up being).
What are those assholes at Princeton up to? |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:56 PM Author: jet-lagged dilemma it's not like their number didn't change over time. IIRC it peaked around ~85% in the middle of the debates and slid over the last couple weeks when her lead was slipping
it's still basically an aggregator, just one that processes the numbers in a way to arrive at a more reasonable prediction % than others. e.g. princeton puts way too much faith in state polls not swinging by a good amount the last couple weeks (if I had to guess)
it seems they learned their lesson after taking the "party decides" BS as bible pre-primary and numbers-wise when they had Hillary >99% to win Michigan (state polls can be very volatile). obviously the staff is lib but that actual model is fine for what it is |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:58 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested The national polls and state polls favored Clinton. It was correct to have her as a favorite. Trump outperformed the national polls by 2 points. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32441319) |
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Date: January 25th, 2017 4:32 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/ohio-was-a-bellwether-after-all/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32458110) |
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Date: January 26th, 2017 4:19 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/early-voting-was-a-misleading-indicator/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32466804) |
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Date: February 6th, 2017 6:42 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trump-had-a-superior-electoral-college-strategy/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32560776) |
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Date: February 13th, 2017 2:51 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/clintons-ground-game-didnt-cost-her-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32612572) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:25 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-you-shouldnt-always-trust-the-inside-scoop/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32714310) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 1:52 PM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#33221553) |
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Date: May 3rd, 2017 4:47 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#33222883) |
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Date: September 21st, 2017 8:38 AM Author: Galvanic brunch idea he suggested https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-media-has-a-probability-problem/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34257967) |
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Date: January 23rd, 2017 5:45 PM Author: arousing really tough guy this seriously needs mainstream coverage (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32441221) |
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Date: February 27th, 2017 6:39 PM Author: amethyst cuckoldry One of the greatest things made on this great bort (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32714399) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2017 7:01 PM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#32891711) |
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Date: April 17th, 2017 9:53 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#33097887) |
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Date: May 8th, 2017 12:36 PM Author: buff stead https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/861611275717156868 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#33256991) |
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Date: June 20th, 2017 9:18 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#33605191) |
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Date: August 10th, 2017 3:50 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin What Kind Of Republican Might Challenge Trump In 2020? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-kind-of-republican-might-challenge-trump-in-2020/ |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/is-it-safe-to-say-trump-is-a-favorite-to-win-re-election/amp/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34449074) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:47 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34449102) |
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Date: October 15th, 2017 4:53 PM Author: Hyperventilating sweet tailpipe (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34449138) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:06 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34615930) |
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Date: November 6th, 2017 10:09 AM Author: blue kitty cat hall credit where it's massively due (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34615959) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 3:45 PM Author: brass erotic chad space (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34636123) |
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Date: November 8th, 2017 4:42 PM Author: excitant sexy coldplay fan (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34636459) |
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Date: November 13th, 2017 1:43 AM Author: lavender soul-stirring hospital (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34673088) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:47 AM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34948560) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 11:50 AM Author: Wine know-it-all ticket booth french chef Will Passing The Tax Bill Help The GOP In 2018? Probably Not. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34948572) |
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Date: December 18th, 2017 3:44 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#34950581) |
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Date: January 30th, 2018 3:02 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#35278621) |
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Date: June 1st, 2018 7:46 PM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36168381) |
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Date: July 18th, 2018 10:15 AM Author: buff stead https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/would-republicans-be-better-off-if-clinton-were-president/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36451135) |
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Date: July 19th, 2018 11:53 AM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36458802) |
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Date: September 20th, 2018 7:28 AM Author: mahogany patrolman keepsake machete (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36847087) |
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Date: September 25th, 2018 11:32 PM Author: buff stead The GOP’s Least-Worst Option Is If Kavanaugh Withdraws — And Soon https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-least-worst-option-is-if-kavanaugh-withdraws-and-soon/ SEE OP: "January 19, 2016: "Trump's Best Choice? Dropping Out" " |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:22 PM Author: slate thriller principal's office half-breed It's about time for the OP's last prediction to come true (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36973680) |
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Date: October 6th, 2018 4:23 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin lol 180 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#36973690) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:04 AM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37090167) |
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Date: October 25th, 2018 12:09 AM Author: contagious disgusting potus sanctuary Man, this was a really great thread. Spectacular. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37090191) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:05 AM Author: emerald hell legal warrant (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37161974) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 9:58 AM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37161955) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:19 AM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37162045) |
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Date: November 5th, 2018 10:58 PM Author: smoky partner den (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37167335) |
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Date: January 8th, 2019 3:58 PM Author: buff stead What Would It Take For Trump To Get Primaried? https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-would-it-take-for-trump-to-get-primaried/ (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37553376) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2019 10:41 PM Author: tanning salon ratface (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#37833345) |
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Date: March 13th, 2019 11:17 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin Brendan makes some good points here. All that said, my main point would be this — a lot of people misremember Trump bucking the CW and winning the 2016 nomination as a “polls were wrong” case when actually it was an “sophisticated experts dismissed the polls” case. https://twitter.com/mattyglesias/status/1105835180281991170 Yeah, this. Trump didn't lead the polls at *this* stage, but he did from summer 2015 on as people like me kept coming up with elaborate explanations for why he'd lose to Rubio etc. He's a good data point for "'experts' are full of shit, so you might as well go with the polls." https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1105848702986526726
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Date: June 24th, 2019 9:04 AM Author: emerald hell legal warrant There was a new leader every 2 weeks in the 2012 primary. Polls can’t predict future changes. Trump stuck, Herman Caine didn’t, but yeah, experts are full of shit. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#38431500) |
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Date: June 24th, 2019 8:06 AM Author: Citrine School Cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#38431431) |
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Date: November 18th, 2019 3:05 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39135638) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 12:14 PM Author: amethyst cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39583415) |
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Date: February 12th, 2020 1:03 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39583624) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:12 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39849854) |
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Date: March 24th, 2020 10:16 AM Author: Naked Cruise Ship (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39849877) |
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Date: April 4th, 2020 12:07 PM Author: Bull headed location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#39938878) |
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Date: April 26th, 2020 4:40 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40097972) |
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Date: May 13th, 2020 6:37 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/two-special-elections-on-tuesday-could-hint-at-another-blue-wave-in-2020/amp/ In case you don't get the joke, the Republican in Wisconsin won by 14, & the Republican in California is up 10 with most ballots in for a seat Dems have held since 1998. |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 2:05 PM Author: Bull headed location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40354730) |
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Date: June 5th, 2020 3:46 PM Author: aggressive pit (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40355911) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:46 PM Author: Bull headed location (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40896459) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:56 PM Author: amethyst cuckoldry (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40896523) |
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Date: September 9th, 2020 11:57 PM Author: Carnelian halford set Lmao never forget (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40896526) |
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Date: September 12th, 2020 1:55 PM Author: fiercely-loyal yapping fat ankles (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40908695) |
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Date: September 24th, 2020 9:25 AM Author: chest-beating hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#40977795) |
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Date: October 9th, 2020 11:09 AM Author: Citrine School Cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41079968) |
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Date: October 10th, 2020 9:10 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41088157) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:24 PM Author: coiffed hateful associate (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41166967) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:27 PM Author: shivering rose son of senegal house (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41166990) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:34 PM Author: mint base dragon (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41167039) |
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Date: October 22nd, 2020 7:37 PM Author: mint base dragon https://imgur.com/a/mXMUHui (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41167053) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:57 AM Author: High-end Queen Of The Night (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44203011) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 5:47 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41200021) |
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Date: October 27th, 2020 11:29 PM Author: Cordovan Provocative Pervert Philosopher-king (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41202581) |
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Date: October 30th, 2020 2:57 PM Author: Citrine School Cafeteria (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41222868) |
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Date: November 3rd, 2020 9:51 PM Author: submissive comical death wish (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#41261120) |
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Date: March 22nd, 2022 11:29 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44196611) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:51 AM Author: Tan legend (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44202968) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:54 AM Author: chrome therapy (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44202984) |
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Date: March 23rd, 2022 11:58 AM Author: big-titted 180 and prescient (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44203017) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44911871) |
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Date: July 25th, 2022 3:45 PM Author: Carnelian halford set A classic (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#44911874) |
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Date: October 23rd, 2022 4:13 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#45378008) |
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Date: November 16th, 2022 6:19 AM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin Why DeSantis Is a Major Threat to Trump's Reelection
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-desantis-is-a-major-threat-to-trumps-reelection/ |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:31 PM Author: White Beady-eyed Turdskin https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1650899579234140168 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#46237455) |
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Date: April 25th, 2023 1:33 PM Author: talented cowardly lettuce cuck why was disney employing this guy anyways (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#46237460) |
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Date: April 29th, 2023 7:52 PM Author: chest-beating hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#46252623) |
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Date: May 28th, 2023 3:10 PM Author: vibrant library water buffalo FOCK!
This still hurts to read |
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Date: February 22nd, 2024 4:54 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#47428670) |
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Date: February 23rd, 2024 4:00 AM Author: chest-beating hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#47430198) |
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Date: May 23rd, 2024 4:51 PM Author: buff stead https://www.newyorker.com/news/q-and-a/is-the-biden-campaign-running-on-false-hope As FiveThirtyEight makes clear in their piece, “While the polls in a few closely watched races—like Arizona’s governorship and Pennsylvania’s Senate seat—were biased toward Republicans, the polls overall still had a bit of a bias toward Democrats. That’s because generic-ballot polls, the most common type of poll last cycle, had a weighted-average bias of D+1.9, and polls of several less closely watched races, like the governorships in Ohio and Florida, also skewed toward Democrats.”
I’m ending the interview. I’m ending the interview because what you’re doing is ridiculous.
Wait, wait—why?
Because I have definitive proof that what you’re saying is not true. And I don’t care. I know what FiveThirtyEight wrote. I live this every day. And so, the point is what you’re saying is wrong. I am on record saying that what FiveThirtyEight has written is incorrect, and I’ve given you definitive proof otherwise. So if you want to keep coming back at this, do it. But this has become one of the most ridiculous interviews that I’ve ever done my entire professional career. |
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Date: August 26th, 2024 3:52 PM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48010724) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:24 PM Author: chest-beating hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48087201) |
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Date: September 13th, 2024 11:32 PM Author: Carnelian halford set One of the GOAT threads of all time (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48087224) |
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Date: October 18th, 2024 1:46 PM Author: chest-beating hominid (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48211967) |
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Date: October 11th, 2024 12:45 PM Author: Judgmental gold love of her life (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48187302) |
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Date: November 6th, 2024 5:16 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48296972) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:30 PM Author: Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site 538 is being shut down. This post is now complete. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48715841) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:32 PM Author: Olive buck-toothed famous landscape painting site https://x.com/ericldaugh/status/1897135211810545835?s=46 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48715847) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:33 PM Author: mahogany patrolman keepsake machete Lol actually his model was right at almost every turn
*facts cum* |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:37 PM Author: Judgmental gold love of her life The post isn't fully complete until Nate Silver passes peacefully away from full blown AIDS (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48715863) |
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Date: March 4th, 2025 11:41 PM Author: transparent arrogant He has to be sucking cock at the port authority for bus fare to complete the circle (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48715869) |
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Date: March 5th, 2025 8:13 AM Author: Shimmering feces (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48716330) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:34 AM Author: buff stead (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48724299) |
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Date: March 7th, 2025 11:36 AM Author: electric furnace 538 is now 404 (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48724306) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 5:10 AM Author: buff stead "How Trump Killed 538" https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2025/03/07/fivethirtyeight-nate-silver-election-polls/ |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 7:12 AM Author: Ceo Was just thinking about this poast the other day and how much went into maeking it. Truly a work of art. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48727216) |
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Date: March 8th, 2025 12:42 PM Author: buff stead Holy shit it's all gone, they beleted everything. (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#48727802) |
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Date: February 18th, 2026 11:20 PM Author: goy orbison (http://www.autoadmit.com/thread.php?thread_id=3067381&forum_id=2.#49679495) |